Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f66…49145c
bot 29W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$78
Unrealized P&L
+$93
Hit rate
83.8%
Resolved (7d)
42
Trades (7d)
1,383
31,877 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$534
$17.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$46
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 22:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Other
46% 61% +$1,122
Politics
26% 57% +$503
Sports
15% 75% +$923
Tech
9% 53% -$2
Pop-Culture
2% 81% +$49
Crypto
2% 51% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 572 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -260 -$5 3¢ $-7 -$2 09-22 07:01
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +240 $2 1¢ $3 +$1 10-31 10:51
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +220 $1 1¢ $3 +$2 10-29 09:47
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +263 $2 1¢ $2 +$1 10-29 15:25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +270 -$21 1¢ $2 +$23 10-30 17:34
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +916 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-28 09:56
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +223 -$1 1¢ $2 +$3 10-28 17:25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +600 -$2 0¢ $2 +$5 10-30 04:12
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +262 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 10-31 21:26
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +220 -$2 1¢ $2 +$4 10-29 09:44
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,200 $0 0¢ $2 +$2 10-11 16:17
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -348 -$5 0¢ $-2 +$3 10-30 12:22
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +200 -$3 1¢ $1 +$4 10-28 12:25
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +308 -$5 0¢ $1 +$6 10-31 13:58
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +470 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 09-21 07:26
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +240 -$4 0¢ $1 +$5 10-26 19:40
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +300 -$1 0¢ $1 +$2 10-26 11:55
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +300 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-28 17:07
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +115 -$8 1¢ $1 +$9 10-29 17:41
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +600 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 10-26 21:00
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -591 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$1 05-09 04:00
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +570 -$4 0¢ $1 +$5 10-29 17:30
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +570 -$5 0¢ $1 +$6 10-29 13:31
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-26 21:10
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +301 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-30 12:53
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? Yes -45 $0 1¢ $-1 $0 06-02 02:25
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +341 -$9 0¢ $1 +$10 10-24 09:55
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? Yes -300 $4 0¢ $-0 -$4 10-21 07:03
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -290 -$10 0¢ $-0 +$9 08-17 07:38
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026? Yes -233 $2 0¢ $-0 -$2 10-21 07:03