Realized P&L (90d)
+$390
Unrealized P&L
+$88
Hit rate
84.2%
Resolved (90d)
341
Trades (90d)
7,618
31,950 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.46K
$17.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$46
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 15:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Other
47% 61% +$1,122
Politics
26% 55% +$546
Sports
15% 75% +$923
Tech
9% 53% -$2
Pop-Culture
2% 81% +$49
Crypto
2% 51% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 572 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +2,100 -$4 0¢ $4 +$8 11-06 09:51
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -348 -$5 1¢ $-3 +$2 11-04 21:09
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1,501 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-29 14:38
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026? Yes -1,437 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 10-21 07:02
Richard Madden announced as next James Bond? Yes +928 $0 0¢ $2 +$2 11-07 03:50
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +90 -$5 2¢ $2 +$7 11-05 18:02
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +475 -$1 0¢ $2 +$2 11-07 15:10
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60 $0 3¢ $2 +$1 11-03 18:48
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +230 -$3 1¢ $2 +$4 11-05 17:58
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +350 -$3 0¢ $2 +$5 11-06 22:26
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 11-06 10:49
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +414 -$4 0¢ $1 +$6 11-04 11:47
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? Yes +90 -$3 2¢ $1 +$4 11-05 08:25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +400 -$3 0¢ $1 +$5 11-06 04:49
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +16 $0 8¢ $1 +$1 11-07 03:06
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +40 -$6 3¢ $1 +$7 11-07 13:59
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +880 -$1 0¢ $1 +$2 11-06 17:57
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +137 -$11 1¢ $1 +$12 11-07 15:00
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +370 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 11-04 20:01
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +30 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 11-04 21:09
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +150 -$4 1¢ $1 +$6 11-06 07:24
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +470 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 09-21 07:26
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No +30 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-07 15:00
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +220 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-29 09:47
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +240 -$3 0¢ $1 +$4 11-04 23:43
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 11-06 22:46
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +50 -$1 2¢ $1 +$2 11-06 12:54
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 11-05 08:51
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 11-06 20:04
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? Yes +659 -$2 0¢ $1 +$3 11-05 18:03