Realized P&L
+$2.66K
Unrealized P&L
+$95
Hit rate
88.1%
Resolved
1,051
Trades
32,821
lifetime
Volume
$18.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$59
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 11:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Other
47% 61% +$1,122
Politics
26% 55% +$546
Sports
15% 75% +$923
Tech
9% 53% -$2
Pop-Culture
2% 81% +$49
Crypto
2% 51% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 572 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +400 -$5 1¢ $4 +$9 11-08 16:49
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -348 -$5 1¢ $-3 +$2 11-04 21:09
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +2,023 -$4 0¢ $3 +$7 11-09 11:19
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +800 $0 0¢ $3 +$2 11-07 19:53
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +90 -$5 3¢ $3 +$7 11-08 14:56
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,319 -$1 0¢ $3 +$3 11-09 01:20
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +975 -$2 0¢ $2 +$5 11-08 20:06
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +220 -$4 1¢ $2 +$6 11-08 21:51
Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government? Yes +110 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 11-07 15:51
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026? Yes -1,437 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 10-21 07:02
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +230 -$3 1¢ $2 +$5 11-05 17:58
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? Yes +220 -$2 1¢ $2 +$4 11-08 22:57
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +346 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 11-07 16:12
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,185 -$3 0¢ $2 +$5 11-08 18:01
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? Yes +500 -$6 0¢ $2 +$8 11-07 18:42
Richard Madden announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,750 $0 0¢ $2 +$2 11-08 22:55
Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +660 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 11-08 08:19
Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +1,080 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 11-08 14:06
Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +1,070 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 11-08 09:59
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +137 -$11 1¢ $2 +$12 11-07 15:00
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 11-06 10:49
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 11-05 08:51
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +695 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 11-08 23:39
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,371 -$2 0¢ $1 +$3 11-08 04:43
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-03 18:48
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +100 -$2 1¢ $1 +$3 11-09 01:33
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +400 -$3 0¢ $1 +$4 11-06 04:49
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +470 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 09-21 07:26
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 11-08 14:05
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +127 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 11-09 12:51