Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f66…49145c Create alert
bot hot 29W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.66K
Unrealized P&L
+$123
Hit rate
88.1%
Resolved
1,051
Trades
32,908
lifetime
Volume
$18.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$57
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 22:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Other
47% 61% +$1,122
Politics
26% 55% +$546
Sports
15% 75% +$923
Tech
9% 53% -$2
Pop-Culture
2% 81% +$49
Crypto
2% 51% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 572 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -348 -$5 2¢ $-6 -$1 11-04 21:09
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +173 -$3 2¢ $4 +$7 11-09 14:45
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +400 -$5 1¢ $3 +$8 11-08 16:49
Richard Madden announced as next James Bond? Yes +1,750 $0 0¢ $3 +$3 11-08 22:55
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? Yes +952 -$2 0¢ $2 +$4 11-09 16:42
Will Blue and White be in the next Israeli government? Yes +110 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 11-07 15:51
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +410 -$2 1¢ $2 +$4 11-09 20:47
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026? Yes -1,437 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 10-21 07:02
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +90 -$5 2¢ $2 +$7 11-08 14:56
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +770 -$5 0¢ $2 +$6 11-09 19:31
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1,247 -$4 0¢ $2 +$6 11-09 19:35
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,185 -$3 0¢ $2 +$5 11-08 18:01
Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +660 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 11-08 08:19
Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +1,080 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 11-08 14:06
Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +1,070 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 11-08 09:59
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 11-05 08:51
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +140 -$30 1¢ $1 +$31 11-09 18:12
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? Yes +220 -$2 1¢ $1 +$3 11-08 22:57
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? Yes +220 -$4 1¢ $1 +$6 11-08 21:51
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +571 -$1 0¢ $1 +$3 11-08 04:48
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-03 18:48
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? Yes +930 -$3 0¢ $1 +$4 11-10 02:04
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +70 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 11-09 16:05
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes +137 -$11 1¢ $1 +$12 11-07 15:00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +315 -$7 0¢ $1 +$8 11-09 19:58
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 11-08 14:05
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +800 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 11-07 19:53
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +470 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 09-21 07:26
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +750 -$1 0¢ $1 +$2 11-08 01:19
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +40 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-09 20:14