Crooked-Insurance 0x7b0f66…49145c Create alert
bot 29W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$171
Unrealized P&L
+$98
Hit rate
83.9%
Resolved (30d)
127
Trades (30d)
3,662
32,274 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.53K
$18.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$44
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 01:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Other
46% 61% +$1,122
Politics
27% 56% +$546
Sports
15% 75% +$923
Tech
9% 53% -$2
Pop-Culture
2% 81% +$49
Crypto
2% 51% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 572 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +420 -$6 1¢ $4 +$10 11-04 14:50
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -260 -$5 1¢ $-3 +$2 11-04 03:37
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1,501 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-29 14:38
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +440 -$1 0¢ $2 +$3 11-04 13:35
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -348 -$5 1¢ $-2 +$3 11-04 21:09
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +310 -$5 1¢ $2 +$7 11-04 14:44
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +370 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 11-04 20:01
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +290 -$2 1¢ $2 +$4 11-04 08:10
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +60 $0 3¢ $2 +$1 11-03 18:48
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +600 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 11-04 23:11
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +110 -$4 1¢ $1 +$5 11-04 04:11
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +220 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-29 09:47
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +100 -$1 1¢ $1 +$2 11-04 08:10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +500 -$3 0¢ $1 +$4 11-04 05:16
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +30 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 11-04 21:09
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +240 -$3 0¢ $1 +$4 11-04 23:43
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +470 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 09-21 07:26
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +160 -$4 1¢ $1 +$5 11-04 08:10
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +220 -$11 0¢ $1 +$12 11-04 08:10
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +300 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-28 17:07
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +414 -$4 0¢ $1 +$6 11-04 11:47
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +399 -$1 0¢ $1 +$2 11-04 23:43
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +220 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 11-04 16:56
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +115 -$8 1¢ $1 +$9 10-29 17:41
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +200 -$3 0¢ $1 +$4 11-04 08:10
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +600 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 10-26 21:00
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +600 -$7 0¢ $1 +$8 10-28 12:25
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -591 -$2 0¢ $-1 +$1 05-09 04:00
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +350 $4 0¢ $1 -$3 11-03 22:04
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +570 -$4 0¢ $1 +$5 10-29 17:30