Key-Mountain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

371

lifetime

Volume

$5.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-06 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 0% $-40

Other

24% — —

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	7	$1.4K	1,292	1,292	+0	open	—	06-06 10:40
ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	9	$598	3,717	0	+3,717	open	—	06-06 10:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	9	$276	732	425	+307	open	—	05-18 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	5	$263	199	199	+0	open	—	05-20 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$252	155	155	+0	open	—	05-16 06:34
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	34	$166	44,342	2,488	+41,854	open	—	05-22 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$135	97	97	+0	open	—	06-02 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	2	$130	310	0	+310	open	—	05-16 07:11
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	30	$128	43,680	1,815	+41,864	open	—	05-21 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$121	81	81	+0	open	—	05-20 10:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	8	$119	535	535	+0	open	—	05-27 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$116	89	89	+0	open	—	06-02 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	5	$107	87	87	+0	open	—	05-16 06:30
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	33	$103	20,938	1,824	+19,114	open	—	05-21 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$82	58	58	+0	open	—	05-20 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$81	55	55	+0	open	—	06-02 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	4	$71	59	59	+0	open	—	05-20 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$70	81	81	+0	open	—	05-16 06:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$63	3,364	3,364	+0	open	—	05-26 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	4	$59	39	39	+0	open	—	05-20 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	3	$59	49	62	-13	open	—	06-02 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	4	$52	269	0	+269	open	—	05-19 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET	2	$50	51	51	+0	open	—	06-02 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$50	167	0	+167	open	—	06-02 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$48	53	53	+0	open	—	06-02 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$47	34	34	+0	open	—	06-02 05:03
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	3	$47	128	128	+0	open	—	05-11 14:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	2	$46	558	0	+558	open	—	05-16 07:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	2	$43	135	135	+0	open	—	05-19 03:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	2	$42	920	0	+920	open	—	05-16 04:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 10:48:57	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x578c6d…
06-06 10:48:42	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	449	16¢	$70	0x747127…
06-06 10:47:52	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x691be4…
06-06 10:47:10	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9087e1…
06-06 10:46:58	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	SELL	94	5¢	$5	0xdb0366…
06-06 10:46:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	49¢	$19	0x7230bc…
06-06 10:41:58	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	579	20¢	$117	0x68fe5f…
06-06 10:41:28	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	178	16¢	$29	0x133dfd…
06-06 10:40:55	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	260	55¢	$143	0xd6eaa9…
06-06 05:20:43	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	362	19¢	$70	0xc838cc…
06-06 05:09:40	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	1,345	15¢	$200	0xfbb81f…
06-06 05:09:34	ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	Up	BUY	720	14¢	$100	0x81b492…
06-06 05:07:22	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	740	55¢	$404	0xc54bf4…
06-05 22:46:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x52d588…
06-05 22:38:31	ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	No	SELL	163	13¢	$21	0xb68101…
06-05 08:11:03	ethereum above 1500 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	163	10¢	$16	0x6bfa0d…
06-05 08:08:52	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	56¢	$560	0xecc94c…
06-05 08:08:19	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0x1daf82…
06-02 07:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	51	44¢	$22	0x165c39…
06-02 07:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0x44f6ab…
06-02 06:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x434381…
06-02 06:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xe768f3…
06-02 06:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb90ecf…
06-02 06:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa25b3d…
06-02 06:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7e0f2f…
06-02 06:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x48095e…
06-02 06:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x3261cb…
06-02 06:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6a09aa…
06-02 06:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb0d485…
06-02 06:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x80b9c9…
06-02 06:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x18dbfa…
06-02 06:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0xd317c9…
06-02 06:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xb46101…
06-02 06:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x782a2d…
06-02 06:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	49	68¢	$33	0x43e5a3…
06-02 06:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	53	75¢	$40	0x328de0…
06-02 06:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	53	16¢	$8	0x30f88b…
06-02 06:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	49	47¢	$23	0x956a98…
06-02 06:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc73ded…
06-02 06:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x20d994…
06-02 06:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0xaf8de8…
06-02 06:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	89	31¢	$28	0x9b5ab1…
06-02 06:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf6a90b…
06-02 06:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc8e788…
06-02 06:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x66571d…
06-02 06:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	19¢	$5	0xf6e491…
06-02 06:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xa02630…
06-02 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0xc1a981…
06-02 06:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xdc6f7d…
06-02 06:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x048b93…
06-02 06:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x431dd2…
06-02 06:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd09f93…
06-02 05:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	92	6¢	$6	0x49570d…
06-02 05:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x2e7d9f…
06-02 05:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xca8da2…
06-02 05:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfd7516…
06-02 05:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3c5afe…
06-02 05:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x12c23a…
06-02 05:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x713804…
06-02 05:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x957f83…
06-02 05:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x6406b6…
06-02 04:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x8c7b3f…
06-02 04:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x51d244…
06-02 04:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe738bb…
06-02 04:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x580dc5…
06-02 04:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x2d47e9…
06-02 04:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xdb59ab…
06-02 04:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xee5f10…
06-02 04:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3d2441…
06-02 04:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbe0e86…
06-02 04:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	89¢	$14	0x643ebd…
06-02 04:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x085ba6…
06-02 04:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x12d29c…
06-02 04:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x3514ea…
06-02 04:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9553ba…
06-02 04:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x296754…
06-02 04:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x889db7…
06-02 03:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8334c3…
06-02 03:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	97	87¢	$85	0x2d1bbc…
06-02 03:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	97	52¢	$51	0x079f21…
06-02 03:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0xa54dd6…
06-02 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x083fac…
06-02 03:14:03	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	SELL	133	2¢	$3	0x21bac5…
06-02 03:13:52	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	SELL	115	9¢	$11	0xeabfbf…
06-02 03:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xd9776f…
06-02 03:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	119	34¢	$41	0x81f5fe…
06-02 03:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0xe8b0ef…
06-02 03:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x16a23f…
06-02 03:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0x4f2e5a…
06-02 02:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x14f2c6…
06-02 02:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfdf1c8…
06-02 02:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xb6ca5a…
06-02 02:56:29	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	271	47¢	$127	0x45f00d…
06-02 02:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x7afd9c…
06-02 02:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb93ebc…
06-02 02:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0x22cd9d…
06-02 02:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x29e973…
06-02 02:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x3fc699…
06-02 02:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x83c471…
06-02 02:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbfb089…