Mortified-Roast 0xd6b6f6…b6342b Create alert
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$44.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$144
Hit rate
86.2%
Resolved
325
Trades
4,625
lifetime
Volume
$1.24M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$269
Open exposure
$88.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-13 16:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
51% 79% +$32,629
Politics
49% 75% +$7,485
Sports
1% 75% +$4,462
Crypto
0% 20% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +44,939 $44,265 99¢ $44.3K +$68 11-13 06:52
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +8,279 $7,120 86¢ $7.2K +$41 11-13 15:57
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +5,406 $5,180 98¢ $5.3K +$121 11-06 15:20
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,109 $5,000 98¢ $5.0K +$30 11-04 16:53
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,060 $5,035 99¢ $5.0K -$13 11-04 16:56
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,035 $5,000 100¢ $5.0K +$13 11-04 16:54
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,015 $5,000 100¢ $5.0K +$10 11-04 16:54
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,367 $5,000 92¢ $5.0K -$35 11-04 16:53
Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +1,572 $1,500 97¢ $1.5K +$18 11-04 16:36
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +1,304 $1,030 76¢ $998 -$32 09-04 18:09
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? No +1,000 $967 100¢ $997 +$30 11-01 20:42
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5,109 -$684 14¢ $-690 -$5 11-06 16:07
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? Yes +700 $490 74¢ $514 +$25 11-04 13:29
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +539 $165 86¢ $466 +$301 11-08 02:01
Will PSOE win 120 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +589 $500 76¢ $447 -$53 11-04 16:39
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +1,292 $341 28¢ $362 +$21 09-04 18:08
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -11,424 -$218 2¢ $-240 -$22 11-13 16:37
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -13,388 -$174 1¢ $-181 -$7 11-13 16:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Yes +3,177 $1,049 5¢ $167 -$882 11-05 10:13
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No +147 $146 99¢ $146 +$1 11-04 07:26
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +301 $283 48¢ $144 -$139 11-03 12:24
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -8,279 -$131 2¢ $-128 +$3 11-13 16:13
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -8,353 -$33 0¢ $-38 -$4 11-13 16:14
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? Yes -1,521 -$3 0¢ $-3 +$0 11-04 16:29
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +320 $300 1¢ $2 -$298 11-02 06:46
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? Yes -521 -$17 0¢ $-2 +$15 11-02 06:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -304 -$26 0¢ $-1 +$25 11-02 06:47
Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +32 $257 2¢ $1 -$256 11-04 07:25
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +0 -$1,430 100¢ $0 +$1,430 11-04 14:22
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +0 $260 6¢ $0 -$260 11-11 20:11