Realized P&L
+$10.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$18.1K
Hit rate
39.4%
Resolved
192
Trades
64,974
lifetime
Volume
$1.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$216.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-04
last 10-30 03:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
74% 82% +$6,448
Politics
17% 77% +$447
Sports
8% 85% +$3,136
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 10840 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes -56,468 -$21,534 44¢ $-24564 -$3,030 10-29 23:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes -20,286 -$14,886 98¢ $-19840 -$4,953 10-29 03:46
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -28,348 -$18,641 68¢ $-19418 -$777 10-29 22:28
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes -15,484 -$4,707 100¢ $-15407 -$10,699 10-28 00:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -19,967 -$8,335 58¢ $-11681 -$3,346 10-29 16:19
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +11,164 $11,108 100¢ $11.1K +$28 10-28 22:20
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes -56,468 -$8,930 16¢ $-9317 -$387 10-29 23:10
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -28,348 -$9,707 32¢ $-8930 +$777 10-29 22:28
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes -12,000 -$9,446 71¢ $-8520 +$926 10-25 22:02
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -33,469 -$7,043 22¢ $-7196 -$152 10-30 03:44
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes -10,383 -$6,875 68¢ $-7113 -$238 10-29 17:46
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? Yes -56,468 -$5,893 12¢ $-6861 -$967 10-29 23:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes -19,967 -$9,275 31¢ $-6190 +$3,085 10-29 15:26
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -33,469 -$6,372 18¢ $-5857 +$515 10-30 03:44
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes -4,750 -$2,642 99¢ $-4702 -$2,060 10-28 10:48
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes -54,514 -$7,493 8¢ $-4634 +$2,859 10-30 03:55
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes -55,568 -$2,292 8¢ $-4307 -$2,015 10-30 02:55
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +4,000 $3,996 100¢ $4.0K +$0 10-25 15:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes -5,400 -$3,507 70¢ $-3807 -$300 10-30 03:27
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes -4,000 -$3,379 86¢ $-3460 -$81 10-26 04:37
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes -5,200 -$3,276 66¢ $-3432 -$156 10-25 14:27
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes -10,383 -$3,490 31¢ $-3208 +$282 10-29 17:11
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -33,469 -$3,445 9¢ $-3163 +$283 10-30 04:21
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -7,400 -$3,259 42¢ $-3119 +$140 10-29 16:15
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes -56,456 -$7,062 6¢ $-3105 +$3,957 10-30 00:45
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes -12,489 -$2,832 22¢ $-2810 +$22 10-21 19:32
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -33,469 -$1,076 8¢ $-2761 -$1,685 10-30 03:44
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes -3,867 -$2,642 70¢ $-2726 -$84 10-29 15:25
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes -12,000 -$2,020 22¢ $-2580 -$560 10-25 21:59
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes -33,469 -$2,684 6¢ $-2175 +$509 10-30 03:44