Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

27.3%

Resolved

170

Trades

197

lifetime

Volume

$298

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 05-06 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

80% 10% -$56

Crypto

14% 0% -$43

Tech

3% 0% -$10

Politics

1% 33% +$96

Sports

1% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		-8	-$3	2¢	$-0	+$3	05-06 12:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
pltr up or down on january 28 2026	1	$25	35	0	+35	Down	-$25	01-28 12:25
meta up or down on january 27 2026	1	$20	28	0	+28	Up	+$8	01-27 10:04
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$15	67	63	+3	No	+$13	05-01 10:16
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$13	14	14	+0	Yes	+$11	02-12 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 09:20 UTC	2	$11	34	0	+34	Down	-$11	02-17 09:24
tsla up or down on january 27 2026	1	$9	18	0	+18	Down	+$9	01-27 10:05
pltr up or down on january 12 2026	1	$8	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	01-11 21:29
googl above 295 on january 16 2026	2	$5	106	106	+0	Yes	-$5	01-11 21:24
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$3	0	8	-8	open	—	05-06 12:47
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	3	$3	301	0	+301	No	-$3	01-29 20:33
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?	3	$3	186	0	+186	No	-$3	04-28 13:56
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$2	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	04-25 14:59
pltr up or down on january 20 2026	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	01-20 09:17
Will Microsoft reach $473 in April?	2	$2	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-25 14:58
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$2	533	0	+533	No	-$2	04-20 13:37
Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$2	04-24 09:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	375	0	+375	No	-$2	04-20 13:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$2	100	0	+100	Yes	+$98	04-02 07:50
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	2	$2	474	0	+474	No	-$2	04-20 13:37
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $132 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$2	211	0	+211	No	-$2	05-01 14:50
will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$2	258	0	+258	No	-$2	01-29 20:29
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	2	$2	145	0	+145	No	-$2	02-11 16:36
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	2	$2	184	0	+184	No	-$2	04-20 13:37
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	2	$2	458	0	+458	No	-$2	04-20 13:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	1	$2	133	0	+133	No	-$2	04-20 13:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	458	0	+458	No	-$2	04-20 13:34
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	750	0	+750	No	-$2	04-20 13:34
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$2	133	0	+133	No	-$2	05-01 14:56
amzn up or down on january 20 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	01-20 08:20
amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt95	2	$2	29	0	+29	No	+$27	02-03 05:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 12:50:48	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xe107e4…
05-06 12:50:44	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0xc679a5…
05-06 12:50:38	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xc3a145…
05-06 12:47:48	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0xcf728a…
05-01 14:59:46	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x27f53f…
05-01 14:59:42	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x2eb529…
05-01 14:59:18	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8be77d…
05-01 14:59:10	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x574d15…
05-01 14:56:50	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xa655f5…
05-01 14:56:38	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0x7e03c0…
05-01 14:50:52	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $132 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	211	1¢	$2	0xec5a59…
05-01 14:50:48	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $129 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x80e936…
05-01 14:48:58	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xaac01e…
05-01 14:48:54	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x1356eb…
05-01 14:48:50	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb53ed5…
05-01 10:16:00	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	63	22¢	$14	0xa9af9f…
04-30 14:03:52	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x972dea…
04-28 13:56:52	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xc05fa2…
04-25 14:59:16	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x86e7b8…
04-25 14:58:36	Will Microsoft reach $473 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xc4db28…
04-24 09:41:26	Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x82fb63…
04-24 09:41:22	Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4bcb8e…
04-23 15:35:32	Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbcdc27…
04-23 15:35:26	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xca7997…
04-23 15:35:20	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xeb693d…
04-23 15:35:18	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	317	0¢	$1	0xfe6a44…
04-23 15:35:10	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x63ebcb…
04-23 15:34:30	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xa67d27…
04-23 15:34:26	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x2f3e74…
04-23 15:34:22	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x4c0c31…
04-23 15:34:14	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xc553fa…
04-23 15:34:12	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x2cc6d9…
04-20 13:37:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc01f09…
04-20 13:37:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0ebdc1…
04-20 13:37:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0xb99e5d…
04-20 13:37:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xf4431b…
04-20 13:37:28	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xc19fc6…
04-20 13:37:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc57b67…
04-20 13:37:18	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x9ee3c6…
04-20 13:37:14	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc93c93…
04-20 13:37:06	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd96fae…
04-20 13:35:08	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x8e65e0…
04-20 13:35:04	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	724	0¢	$1	0xec897b…
04-20 13:34:58	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	644	0¢	$1	0x85048a…
04-20 13:34:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x67cc0d…
04-20 13:34:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x4cb04c…
04-20 13:34:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0e1066…
04-19 18:15:30	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x31c15a…
04-19 18:11:56	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3b6abf…
04-19 18:11:52	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x186fb9…
04-19 18:11:48	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xd985d9…
04-18 07:25:38	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x9c1af3…
04-18 07:25:30	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xb76fca…
04-18 07:25:24	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$1	0x374d73…
04-18 07:25:18	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x508620…
04-15 20:26:34	Palantir total customers above 1060 in Q1?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x39eb71…
04-15 20:26:28	Palantir total customers above 1080 in Q1?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1951d7…
04-15 20:24:26	Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$0	0x65fe3c…
04-15 20:24:20	Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xa89adb…
04-15 20:22:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf2bc4e…
04-15 20:20:48	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x53c097…
04-14 09:50:21	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe41b15…
04-14 09:50:19	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xbdb3aa…
04-14 09:49:59	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x7bbff9…
04-14 09:49:53	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x1bee23…
04-14 09:49:25	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x58fcc9…
04-14 09:49:15	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x837b12…
04-14 09:48:55	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xa1b552…
04-14 09:48:43	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x6ff3d3…
04-14 09:48:35	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x8120ff…
04-14 09:48:07	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9080ed…
04-13 19:31:17	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x57a662…
04-13 19:31:11	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in April 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	176	1¢	$1	0x5964b5…
04-13 19:30:25	meta close above 640 on april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x160071…
04-13 19:30:19	meta close above 650 on april 13 2026	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb02ff1…
04-13 19:25:43	spx opens up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe9b252…
04-13 19:24:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x5a6571…
04-13 19:24:47	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xd9f7f7…
04-13 19:24:41	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x082e70…
04-13 19:24:35	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x9d1216…
04-13 19:24:29	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xed9274…
04-13 19:22:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xcab18a…
04-13 19:22:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x7a52a2…
04-13 19:22:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x7f79f9…
04-02 07:51:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdc4ca2…
04-02 07:50:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb8da42…
04-02 07:49:11	pltr above 154 on april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x9c2c12…
04-02 07:48:37	Will Microsoft reach $533 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1080b5…
04-02 07:48:33	Will Microsoft reach $450 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcc766c…
04-02 07:48:29	Will Microsoft reach $473 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8d8a93…
04-02 07:47:59	Will Meta reach $660 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfb433e…
02-17 09:56:41	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1474d0…
02-17 09:56:35	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xaeacc6…
02-17 09:56:31	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 400 419	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x19200d…
02-17 09:56:25	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 200 219	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x152601…
02-17 09:56:19	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x85c323…
02-17 09:25:57	will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xd5cde9…
02-17 09:25:51	will apple announce the iphone 17e by march 15	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x79eb7d…
02-17 09:24:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x852cf5…
02-17 09:22:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x99645d…