Realized P&L
+$13.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$95
Hit rate
92.5%
Resolved
1,969
Trades
11,270
lifetime
Volume
$812.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$593
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 08-13 06:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
61% 87% +$415
Sports
23% 92% +$11,021
Politics
13% 85% +$2,020
Tech
3% 66% -$156
Pop-Culture
1% 91% +$17
Crypto
0% 86% +$4
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-13).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +231 $219 100¢ $230 +$11 05-07 19:42
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +232 $197 97¢ $225 +$28 05-07 19:42
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -56 -$6 94¢ $-53 -$47 05-17 04:54
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? No +233 $151 16¢ $38 -$113 05-15 22:00
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 +$1 06-01 20:23
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat? No +16 $7 92¢ $14 +$8 04-30 03:59
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +4 $3 96¢ $4 +$1 06-01 20:23
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -3 -$3 97¢ $-3 -$1 05-21 16:04
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? No +16 $8 9¢ $1 -$7 04-30 03:59
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -56 -$2 2¢ $-1 +$1 05-17 12:32
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +19 $4 5¢ $1 -$3 06-01 20:23
Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes -233 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-21 16:02
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -15 -$3 4¢ $-1 +$2 06-01 21:21
Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes -233 -$6 0¢ $-0 +$6 05-21 16:02
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? No +13 $11 1¢ $0 -$11 05-31 14:42
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? Yes -93 -$5 0¢ $-0 +$5 05-03 20:45
Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? Yes -40 -$21 0¢ $-0 +$21 05-01 21:29
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes -2 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 22:00
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? Yes -6 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$2 04-28 18:00
Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes -2 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-15 22:00