Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 9?
open
Total volume
$41,682
$93,803 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$256,680
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 03:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $29.7K | $29.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $38 | $11.9K | $11.9K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $17.9K | $17.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $209 | $209 |
| Median | 9 | $3 | $19.5K | $19.5K |
| Below median | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 7 | $24 | $3.9K | $3.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tough-Hammer 0xaac2…e8ce | No | +17,933 | $17,916 | $17,916 | 1 | 05-10 03:28 |
| Stable-Factory 0x239a…a949 | No | +11,593 | $11,581 | $11,581 | 1 | 05-10 02:01 |
| Clueless-Pie 0xda6b…a403 | Yes | +9,147 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 05-10 02:50 |
| Vacant-Posterior 0xe88a…6016 | No | +2,087 | $2,083 | $2,083 | 1 | 05-10 01:33 |
| Worthless-Voter 0x186f…30ab | No | +2,072 | $2,068 | $2,068 | 1 | 05-10 01:35 |
| Impartial-Meringue 0x2b30…19d5 | No | +2,071 | $2,067 | $2,067 | 1 | 05-10 01:36 |
| Cuddly-Madam 0x555d…b261 | No | +1,828 | $1,824 | $1,824 | 1 | 05-10 01:33 |
| Rubbery-Airfield 0x80d9…49c6 | No | +1,826 | $1,822 | $1,822 | 1 | 05-10 01:36 |
| Uniform-Laborer 0x984b…8e81 | No | +1,826 | $1,822 | $1,822 | 1 | 05-10 01:35 |
| Free-Tankful 0xd41a…4ae3 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:28 |
| Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-10 02:41 |
| Strict-Rescue 0x860e…e951 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-10 01:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xba11…eccd | Yes | +134 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-09 18:19 |
| Sardonic-Lotion-Curve 0x30ea…3178 | Yes | +54 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 17:24 |
| Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 03:15 |
| Massive-Proliferation 0x41b9…7719 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-10 02:31 |
| Illiterate-Date 0x90c0…2844 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-10 03:26 |
| Healthy-Divan 0x396c…74e2 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 01:31 |
| Misty-Hike 0xe88e…941e | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 02:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 17:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 03:55:25 | Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xfb95e9… |
| 05-10 03:30:34 | (anonymous) 0x7b9e…f7cc | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x94d86f… |
| 05-10 03:28:38 | Tough-Hammer 0xaac2…e8ce | No | BUY | 17,933 | 100¢ | $17,916 | 0x9d94d9… |
| 05-10 03:26:22 | Illiterate-Date 0x90c0…2844 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x32b774… |
| 05-10 03:15:27 | Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x18d030… |
| 05-10 02:50:08 | Clueless-Pie 0xda6b…a403 | Yes | BUY | 5,010 | 0¢ | $15 | 0x5e3aec… |
| 05-10 02:41:30 | Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x31e5f5… |
| 05-10 02:31:25 | Misty-Hike 0xe88e…941e | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xaa7f1e… |
| 05-10 02:31:09 | Massive-Proliferation 0x41b9…7719 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x21f797… |
| 05-10 02:30:59 | Clueless-Pie 0xda6b…a403 | Yes | BUY | 4,137 | 0¢ | $8 | 0x95af72… |
| 05-10 02:28:39 | Free-Tankful 0xd41a…4ae3 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x471a1e… |
| 05-10 02:01:45 | Stable-Factory 0x239a…a949 | No | BUY | 11,593 | 100¢ | $11,581 | 0x3496c4… |
| 05-10 01:55:41 | Strict-Rescue 0x860e…e951 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xf6bcdc… |
| 05-10 01:50:28 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 39 | 100¢ | $39 | 0x0d0a02… |
| 05-10 01:36:37 | Rubbery-Airfield 0x80d9…49c6 | No | BUY | 1,826 | 100¢ | $1,822 | 0x9ddb6f… |
| 05-10 01:36:05 | Impartial-Meringue 0x2b30…19d5 | No | BUY | 2,071 | 100¢ | $2,067 | 0xc979e6… |
| 05-10 01:35:44 | Uniform-Laborer 0x984b…8e81 | No | BUY | 1,826 | 100¢ | $1,822 | 0x3d91b9… |
| 05-10 01:35:02 | Worthless-Voter 0x186f…30ab | No | BUY | 2,072 | 100¢ | $2,068 | 0x8d3fba… |
| 05-10 01:33:56 | Cuddly-Madam 0x555d…b261 | No | BUY | 1,828 | 100¢ | $1,824 | 0x07a4ff… |
| 05-10 01:33:42 | Vacant-Posterior 0xe88a…6016 | No | BUY | 2,087 | 100¢ | $2,083 | 0x2a164e… |
| 05-10 01:31:08 | Healthy-Divan 0x396c…74e2 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x8b33cb… |
| 05-10 00:01:37 | Diligent-Shallows 0x930f…c87a | Yes | SELL | 28 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79dba3… |
| 05-09 18:36:47 | Unwilling-Opportunity 0xca68…bd3a | Yes | SELL | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x916fd9… |
| 05-09 18:19:31 | (anonymous) 0xba11…eccd | Yes | BUY | 134 | 8¢ | $11 | 0x629598… |
| 05-09 17:24:08 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7809b9… |
| 05-09 17:24:06 | Sardonic-Lotion-Curve 0x30ea…3178 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x76d2f7… |