Sparse-Stimulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$355

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-25 05:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-1

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 9?	1	$1.8K	1,835	0	+1,835	No	+$4	05-10 01:34
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 8?	1	$1.8K	1,829	0	+1,829	No	+$4	05-09 01:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	1	$1.8K	1,822	0	+1,822	No	+$4	05-08 01:55
xrp above 1pt8 on february 13	1	$1.1K	1,138	0	+1,138	open	—	02-13 01:19
xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	1	$1.1K	1,133	0	+1,133	open	—	02-12 02:05
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$1.1K	1,127	0	+1,127	open	—	02-11 00:58
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 10	1	$1.1K	1,120	0	+1,120	open	—	02-10 02:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	1	$1.1K	1,118	0	+1,118	open	—	02-09 02:16
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	1	$1.1K	1,114	0	+1,114	open	—	02-08 02:21
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	1	$1.1K	1,098	0	+1,098	open	—	02-06 03:30
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 7	1	$1.1K	1,099	0	+1,099	open	—	02-07 03:28
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 5	1	$1.1K	1,091	0	+1,091	open	—	02-05 03:08
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$1.1K	1,089	0	+1,089	open	—	02-04 03:37
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	02-03 07:29
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	02-02 02:35
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on february 1	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	02-01 07:51
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$34	35	0	+35	open	—	03-30 07:33
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 10:41
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-26 13:34
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-25 05:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 3?	1	$6	2,086	0	+2,086	open	—	05-04 00:10
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 08:05
nflx above 200 on june 30 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-17 11:17
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$5	1,150	0	+1,150	open	—	02-18 00:49
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	1	$4	2,136	0	+2,136	open	—	03-12 02:08
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 8	4	$4	4,265	0	+4,265	open	—	01-08 06:53
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	1	$4	2,081	0	+2,081	No	$-4	05-05 01:49
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	1	$4	2,073	0	+2,073	open	—	05-02 01:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 12?	1	$4	1,842	0	+1,842	No	$-4	05-12 23:24
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	1	$4	1,824	0	+1,824	No	$-4	05-11 02:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 05:28:28	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x734db5…
06-17 11:17:43	nflx above 200 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x991347…
06-12 08:17:12	amzn above 230 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xb7adaf…
06-12 08:17:09	amzn above 230 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xd9b7f8…
06-12 08:16:09	amzn above 230 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xfe27c0…
06-12 08:15:48	amzn above 230 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x796e88…
06-12 08:15:46	amzn above 230 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xbd9edd…
06-12 08:15:43	amzn above 230 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x32ac21…
06-12 08:15:37	amzn above 230 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe592bd…
06-12 08:15:36	amzn above 230 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x8eeaba…
06-12 08:15:33	amzn above 230 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xa68db5…
05-20 08:05:52	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x9d2ef5…
05-14 22:39:01	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,819	0¢	$4	0x03f697…
05-12 23:24:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,842	0¢	$4	0x286f91…
05-11 02:17:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,824	0¢	$4	0xe3873b…
05-10 01:34:52	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,835	100¢	$1,831	0xba9c1c…
05-09 01:27:47	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,829	100¢	$1,825	0xdfe0c7…
05-08 01:55:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,822	100¢	$1,818	0xbce83d…
05-05 01:49:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,081	0¢	$4	0xb310e8…
05-04 00:10:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	2,086	0¢	$6	0x9089d1…
05-02 01:28:50	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2,073	0¢	$4	0x2cf6bc…
04-13 09:52:55	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9dfc50…
03-30 07:33:04	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x837eaa…
03-12 02:08:51	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	Yes	BUY	2,136	0¢	$4	0xfdba35…
03-07 01:28:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	No	BUY	1,144	0¢	$2	0xb6b4af…
03-07 01:28:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	No	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x2a85e6…
02-27 01:18:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	Yes	BUY	1,176	0¢	$2	0x7c1242…
02-18 00:49:29	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	No	BUY	1,150	0¢	$5	0xa9b737…
02-14 13:50:33	xrp above 1pt9 on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,068	0¢	$2	0x76148c…
02-13 01:19:49	xrp above 1pt8 on february 13	No	BUY	1,138	100¢	$1,133	0xd5d742…
02-12 02:05:37	xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	Yes	BUY	1,133	100¢	$1,129	0x3e1622…
02-11 00:58:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	No	BUY	1,127	99¢	$1,119	0x54e41b…
02-10 02:05:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 10	No	BUY	1,120	100¢	$1,118	0x6ea358…
02-09 02:16:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	No	BUY	1,118	100¢	$1,115	0xe82a42…
02-08 02:21:11	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	No	BUY	1,114	99¢	$1,105	0x13fb30…
02-07 03:28:21	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 7	No	BUY	1,099	99¢	$1,091	0xf7a3f4…
02-06 03:30:47	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	No	BUY	1,098	99¢	$1,091	0xe881e7…
02-05 03:08:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 5	No	BUY	1,091	100¢	$1,089	0xc723b7…
02-04 03:37:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	1,089	99¢	$1,077	0xa0276d…
02-03 07:29:22	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	No	BUY	1,077	99¢	$1,065	0x1fc833…
02-02 02:35:12	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,065	0x88cb95…
02-01 07:51:56	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on february 1	No	BUY	1,060	100¢	$1,058	0x168c85…
01-31 09:26:28	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc44122…
01-29 11:04:28	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1fa421…
01-28 10:59:43	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x789ea3…
01-28 02:44:41	ethereum above 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,070	0¢	$1	0x3227c1…
01-27 10:41:19	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc24eb4…
01-26 13:34:43	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf4eb0e…
01-26 11:19:37	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x29b7bf…
01-26 02:22:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 26	Yes	BUY	1,063	0¢	$1	0xd803c5…
01-23 05:56:16	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	Yes	BUY	1,051	0¢	$1	0xb3fb9a…
01-19 11:11:16	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x730cb0…
01-08 06:53:29	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 8	Yes	BUY	1,068	0¢	$1	0xd6575b…
01-08 06:52:05	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 8	Yes	BUY	1,066	0¢	$1	0xd8d222…
01-08 06:50:33	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 8	Yes	BUY	1,066	0¢	$1	0xe5d3b1…
01-08 06:45:55	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 96000 on january 8	Yes	BUY	1,065	0¢	$1	0x95b5c2…