Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?
open
Total volume
$8,139
$75,748 in 24h
Trades
76
Unique wallets
56
Liquidity
$58,611
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-14 05:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1
vs crowd: 1% YES on $4.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $9 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 53 | $20 | $3.4K | $3.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $581 | $581 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| Median | 18 | $2 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| Below median | 9 | $7 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $39 | $38 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $7 | $11 | $4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $9 | $681 | $672 |
| unranked | 15 | $1 | $527 | $526 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impish-Quilt 0x60aa…8b01 | Yes | +1,111 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 21:11 |
| Watchful-Speakerphone 0x3dea…26d5 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 05:51 |
| Filthy-Controller 0x4a9e…6dcf | No | +865 | $862 | $862 | 1 | 05-13 05:23 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | +725 | $681 | $681 | 6 | 05-12 02:44 |
| Generous-Cactus 0x9064…2f30 | No | +535 | $532 | $532 | 1 | 05-12 23:51 |
| Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | +512 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 05-12 19:27 |
| Hollow-Grease 0xa46f…cd17 | No | +503 | $502 | $502 | 1 | 05-13 16:02 |
| Untried-River 0xdf8a…e822 | No | +318 | $308 | $308 | 1 | 05-12 02:23 |
| Sinful-Vegetation 0x9e36…67bd | No | +274 | $274 | $274 | 1 | 05-13 16:07 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +270 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 05-11 16:12 |
| Overlooked-Server 0x38c3…c6cc | No | +111 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 05-13 03:52 |
| Acclaimed-Sender 0x00c4…54d2 | No | +110 | $109 | $109 | 2 | 05-12 16:06 |
| Filthy-Reveal 0x857e…80f6 | No | +108 | $108 | $108 | 1 | 05-13 03:46 |
| Ambitious-Sermon 0x9828…6600 | No | +73 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 05-11 15:38 |
| Abandoned-Union 0xea77…ed25 | No | +73 | $69 | $69 | 2 | 05-10 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x713c…758c | Yes | +68 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:08 |
| Shameful-Endoderm 0x275a…a8f6 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 15:46 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +34 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-11 03:13 |
| Agile-Willingness 0x7e02…435d | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-13 04:08 |
| Remorseful-Hepatitis 0x5778…17ff | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-13 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 11:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5b1…9499 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 15:46 |
| Elegant-Cottage 0xa83e…a920 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 08:56 |
| Sweltering-Delivery 0x375d…9a6c | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-13 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 15:46 |
| Guilty-Hacksaw 0x55a5…005c | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-13 08:43 |
| Miniature-Behalf 0x23f4…37f2 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-13 08:24 |
| Unaware-Hurry 0x95ce…981a | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 22:31 |
| Knobby-Sake 0x7ae8…08c3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 09:04 |
| Radiant-First 0xe82c…fe65 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 08:24 |
| Stable-Dealer 0x2b25…81cc | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-13 08:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-10 15:57 |
| Elegant-Dealing 0x3835…b8ba | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-13 08:46 |
| Intent-Golf 0x856e…a190 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 08:43 |
| Calm-Beneficiary 0x54f6…e4ef | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 08:56 |
| Knowledgeable-Socialism 0xfcbe…8f44 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 17:56 |
| Impractical-Devastation 0x4cdb…172c | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 15:57 |
| Idle-Candidacy 0x66d0…e6ac | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 04:02 |
| Unpleasant-Response 0xa034…1b4d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 17:56 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 21:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 05:51:50 | Watchful-Speakerphone 0x3dea…26d5 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x43190c… |
| 05-14 01:18:48 | Elastic-Accident 0x45a4…eef9 | No | SELL | 143 | 100¢ | $142 | 0x16e68c… |
| 05-13 23:39:48 | Hasty-Junior 0x6be2…f498 | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xd19832… |
| 05-13 21:31:28 | Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | No | BUY | 571 | 100¢ | $571 | 0x16dd0b… |
| 05-13 21:23:41 | Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | No | SELL | 2,220 | 100¢ | $2,218 | 0xfff6a9… |
| 05-13 21:11:09 | Impish-Quilt 0x60aa…8b01 | Yes | BUY | 1,111 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x51aa95… |
| 05-13 19:32:49 | Adored-Knife 0x97d9…1baa | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xab0197… |
| 05-13 16:07:42 | Sinful-Vegetation 0x9e36…67bd | No | BUY | 274 | 100¢ | $274 | 0x7c4b5f… |
| 05-13 16:02:34 | Hollow-Grease 0xa46f…cd17 | No | BUY | 503 | 100¢ | $502 | 0x6906cc… |
| 05-13 14:33:33 | Grandiose-Foam 0x1733…2901 | No | SELL | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0x2970bc… |
| 05-13 13:48:17 | Sweltering-Delivery 0x375d…9a6c | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xa94608… |
| 05-13 13:13:17 | Blushing-Cake 0x7a8e…68ec | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x82e071… |
| 05-13 09:04:03 | Knobby-Sake 0x7ae8…08c3 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x2fed21… |
| 05-13 08:56:31 | Elegant-Cottage 0xa83e…a920 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xa413ca… |
| 05-13 08:56:28 | Calm-Beneficiary 0x54f6…e4ef | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x6f8700… |
| 05-13 08:46:26 | Stable-Dealer 0x2b25…81cc | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x799b17… |
| 05-13 08:46:22 | Elegant-Dealing 0x3835…b8ba | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xab9a83… |
| 05-13 08:43:50 | Intent-Golf 0x856e…a190 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x1f009a… |
| 05-13 08:43:48 | Guilty-Hacksaw 0x55a5…005c | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x36df1b… |
| 05-13 08:24:49 | Miniature-Behalf 0x23f4…37f2 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xd4f5b5… |
| 05-13 08:24:46 | Radiant-First 0xe82c…fe65 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xe2635f… |
| 05-13 07:04:37 | Low-Monotheism-Patron 0x87fe…4be1 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x88053a… |
| 05-13 05:53:42 | Remorseful-Hepatitis 0x5778…17ff | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x7f046a… |
| 05-13 05:23:03 | Filthy-Controller 0x4a9e…6dcf | No | BUY | 865 | 100¢ | $862 | 0x065684… |
| 05-13 04:43:49 | Spiteful-Anterior 0x13c4…f41d | No | SELL | 420 | 99¢ | $417 | 0xb80f77… |
| 05-13 04:08:35 | Agile-Willingness 0x7e02…435d | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x2a197f… |
| 05-13 03:52:15 | Overlooked-Server 0x38c3…c6cc | No | BUY | 111 | 100¢ | $111 | 0x23853a… |
| 05-13 03:46:06 | Filthy-Reveal 0x857e…80f6 | No | BUY | 108 | 100¢ | $108 | 0xe5848e… |
| 05-13 02:36:38 | Yearly-Comradeship 0x9e00…724e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x108471… |
| 05-13 02:27:53 | Elastic-Accident 0x45a4…eef9 | No | BUY | 143 | 100¢ | $142 | 0xdb4627… |
| 05-13 00:42:05 | Worthless-Ikebana 0x53e9…d896 | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x35f23d… |
| 05-13 00:31:25 | Elegant-Viola 0xbcaf…7179 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x17e926… |
| 05-12 23:51:12 | Generous-Cactus 0x9064…2f30 | No | BUY | 535 | 99¢ | $532 | 0x7add69… |
| 05-12 22:31:10 | Unaware-Hurry 0x95ce…981a | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xdbdca3… |
| 05-12 21:20:56 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd834bd… |
| 05-12 19:27:39 | Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | BUY | 118 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc50621… |
| 05-12 19:22:29 | Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | BUY | 333 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x21d8d9… |
| 05-12 17:56:44 | Unpleasant-Response 0xa034…1b4d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4a525a… |
| 05-12 17:56:42 | Knowledgeable-Socialism 0xfcbe…8f44 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xb23c37… |
| 05-12 16:06:43 | Acclaimed-Sender 0x00c4…54d2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfb60a1… |
| 05-12 16:02:05 | Acclaimed-Sender 0x00c4…54d2 | No | BUY | 105 | 99¢ | $104 | 0x9af66b… |
| 05-12 08:37:24 | Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5f6391… |
| 05-12 02:44:10 | Impish-Midden 0x29ea…701e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x043774… |
| 05-12 02:44:10 | Flickering-Champagne 0xf63a…eec2 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xbde203… |
| 05-12 02:44:10 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 101 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x393ad2… |
| 05-12 02:23:50 | Untried-River 0xdf8a…e822 | No | BUY | 318 | 97¢ | $308 | 0x453b39… |
| 05-11 16:12:44 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x0337bb… |
| 05-11 16:08:16 | (anonymous) 0x713c…758c | Yes | BUY | 68 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x45fdee… |
| 05-11 16:08:15 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 120 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xac966d… |
| 05-11 15:38:23 | Ambitious-Sermon 0x9828…6600 | No | BUY | 73 | 98¢ | $72 | 0x2a9d83… |
| 05-11 04:02:56 | Idle-Candidacy 0x66d0…e6ac | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x1a5f80… |
| 05-11 03:13:33 | (anonymous) 0x9085…9322 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x28129c… |
| 05-11 03:13:28 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 34 | 96¢ | $33 | 0x6316b8… |
| 05-11 03:13:01 | (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xb9e98f… |
| 05-11 03:12:54 | (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x9c52cb… |
| 05-11 03:12:53 | Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x75cc87… |
| 05-11 03:12:51 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 550 | 95¢ | $522 | 0x22978b… |
| 05-11 03:12:51 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x01d75d… |
| 05-11 03:12:51 | (anonymous) 0xbaae…fbb0 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xeddd52… |
| 05-10 23:50:31 | Abandoned-Union 0xea77…ed25 | No | BUY | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0x2180dc… |
| 05-10 15:57:00 | Impractical-Devastation 0x4cdb…172c | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xe77f40… |
| 05-10 15:57:00 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x21f198… |
| 05-10 15:46:42 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe9f99d… |
| 05-10 15:46:42 | (anonymous) 0xd5b1…9499 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6b7f77… |
| 05-10 15:46:42 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1baede… |
| 05-10 15:46:40 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x2e5585… |
| 05-10 15:46:40 | Shameful-Endoderm 0x275a…a8f6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xacc6a2… |
| 05-10 11:45:07 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x555ed9… |
| 05-10 00:13:06 | Abandoned-Union 0xea77…ed25 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xccead4… |
| 05-07 17:06:14 | (anonymous) 0xe72b…dfd6 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x95cc02… |
| 05-07 17:06:14 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x89723f… |
| 05-07 17:06:12 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 22 | 60¢ | $13 | 0xbdd0f2… |
| 05-07 16:34:14 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x1c540d… |
| 05-07 16:34:14 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x35ad43… |
| 05-07 16:34:14 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xe8f4e0… |
| 05-07 16:34:14 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 45 | 93¢ | $42 | 0x771764… |