Lucky-Duplexer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.75K

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

1,388

Trades

2,871

lifetime

Volume

$425.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$148

Open exposure

$499

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 08:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Other

40% 83% -$3,278

Crypto

34% 65% -$780

Politics

26% 86% -$774

Tech

0% 100% +$20

Sports

0% 75% +$62

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will wti reach 130 in october 2026	No		+500	$494	100¢	$499	+$5	09-30 07:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 18 2026 et	3	$10.0K	5,045	5,045	+0	No	+$40	02-19 09:00
will the us next strike iran on february 17 2026 et	3	$9.0K	4,508	4,508	+0	No	+$27	02-18 09:16
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$7.0K	4,336	4,336	+0	No	-$1,437	02-28 06:16
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	6	$5.7K	2,928	2,928	+0	Yes	+$112	03-05 16:34
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	4	$5.4K	2,727	2,727	+0	No	+$50	02-27 06:07
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	8	$4.5K	2,304	2,304	+0	Yes	+$70	03-06 14:27
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	2	$4.1K	2,105	2,105	+0	Yes	+$95	03-03 20:14
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	2	$4.1K	2,064	2,064	+0	Yes	+$58	03-02 08:34
will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	2	$4.0K	2,028	2,028	+0	No	+$26	02-26 09:10
will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	9	$4.0K	2,023	2,023	+0	No	+$21	02-27 15:49
us forces enter iran by march 7	4	$3.3K	1,777	1,777	+0	No	+$160	03-07 16:26
bitcoin above 72k on march 18	18	$3.3K	1,995	1,984	+11	No	+$95	03-18 15:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:15 UTC	5	$3.3K	1,778	1,773	+5	Up	+$50	03-17 15:20
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	2	$3.2K	2,049	2,049	+0	No	-$848	02-28 06:16
will iran strike israel on march 4	6	$3.1K	2,302	1,244	+1,058	Yes	-$851	03-05 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 15:20 UTC	2	$2.7K	1,435	1,433	+1	Down	+$30	03-17 15:22
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$2.3K	1,357	1,357	+0	Yes	+$346	03-01 09:15
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	3	$2.3K	1,167	1,167	+0	Yes	+$14	03-07 15:33
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	2	$2.1K	1,111	1,111	+0	Yes	+$109	03-03 05:33
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	2	$2.0K	1,017	1,017	+0	No	+$16	02-23 09:01
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	2	$2.0K	1,017	1,017	+0	No	+$16	03-24 09:11
will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	2	$2.0K	1,015	1,015	+0	No	+$14	02-20 20:03
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	2	$2.0K	1,014	1,014	+0	No	+$13	02-24 09:06
bitcoin above 78k on march 23	2	$2.0K	1,003	1,003	+0	No	+$2	03-23 08:06
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$2.0K	2,035	0	+2,035	No	+$35	03-01 09:28
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$2.0K	2,028	0	+2,028	No	+$28	02-25 11:44
bitcoin above 64k on february 17	2	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	Yes	-$1	02-17 11:30
bitcoin above 72k on february 17	2	$2.0K	1,007	1,007	+0	No	-$1	02-17 11:31
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$14	02-25 11:27
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$34	02-24 10:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:18:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	SELL	430	100¢	$430	0x49cb04…
10-27 09:00:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xc34062…
10-27 08:57:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xed626b…
10-26 20:40:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x2ac51d…
10-26 07:54:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	No	SELL	376	100¢	$376	0x6db0c7…
10-22 20:21:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	No	SELL	312	100¢	$312	0xcaafcd…
10-22 18:12:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x63a360…
10-18 21:53:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	No	SELL	374	100¢	$372	0x071003…
10-16 07:40:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x197e99…
10-08 08:29:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in October?	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0xcabda7…
10-07 02:42:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0xf17eec…
10-05 08:35:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	223	99¢	$221	0x0c291f…
09-30 19:36:53	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0xe81bb6…
09-30 08:22:44	will wti reach 150 in october 2026	No	BUY	174	99¢	$173	0x4df17d…
09-30 08:22:14	will wti dip to 50 in october 2026	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x3ab233…
09-30 08:22:05	will wti dip to 60 in october 2026	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0xf0c7ad…
09-30 08:21:59	will wti dip to 65 in october 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x1c1923…
09-30 08:21:30	will wti reach 140 in october 2026	No	BUY	376	99¢	$373	0x49838a…
09-30 08:17:33	will xauusd dip to 3700 in october 2026	No	BUY	143	97¢	$140	0x065a64…
09-30 08:17:23	will xauusd dip to 3600 in october 2026	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x4cce24…
09-30 08:08:12	will xagusd reach 76 in october 2026	No	BUY	290	98¢	$284	0xb45fa6…
09-30 08:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$199	0xb6fbeb…
09-30 08:01:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xff0371…
09-30 08:01:02	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x76eb2e…
09-30 07:58:44	Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x940a5a…
09-30 07:58:21	Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026?	No	BUY	165	99¢	$164	0x67bac9…
09-30 07:48:51	will xauusd dip to 3700 in october 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0e0419…
09-30 07:48:24	will xauusd dip to 3600 in october 2026	No	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0xdd4586…
09-30 07:45:20	will xagusd dip to 50 in october 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x4d9538…
09-30 07:45:09	will xagusd dip to 52 in october 2026	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xef8ffb…
09-30 07:44:56	will xagusd dip to 50 in october 2026	No	BUY	106	95¢	$101	0x570049…
09-30 07:44:36	will xagusd reach 76 in october 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9d1883…
09-30 07:44:30	will xagusd reach 74 in october 2026	No	BUY	63	96¢	$61	0x6bf90e…
09-30 07:44:20	will xagusd reach 76 in october 2026	No	BUY	116	96¢	$111	0x4b03ef…
09-30 07:42:56	will xauusd reach 4800 in october 2026	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x3df658…
09-30 07:42:47	will xauusd reach 4900 in october 2026	No	BUY	428	96¢	$411	0xa4c465…
09-30 07:42:35	will xauusd dip to 3700 in october 2026	No	BUY	184	95¢	$175	0x23cbfc…
09-30 07:42:21	will xauusd dip to 3600 in october 2026	No	BUY	135	98¢	$133	0x8bfb3f…
09-30 07:40:14	will wti dip to 65 in october 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7b55e3…
09-30 07:38:51	will wti dip to 65 in october 2026	No	BUY	159	97¢	$155	0x1236fc…
09-30 07:38:18	will wti reach 120 in october 2026	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x3dac41…
09-30 07:38:06	will wti reach 130 in october 2026	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x6677b3…
09-30 07:37:53	will wti reach 140 in october 2026	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x652088…
09-30 07:37:36	will wti dip to 65 in october 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xed0f1f…
09-30 07:37:20	will wti dip to 60 in october 2026	No	BUY	317	99¢	$314	0x99b7b0…
09-30 07:33:00	will xauusd dip to 3800 in september 2026	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xda8091…
09-30 00:09:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?	No	SELL	278	100¢	$278	0x15aa59…
09-29 22:23:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	SELL	539	100¢	$539	0x7f3b77…
09-29 21:06:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x19c22c…
09-29 12:15:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x41e401…
09-29 06:48:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x701ab4…
09-29 06:31:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3dc6da…
09-27 12:57:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September?	No	SELL	503	100¢	$503	0x6928b5…
09-26 01:08:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in September?	No	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0xaf11d3…
09-26 00:31:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in September?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xff6303…
09-25 14:31:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	SELL	370	99¢	$367	0x976b9d…
09-23 12:11:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	SELL	229	99¢	$227	0x045c06…
09-23 04:25:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in September?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x390485…
09-22 16:55:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xff15ea…
09-20 08:38:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September?	No	SELL	391	99¢	$387	0x3d2807…
09-18 23:40:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?	No	SELL	109	95¢	$103	0xd4aa8a…
09-18 20:22:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?	No	SELL	130	95¢	$124	0xd2d2fa…
09-18 12:28:53	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September?	No	SELL	283	99¢	$280	0x0cc589…
09-18 02:00:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in September?	No	SELL	546	99¢	$541	0x208f19…
09-17 19:01:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in September?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xaf5571…
09-17 12:04:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in September?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x591302…
09-15 01:56:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in September?	No	SELL	99	95¢	$94	0xab30ca…
09-10 20:58:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in September?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa2ff88…
09-07 07:53:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xe0c6a4…
09-07 07:52:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x4e07d7…
09-07 07:52:37	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x896a6f…
09-07 07:50:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe8b616…
09-07 07:50:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x31e62c…
09-07 07:43:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?	No	BUY	239	86¢	$205	0x40d8e7…
09-07 07:43:34	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$469	0x163997…
09-07 07:43:15	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in September?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x6b7e14…
09-07 07:42:48	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	600	89¢	$535	0x22e70b…
09-07 07:40:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in September?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$113	0x2be953…
09-07 07:40:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in September?	No	BUY	240	99¢	$237	0xcfbe39…
09-07 07:39:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in September?	No	BUY	593	97¢	$575	0xb465df…
09-07 07:39:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September?	No	BUY	283	94¢	$265	0xb46954…
09-07 07:38:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September?	No	BUY	725	98¢	$710	0x9116c8…
09-07 07:37:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x5ed13e…
09-07 07:37:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x3f0d66…
09-07 07:37:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb52a69…
09-07 07:37:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x30c831…
09-07 07:33:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in September?	No	BUY	291	98¢	$285	0x471745…
09-07 07:32:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	BUY	540	99¢	$533	0x971d01…
07-19 22:03:48	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xdb500e…
07-19 08:16:43	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0c5d62…
07-19 08:15:24	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xfd970a…
07-19 08:15:13	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	398	98¢	$390	0x59289c…
07-19 08:14:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xfb3e42…
07-19 08:12:30	will ng reach 4 20 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xaa7e32…
07-19 08:12:13	will ng reach 3 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x1a3295…
07-19 08:12:03	will ng reach 3 60 in july 2026	No	BUY	175	98¢	$172	0x14e354…
07-19 08:11:40	will ng dip to 2 40 in july 2026	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x9c96c1…
07-19 08:06:21	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in July 2026?	No	BUY	360	98¢	$351	0xb9f6a1…
07-19 08:06:07	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in July 2026?	No	BUY	1,110	99¢	$1,094	0xe6f28a…
07-01 03:03:37	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x75cff8…