Harmful-Sphynx — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

357

Trades

706

lifetime

Volume

$8.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-20 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

79% 82% -$25

Crypto

14% 88% +$0

Politics

5% 72% +$0

Sports

2% 60% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C or below on May 8?	3	$71	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-07 09:00
highest temperature in los angeles on march 27 2026 84 85f	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	03-27 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 20?	5	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-20 12:59
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on May 8?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-07 09:05
Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-16 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 14?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-13 07:46
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 6?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-06 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 17?	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-16 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C or below on May 4?	6	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-04 05:01
highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 19c	1	$53	53	0	+53	Yes	+$0	04-01 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 17?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-17 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on May 15?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	05-14 13:33
Will "Apex" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	3	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	04-27 06:00
highest temperature in miami on april 4 2026 74 75f	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	04-04 02:18
Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-18 16:29
Will MrBeast's video get between 58 and 60 million views on day 3?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-05 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or higher on May 5?	3	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on May 6?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-06 03:30
Will ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	5	$51	25	25	+0	No	$0	04-29 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 88°F or higher on May 4?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-04 00:02
highest temperature in miami on april 21 2026 88forhigher	3	$49	25	25	+0	No	$0	04-21 05:58
highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 18corbelow	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	$0	04-24 03:18
will trumps approval rating be between 38pt5 and 38pt9 on april 17 2026	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-18 12:04
will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 3	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	04-02 02:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-11 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on May 14?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-14 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 15?	3	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	05-15 06:50
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	$0	04-29 06:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 9?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-09 12:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-03 09:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 18:52:20	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf92237…
10-18 15:02:17	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x86023d…
10-15 10:52:37	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb4f28d…
10-15 10:51:42	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4e2a5d…
10-15 10:50:51	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x688515…
10-15 10:49:57	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x640460…
10-15 10:49:01	Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x775f9a…
10-15 10:48:09	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc8fa8b…
10-08 12:57:35	Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0c771d…
09-21 17:43:52	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x1b255a…
09-16 15:23:29	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xeea364…
09-11 15:45:06	Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc03d18…
09-03 19:42:24	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd5e262…
09-01 15:03:10	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x826b6d…
09-01 15:02:04	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0e5b41…
09-01 15:00:54	Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5ee8b0…
09-01 14:59:42	Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0255b3…
09-01 14:58:37	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfa7d4d…
08-30 08:42:45	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8f5d7c…
08-24 12:33:03	Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10577e…
08-12 03:04:28	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x28de28…
07-25 11:50:27	Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb464b6…
07-22 03:11:33	Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bddb8…
07-19 02:37:30	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd55388…
07-14 13:14:59	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x503a21…
07-11 19:26:19	Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf6ac6d…
07-11 19:25:25	Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x229262…
07-02 16:50:56	Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x10153e…
06-30 08:57:14	Will Ugo Humbert be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xded0ed…
06-27 01:33:17	Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x668b92…
06-21 10:17:17	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x88d818…
06-21 10:16:22	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xff59d0…
06-21 10:15:26	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbead74…
06-21 10:14:31	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xac81de…
06-21 02:39:46	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x12894c…
06-18 17:30:44	Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6385d6…
06-08 19:44:36	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8a495…
06-07 01:17:49	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xcd1da5…
05-21 23:04:46	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x98e3e4…
05-21 14:43:37	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x817048…
05-21 07:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C or below on May 21?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x48053c…
05-21 06:20:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x340825…
05-21 05:07:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4c3b07…
05-21 02:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 21?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7e9c38…
05-20 22:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 21?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcdc993…
05-20 21:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2f5837…
05-20 21:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 21?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0f48a8…
05-20 21:34:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5c3262…
05-20 20:32:35	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 95 and 100?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x14e2be…
05-20 18:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 22°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb29bf8…
05-20 15:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 21?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8573fa…
05-20 14:18:07	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 95 and 100?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xafec8e…
05-20 12:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 20?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb2dc2b…
05-20 11:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x84b0aa…
05-20 11:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa3e253…
05-20 11:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 20?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1d5203…
05-20 09:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ff0c5…
05-20 03:15:11	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7993d7…
05-20 00:17:56	Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa53532…
05-19 20:55:21	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xa0b2d1…
05-19 19:52:23	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd84a0a…
05-19 16:35:06	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x01d181…
05-19 16:31:25	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5dbe17…
05-19 15:08:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x588c47…
05-19 14:26:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x51ff6b…
05-19 10:41:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2c3356…
05-19 09:55:36	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xf00f46…
05-19 08:35:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x965c82…
05-19 07:05:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x15e332…
05-19 06:53:01	Will Joe Lester be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x97f5fb…
05-19 03:35:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9b3632…
05-19 02:17:55	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x082bc2…
05-19 00:00:48	Will Joe Lester be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4a23df…
05-19 00:00:38	Will Joe Lester be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x25207c…
05-18 22:16:28	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8c637a…
05-18 18:56:27	Will Joe Lester be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6541d7…
05-18 16:29:30	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x6ae060…
05-18 16:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc79857…
05-18 11:13:47	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdc4fff…
05-18 10:28:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbdc6b3…
05-18 04:51:05	Will Chad Chig Martin win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc2221e…
05-18 03:09:30	Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xbebbcf…
05-18 02:39:45	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7287bd…
05-18 02:26:13	Will Robert Neuman win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x93408d…
05-18 01:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on May 19?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x839de6…
05-18 00:45:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb38308…
05-17 22:39:25	Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xfa8b7d…
05-17 21:29:32	Will William Lillich be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x12c538…
05-17 20:01:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32355e…
05-17 18:14:56	Will William Lillich be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbc108a…
05-17 17:00:09	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4e0ebd…
05-17 16:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3d4fae…
05-17 16:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe5f5af…
05-17 16:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 17?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x36ad18…
05-17 16:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 17?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0x0861b2…
05-17 13:02:30	Will XRP dip to $1.30 May 11-17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa251c5…
05-17 12:30:16	Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfaf623…
05-17 09:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 17?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x33da39…
05-17 06:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d55f5…
05-17 05:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 17?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xf8ecb5…