Leafy-Notebook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.87K

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

90.1%

Resolved

940

Trades

7,778

lifetime

Volume

$4.94M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$635

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-03 05:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 92% -$2,625

Other

4% 93% -$314

Politics

0% 100% +$73

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+3,545	$23	0¢	$9	-$14	07-10 06:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	39	$70.5K	35,489	35,489	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 14:46
bitcoin above 72k on march 26	155	$62.3K	36,030	26,484	+9,546	No	-$4	03-26 14:54
bitcoin above 66k on march 18	3	$51.7K	25,891	25,891	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 10:18
bitcoin above 78k on march 18	54	$50.8K	24,970	25,953	-983	No	+$71	03-18 14:53
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	6	$50.5K	25,288	25,288	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 12:21
bitcoin above 60k on february 14	7	$49.6K	24,839	24,839	+0	Yes	+$0	02-14 12:34
bitcoin above 66k on march 17	13	$46.4K	23,228	23,228	+0	Yes	+$1	03-17 09:35
bitcoin above 60k on february 15	16	$46.1K	23,071	23,070	+0	Yes	+$0	02-15 10:38
bitcoin above 76k on april 16	115	$45.3K	21,032	24,505	-3,474	No	+$58	04-16 15:37
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	198	$42.1K	20,401	22,721	-2,321	Yes	-$59	03-23 14:33
bitcoin above 58k on february 12	10	$41.8K	19,524	22,295	-2,772	Yes	+$17	02-12 11:32
bitcoin above 74k on february 6	72	$39.6K	31,852	7,995	+23,857	No	+$164	02-06 15:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	45	$39.2K	19,441	19,841	-400	No	+$15	05-26 13:54
bitcoin above 58k on february 18	5	$37.9K	25,093	12,800	+12,293	Yes	+$12	02-18 08:25
bitcoin above 84k on february 5	3	$37.8K	18,907	18,907	+0	No	+$0	02-05 11:12
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	78	$36.6K	19,709	17,339	+2,370	Yes	+$348	03-23 14:03
bitcoin above 76k on february 9	7	$35.5K	24,444	11,094	+13,350	No	+$13	02-09 13:22
bitcoin above 58k on february 19	2	$35.4K	19,357	16,101	+3,256	Yes	+$3	02-19 10:33
bitcoin above 76k on february 6	70	$34.8K	17,460	17,460	+0	No	+$26	02-06 12:14
bitcoin above 58k on february 20	10	$33.5K	19,558	13,994	+5,564	Yes	+$12	02-20 13:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 25?	8	$32.3K	16,170	16,170	+0	Yes	+$30	05-25 05:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	8	$30.7K	22,044	8,680	+13,364	No	+$16	04-15 14:25
bitcoin above 72k on march 23	43	$30.5K	19,366	19,660	-294	No	-$8,403	03-23 11:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	11	$30.2K	15,143	15,143	+0	Yes	+$23	05-24 21:10
bitcoin above 72k on april 6	72	$30.0K	19,312	10,753	+8,559	No	+$33	04-06 15:21
solana above 100 on february 13	94	$29.9K	14,992	14,991	+2	No	+$9	02-13 13:39
xrp above 1 on february 11	5	$29.9K	14,943	14,943	+0	Yes	+$0	02-11 10:12
bitcoin above 76k on march 18	51	$29.0K	12,138	16,959	-4,821	No	+$19	03-18 15:08
bitcoin above 88k on february 4	5	$28.9K	14,448	14,448	+0	No	+$14	02-04 13:26
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	28	$28.7K	14,381	14,381	+0	Yes	+$18	03-23 11:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 05:15:02	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x6c8bdd…
10-03 05:14:51	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x3ef1d0…
08-17 19:56:51	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	166	4¢	$6	0xc43bf7…
07-10 06:36:55	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,291	1¢	$8	0xec730d…
07-10 05:46:11	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x98676c…
07-10 05:25:37	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x082f4d…
07-10 05:19:17	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x678b16…
07-10 05:11:50	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf6553d…
07-10 05:09:44	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x30894e…
07-10 05:00:34	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x87c20b…
07-10 05:00:02	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0a1b95…
07-10 04:43:53	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x263b2e…
07-10 04:32:07	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$1	0x466179…
07-10 04:31:46	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	233	1¢	$1	0x9dc8b1…
07-10 03:58:20	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x48e8aa…
07-10 03:39:50	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x931903…
07-10 03:20:44	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	219	1¢	$1	0x146b93…
07-10 03:18:35	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x993b14…
07-10 03:11:02	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe90dd7…
07-10 03:03:59	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0xe3a26b…
07-10 02:58:31	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0x619976…
07-10 02:50:19	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0xff0c8a…
07-10 02:39:31	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2096f7…
07-10 02:35:22	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xc7c3e9…
07-10 02:22:07	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$1	0xdcf01b…
07-10 02:21:41	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x8f1eaf…
07-10 02:16:44	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x96a078…
07-10 02:12:05	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x8ce2f7…
07-10 02:06:50	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x689cd4…
07-10 01:51:26	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xd7c486…
07-10 01:49:16	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xd65ce3…
07-10 01:45:53	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0x0a7874…
07-03 20:16:25	will ethereum dip to 1400 on july 3	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x041a58…
06-24 20:14:13	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 24	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,079	0xf45750…
06-24 20:13:38	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 24	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x092b2a…
06-24 19:28:46	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 24	No	BUY	920	100¢	$919	0x4ddf34…
06-24 18:36:23	will bitcoin reach 70k on june 24	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xfb49be…
06-11 21:51:40	Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x606280…
06-05 16:27:55	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa7ad2a…
06-05 11:36:24	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x2eefe8…
06-05 11:13:12	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	73	3¢	$2	0x86895a…
06-04 00:08:16	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	146	1¢	$1	0xff5bb0…
05-28 22:33:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa6db07…
05-28 09:53:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb14401…
05-27 00:45:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03c78e…
05-27 00:14:46	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xfb37b7…
05-26 22:24:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	986	100¢	$985	0x06b092…
05-26 22:20:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	4,365	100¢	$4,361	0x5dae8d…
05-26 22:16:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x40e2cb…
05-26 22:16:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	1,670	100¢	$1,667	0x16dfac…
05-26 22:12:36	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x552fae…
05-26 22:07:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	674	100¢	$673	0xc94bcb…
05-26 22:07:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95d510…
05-26 22:01:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	318	100¢	$317	0xc280fa…
05-26 21:33:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9dc409…
05-26 21:19:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9e78b3…
05-26 21:03:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf2c886…
05-26 20:55:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb203e1…
05-26 20:55:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0062a9…
05-26 19:34:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x2ac939…
05-26 19:17:07	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	3,600	100¢	$3,596	0x2f084b…
05-26 19:16:55	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xd84d18…
05-26 19:04:01	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,338	100¢	$1,337	0xfe1c9c…
05-26 19:03:45	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	860	100¢	$858	0x0582b7…
05-26 18:52:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x2cf410…
05-26 18:36:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	263	99¢	$261	0x19a794…
05-26 18:14:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x906443…
05-26 18:11:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2,931	100¢	$2,926	0xb042c2…
05-26 18:10:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	721	100¢	$720	0xe5ac94…
05-26 18:09:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	583	99¢	$580	0x14f343…
05-26 18:07:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xaddab5…
05-26 18:04:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1bc26f…
05-26 17:59:55	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	676	100¢	$675	0xce33c0…
05-26 17:59:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x88c3a3…
05-26 17:54:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	612	99¢	$609	0x61a42e…
05-26 17:51:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xcbfaad…
05-26 17:35:09	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x620252…
05-26 17:34:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9fdada…
05-26 17:23:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	562	100¢	$561	0x068900…
05-26 17:20:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x9b44d1…
05-26 17:20:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	366	99¢	$364	0xf89bac…
05-26 17:19:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	185	99¢	$184	0xa64622…
05-26 17:16:32	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	4,516	100¢	$4,512	0x3b4dd3…
05-26 17:05:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	639	99¢	$633	0x39551b…
05-26 17:02:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	892	99¢	$886	0x6e654f…
05-26 17:02:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	439	99¢	$434	0xd137ac…
05-26 16:31:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	1,250	100¢	$1,248	0x07b4ad…
05-26 16:24:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x1fe6a6…
05-26 16:17:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	405	99¢	$402	0x86d895…
05-26 16:16:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x35b269…
05-26 16:14:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	399	99¢	$396	0x484f43…
05-26 16:07:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xdec027…
05-26 16:06:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xdf44fe…
05-26 15:53:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xba7c68…
05-26 15:51:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x0a56c6…
05-26 15:49:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72c470…
05-26 15:49:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	2,156	100¢	$2,152	0x3dd74d…
05-26 15:49:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	2,332	100¢	$2,329	0x41de06…
05-26 15:45:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	1,901	100¢	$1,899	0xc44e5c…
05-26 15:45:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1,950	100¢	$1,946	0x1c5baf…