Elastic-Accident — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-11 14:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 100% +$5

Politics

18% — —

Other

10% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	2	$346	174	174	+0	open	—	04-13 12:35
bitcoin above 74k on march 31	2	$320	161	161	+0	open	—	03-31 01:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	2	$288	145	145	+0	open	—	04-27 14:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	2	$284	143	143	+0	open	—	05-14 01:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	2	$283	147	147	+0	open	—	05-04 02:14
bitcoin above 60k on april 3	2	$267	134	134	+0	open	—	04-03 06:06
donald trump of truth social posts february 17 february 24 160 179	2	$265	133	133	+0	open	—	02-25 01:07
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$261	132	132	+0	open	—	02-24 04:38
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$257	130	130	+0	open	—	02-23 04:24
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$252	127	127	+0	open	—	02-22 01:10
bitcoin above 64k on march 26	2	$250	125	125	+0	open	—	03-26 01:38
bitcoin above 60k on april 4	2	$248	125	124	+0	open	—	04-04 15:32
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$246	125	125	+0	open	—	02-21 05:45
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$241	122	122	+0	open	—	02-20 03:58
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	2	$236	118	118	+0	open	—	02-18 01:48
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	2	$234	118	118	+0	open	—	02-17 01:02
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	2	$232	117	117	+0	open	—	02-16 01:19
will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	2	$230	116	116	+0	open	—	02-14 09:03
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	2	$223	112	112	+0	open	—	04-01 14:15
bitcoin above 68k on march 17	2	$203	103	103	+0	open	—	03-17 01:10
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	03-09 12:09
bitcoin above 60k on february 28	2	$195	101	101	+0	open	—	02-28 06:56
bitcoin above 60k on april 8	2	$195	98	98	+0	open	—	04-08 06:30
bitcoin above 78k on march 11	2	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	03-11 05:44
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	2	$178	89	89	+0	open	—	03-30 06:28
bitcoin above 76k on april 15	2	$174	105	105	+0	open	—	04-14 13:43
bitcoin above 78k on april 11	1	$171	172	0	+172	open	—	04-10 12:27
bitcoin above 66k on march 22	2	$168	85	85	+0	open	—	03-22 12:05
bitcoin above 66k on march 19	3	$166	84	84	+0	open	—	03-19 15:12
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	2	$165	83	83	+0	open	—	02-12 04:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 14:51:46	bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xc5f3dd…
06-10 01:02:33	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x6e61c0…
06-08 01:16:31	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xae25d6…
06-02 14:16:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x265d0b…
05-31 12:05:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x0d440c…
05-29 13:40:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0xfe4f02…
05-27 14:05:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x7de070…
05-26 10:09:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcc5c7f…
05-25 15:20:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc2a08b…
05-25 15:20:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xcf5113…
05-23 15:39:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0xa83187…
05-22 03:22:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x0711a6…
05-21 12:50:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x19b8c8…
05-20 01:13:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x329e5b…
05-17 05:07:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x232d25…
05-15 15:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0x2cc6d9…
05-14 01:24:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0xcff3f7…
05-14 01:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$142	0x16e68c…
05-13 02:27:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$142	0xdb4627…
05-10 15:28:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	142	98¢	$139	0x150e88…
05-07 15:18:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xc7dbd5…
05-06 13:57:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd3fa80…
05-05 09:41:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x73ac1b…
05-05 09:41:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xc4eca6…
05-05 09:40:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0xf577db…
05-04 02:20:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x8fa4d6…
05-04 02:15:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc2aa45…
05-04 02:14:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	SELL	147	94¢	$138	0x8343cc…
05-03 14:22:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$145	0x24f6a9…
05-01 01:42:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0xf74e7b…
04-27 14:57:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0x047b5a…
04-27 14:56:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	145	100¢	$144	0xa0792a…
04-26 01:44:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	145	99¢	$143	0xfa05ec…
04-22 14:43:04	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	143	99¢	$143	0xc79de4…
04-21 01:24:18	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	143	100¢	$142	0x9602e3…
04-19 12:41:26	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x407b6a…
04-17 14:14:06	bitcoin above 70k on april 18	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xb2fbc9…
04-15 01:55:10	bitcoin above 82k on april 16	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x5647b1…
04-14 14:08:59	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x5d6516…
04-14 13:43:37	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	No	SELL	105	67¢	$71	0x84b4be…
04-14 13:16:37	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	71	100¢	$70	0xf5207e…
04-14 13:16:05	bitcoin above 66k on april 14	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xf143fb…
04-13 12:39:17	bitcoin above 66k on april 14	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xfcff14…
04-13 12:38:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	No	BUY	105	98¢	$104	0x6b7a74…
04-13 12:35:15	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0x8faefd…
04-12 03:25:19	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	174	99¢	$172	0xe203a1…
04-10 12:27:55	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	172	99¢	$171	0x043343…
04-10 12:27:35	bitcoin above 62k on april 10	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x76cdf2…
04-09 07:05:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	127	99¢	$126	0x8cde2f…
04-09 07:03:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xd81871…
04-08 14:16:57	bitcoin above 62k on april 10	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xbf9391…
04-08 14:16:39	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x0cf1b0…
04-08 14:15:13	bitcoin above 74k on april 8	No	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0xf6b748…
04-08 06:30:57	bitcoin above 60k on april 8	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x1a9da1…
04-07 14:36:37	bitcoin above 70k on april 7	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x2f126d…
04-07 14:30:37	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x57d945…
04-06 09:11:37	bitcoin above 60k on april 8	Yes	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xdef592…
04-06 09:11:23	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xd30e92…
04-06 09:10:01	bitcoin above 60k on april 6	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xdc866b…
04-04 15:37:19	bitcoin above 60k on april 6	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x3c71d8…
04-04 15:36:57	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8feac8…
04-04 15:32:03	bitcoin above 60k on april 4	Yes	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x81bdd0…
04-04 15:31:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$41	0x7270cd…
04-03 06:09:31	bitcoin above 60k on april 4	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x356aa9…
04-03 06:09:11	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x1af473…
04-03 06:06:35	bitcoin above 60k on april 3	Yes	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x779444…
04-01 14:16:59	bitcoin above 60k on april 3	Yes	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x054451…
04-01 14:16:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 2	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xf7b1cb…
04-01 14:15:15	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xf952db…
04-01 14:15:07	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0x4ffebc…
03-31 01:10:23	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0xad6ef3…
03-31 01:09:43	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xe1c2f7…
03-31 01:09:23	bitcoin above 74k on march 31	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x0d9bb3…
03-30 06:34:48	bitcoin above 74k on march 31	No	BUY	161	99¢	$159	0x093f38…
03-30 06:28:54	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xc73614…
03-29 05:12:48	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xf02e3e…
03-29 05:12:34	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xf79c31…
03-27 01:27:05	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	No	BUY	62	97¢	$61	0x979328…
03-26 01:40:57	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	96	99¢	$96	0xecc025…
03-26 01:40:19	bitcoin above 68k on march 26	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x9864f1…
03-26 01:38:57	bitcoin above 64k on march 26	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xb06842…
03-25 01:12:05	bitcoin above 64k on march 26	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xed99ff…
03-25 01:11:11	highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 20c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x693258…
03-24 01:31:13	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	154	99¢	$153	0x2fabf3…
03-22 12:07:17	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	87	96¢	$83	0xa29d11…
03-22 12:05:47	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	SELL	85	98¢	$84	0x171808…
03-21 05:36:17	bitcoin above 66k on march 22	Yes	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0x8bd14e…
03-20 02:51:45	will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x5c8ce2…
03-20 02:51:01	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	55	77¢	$42	0xbd8e22…
03-20 02:47:29	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 16c	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x146bc0…
03-19 15:14:53	bitcoin above 74k on march 20	No	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0x8ddb8b…
03-19 15:12:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 19	Yes	SELL	84	100¢	$83	0x760ea4…
03-19 13:15:01	highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 16c	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x791dbd…
03-19 01:16:35	bitcoin above 66k on march 19	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x56f089…
03-18 01:37:55	bitcoin above 66k on march 19	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0x7750e2…
03-18 01:34:55	highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 11c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x442323…
03-18 01:34:03	highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 10c	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x02ad90…
03-17 01:10:43	bitcoin above 70k on march 17	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x608121…
03-17 01:10:09	bitcoin above 68k on march 17	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0xc2f60f…
03-16 06:36:07	bitcoin above 68k on march 17	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0x8ad047…