Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?
No won
Total volume
$30,146
$92,851 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 03:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $200 | $200 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $3 | $29.8K | $29.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $200 | $200 |
| Median | 25 | — | $29.8K | $29.8K |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $3 | $20 | $17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soft-Enclave 0x564e…cf76 | No | +2,086 | $2,082 | $2,082 | 1 | 05-14 02:22 |
| Bold-Insight 0xb557…60a3 | No | +2,086 | $2,082 | $2,082 | 1 | 05-14 02:29 |
| Whopping-Trinket 0x81c2…0117 | No | +2,085 | $2,081 | $2,081 | 1 | 05-14 02:25 |
| Icy-Sturgeon 0x357f…6fbb | No | +2,084 | $2,079 | $2,079 | 1 | 05-14 02:31 |
| Meager-Parser 0xb7fb…e0d1 | No | +1,844 | $1,840 | $1,840 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| Peaceful-Reaction 0x80c6…7ce1 | No | +1,843 | $1,839 | $1,839 | 1 | 05-14 02:30 |
| Lively-Jellybeans 0x8250…b9b9 | No | +1,814 | $1,810 | $1,810 | 1 | 05-14 02:36 |
| Nocturnal-Wingman 0xd238…3d4a | No | +1,813 | $1,809 | $1,809 | 1 | 05-14 02:41 |
| Wiggly-Fulfillment 0xf3ff…6a08 | No | +1,813 | $1,809 | $1,809 | 1 | 05-14 02:37 |
| Nonstop-Underground 0x33b8…7387 | No | +1,812 | $1,808 | $1,808 | 1 | 05-14 02:31 |
| Wan-Actor 0x6aae…49ae | No | +1,810 | $1,806 | $1,806 | 1 | 05-14 02:43 |
| Webbed-West 0x4aeb…8225 | No | +1,800 | $1,796 | $1,796 | 1 | 05-14 02:34 |
| Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | +1,481 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 01:15 |
| Fitting-Hive 0x762b…f2e6 | No | +1,059 | $1,057 | $1,057 | 1 | 05-14 03:10 |
| Unwieldy-Rail 0x754d…b4b5 | No | +1,057 | $1,055 | $1,055 | 1 | 05-14 03:10 |
| Neglected-Skean 0x3ca5…a03a | No | +1,056 | $1,054 | $1,054 | 1 | 05-14 02:47 |
| Extroverted-Anyone 0xa622…25be | No | +1,055 | $1,053 | $1,053 | 1 | 05-14 02:45 |
| Putrid-Cyclamen 0xd4e5…a5fc | No | +1,054 | $1,052 | $1,052 | 1 | 05-14 02:36 |
| Disastrous-Casket 0xf09f…5136 | No | +1,054 | $1,052 | $1,052 | 1 | 05-14 02:40 |
| Horrible-Cohort 0x1b24…f8a1 | No | +297 | $295 | $295 | 1 | 05-13 22:59 |
| Bony-Flag 0x8eeb…a4d1 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-14 00:22 |
| Wide-Eyed-Trim 0xde16…cb5c | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-13 10:04 |
| Quiet-Apartment 0xcd14…1c17 | No | +99 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-13 17:27 |
| Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 22:25 |
| Worse-Crowd 0x7b52…589a | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-13 11:03 |
| Massive-Proliferation 0x41b9…7719 | No | +36 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 05-14 02:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 04:33 |
| Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 01:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xe877…25c0 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 03:40:12 | Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xb19a4f… |
| 05-14 03:10:37 | Fitting-Hive 0x762b…f2e6 | No | BUY | 1,059 | 100¢ | $1,057 | 0xd0afda… |
| 05-14 03:10:01 | Unwieldy-Rail 0x754d…b4b5 | No | BUY | 1,057 | 100¢ | $1,055 | 0xc48179… |
| 05-14 03:00:42 | (anonymous) 0xe877…25c0 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xabdf9d… |
| 05-14 02:47:17 | Neglected-Skean 0x3ca5…a03a | No | BUY | 1,056 | 100¢ | $1,054 | 0xd1d825… |
| 05-14 02:45:04 | Extroverted-Anyone 0xa622…25be | No | BUY | 1,055 | 100¢ | $1,053 | 0xc6b638… |
| 05-14 02:43:14 | Wan-Actor 0x6aae…49ae | No | BUY | 1,810 | 100¢ | $1,806 | 0xfd482b… |
| 05-14 02:41:15 | Nocturnal-Wingman 0xd238…3d4a | No | BUY | 1,813 | 100¢ | $1,809 | 0x34939b… |
| 05-14 02:40:33 | Disastrous-Casket 0xf09f…5136 | No | BUY | 1,054 | 100¢ | $1,052 | 0xc63207… |
| 05-14 02:37:12 | Wiggly-Fulfillment 0xf3ff…6a08 | No | BUY | 1,813 | 100¢ | $1,809 | 0x216c20… |
| 05-14 02:36:12 | Putrid-Cyclamen 0xd4e5…a5fc | No | BUY | 1,054 | 100¢ | $1,052 | 0x5972c3… |
| 05-14 02:36:02 | Lively-Jellybeans 0x8250…b9b9 | No | BUY | 1,814 | 100¢ | $1,810 | 0xe458bc… |
| 05-14 02:34:08 | Webbed-West 0x4aeb…8225 | No | BUY | 1,800 | 100¢ | $1,796 | 0xc682d7… |
| 05-14 02:31:27 | Nonstop-Underground 0x33b8…7387 | No | BUY | 1,812 | 100¢ | $1,808 | 0xa424a9… |
| 05-14 02:31:20 | Icy-Sturgeon 0x357f…6fbb | No | BUY | 2,084 | 100¢ | $2,079 | 0xb9bc00… |
| 05-14 02:30:17 | Peaceful-Reaction 0x80c6…7ce1 | No | BUY | 1,843 | 100¢ | $1,839 | 0x6776ea… |
| 05-14 02:30:15 | Massive-Proliferation 0x41b9…7719 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xee3455… |
| 05-14 02:30:15 | Massive-Proliferation 0x41b9…7719 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x29e112… |
| 05-14 02:29:07 | Bold-Insight 0xb557…60a3 | No | BUY | 2,086 | 100¢ | $2,082 | 0xbaf1d6… |
| 05-14 02:26:28 | Meager-Parser 0xb7fb…e0d1 | No | BUY | 1,844 | 100¢ | $1,840 | 0x9435a6… |
| 05-14 02:25:39 | Whopping-Trinket 0x81c2…0117 | No | BUY | 2,085 | 100¢ | $2,081 | 0xf1b9e1… |
| 05-14 02:22:12 | Soft-Enclave 0x564e…cf76 | No | BUY | 2,086 | 100¢ | $2,082 | 0x55f281… |
| 05-14 01:27:14 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | Yes | SELL | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaae2e0… |
| 05-14 01:17:08 | Evil-Pint 0x2322…3ede | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xcd3c91… |
| 05-14 01:15:35 | Low-Session 0x2f54…77d8 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbfbee3… |
| 05-14 01:15:34 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | BUY | 481 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x922af9… |
| 05-14 01:14:17 | Low-Session 0x2f54…77d8 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa75d1b… |
| 05-14 01:10:50 | Unaware-Hurry 0x95ce…981a | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x96d7e4… |
| 05-14 01:10:48 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x42a7f9… |
| 05-14 00:22:15 | Bony-Flag 0x8eeb…a4d1 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xe76ba8… |
| 05-13 22:59:35 | Horrible-Cohort 0x1b24…f8a1 | No | BUY | 297 | 99¢ | $295 | 0xd047b6… |
| 05-13 22:25:36 | Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xe7bb89… |
| 05-13 17:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbe6904… |
| 05-13 17:27:35 | Quiet-Apartment 0xcd14…1c17 | No | BUY | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0xc795ae… |
| 05-13 11:03:17 | Worse-Crowd 0x7b52…589a | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x75d5d4… |
| 05-13 10:04:53 | Wide-Eyed-Trim 0xde16…cb5c | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0xc0e07d… |
| 05-13 04:33:42 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xbe8fe9… |