Lone-Lox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$553

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-25 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 17% $-16

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No		+7	$7	100¢	$7	+$0	06-25 06:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2500 on march 16	1	$2.2K	2,186	0	+2,186	open	—	03-16 08:33
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 15	1	$2.2K	2,181	0	+2,181	open	—	03-15 15:46
will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 14	1	$2.2K	2,173	0	+2,173	open	—	03-14 01:46
ethereum above 2400 on march 13	1	$2.2K	2,172	0	+2,172	open	—	03-13 02:03
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	1	$2.2K	2,166	0	+2,166	open	—	03-12 02:24
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	1	$2.2K	2,162	0	+2,162	open	—	03-11 02:16
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 10	1	$2.2K	2,155	0	+2,155	open	—	03-10 07:19
ethereum above 1600 on march 9	1	$2.1K	2,151	0	+2,151	open	—	03-09 03:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	1	$2.1K	2,147	0	+2,147	open	—	03-08 02:33
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 7	1	$2.1K	2,140	0	+2,140	open	—	03-07 02:36
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	1	$2.1K	2,116	0	+2,116	open	—	03-06 07:39
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 15?	1	$1.8K	1,826	0	+1,826	open	—	05-16 02:58
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?	1	$1.8K	1,819	0	+1,819	open	—	05-14 22:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	1	$1.8K	1,811	0	+1,811	No	+$4	05-14 02:44
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-30 08:15
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 18	6	$13	6,444	0	+6,444	open	—	01-18 00:34
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	2	$13	4,253	0	+4,253	open	—	02-24 11:58
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	3	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-24 10:56
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 09:34
bitcoin above 54k on june 15 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	06-13 04:09
bitcoin above 62k on february 22	2	$7	2,290	0	+2,290	open	—	02-22 01:13
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-25 06:42
ethereum above 1700 on february 10	1	$7	1,102	0	+1,102	open	—	02-10 02:38
nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-20 03:45
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$5	1,138	0	+1,138	open	—	02-18 01:24
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 6?	2	$4	2,197	0	+2,197	No	$-4	05-07 00:17
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-14 03:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 3?	1	$4	2,086	0	+2,086	open	—	05-04 00:47
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	2	$4	2,091	0	+2,091	open	—	05-03 01:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	1	$4	2,072	0	+2,072	Yes	$-4	05-05 07:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 06:42:46	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x20414a…
06-20 03:45:50	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83a22f…
06-13 04:09:19	bitcoin above 54k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe18ba1…
05-20 09:34:09	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4780d6…
05-16 02:58:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,826	100¢	$1,822	0x60f845…
05-14 22:39:01	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,819	100¢	$1,815	0x03f697…
05-14 02:44:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,811	100¢	$1,807	0xa242db…
05-12 11:10:32	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,825	0¢	$4	0xcc5860…
05-10 02:27:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,835	0¢	$4	0x2c5975…
05-09 00:53:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xef34ce…
05-09 00:38:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,820	0¢	$4	0x99ccf7…
05-07 00:17:07	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2,111	0¢	$4	0x9083f5…
05-07 00:16:08	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	86	0¢	$0	0xaf240f…
05-05 07:32:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	No	BUY	2,072	0¢	$4	0x793525…
05-04 00:47:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	2,086	0¢	$4	0x087171…
05-03 01:18:04	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x03cb66…
05-03 01:13:02	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	2,079	0¢	$4	0x7eff76…
04-14 03:30:11	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x708a3a…
03-30 08:15:44	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xbaa74d…
03-16 08:33:19	ethereum above 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	2,186	100¢	$2,182	0x7ecb0b…
03-15 15:46:11	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 15	No	BUY	2,181	100¢	$2,177	0x16228c…
03-14 01:46:19	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 14	No	BUY	2,173	100¢	$2,168	0x1801c5…
03-13 02:03:17	ethereum above 2400 on march 13	No	BUY	2,172	100¢	$2,165	0x6336a7…
03-12 02:24:11	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	No	BUY	2,166	100¢	$2,161	0x090f2a…
03-11 02:16:57	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	No	BUY	2,162	100¢	$2,155	0x57c8e1…
03-10 07:19:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 10	No	BUY	2,155	100¢	$2,150	0x06b16a…
03-09 03:19:43	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	2,151	100¢	$2,146	0x07e0ff…
03-08 02:33:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	No	BUY	2,147	100¢	$2,140	0x6f67d9…
03-07 02:36:23	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 7	No	BUY	2,140	100¢	$2,136	0x7dc19a…
03-06 07:39:27	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	No	BUY	2,116	100¢	$2,109	0x57a381…
02-24 11:58:10	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	2,123	0¢	$6	0x268e54…
02-24 11:57:02	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	2,129	0¢	$6	0x0378a7…
02-22 01:13:44	bitcoin above 62k on february 22	No	BUY	1,145	0¢	$3	0x371f48…
02-22 01:12:42	bitcoin above 62k on february 22	No	BUY	1,146	0¢	$3	0x5eb9b6…
02-18 01:24:57	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	No	BUY	1,138	0¢	$5	0x00d891…
02-13 13:56:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,111	0¢	$3	0xea73f7…
02-10 02:38:41	ethereum above 1700 on february 10	No	BUY	1,102	1¢	$7	0xb3c4cb…
02-05 01:45:15	ethereum above 2500 on february 5	Yes	BUY	1,106	0¢	$3	0x6db2c6…
02-02 12:41:58	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x80f7a8…
01-31 11:21:44	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7fd3d…
01-31 02:47:32	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 31	Yes	BUY	1,077	0¢	$2	0xe1293d…
01-29 12:21:56	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d68bb…
01-28 09:16:43	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaec648…
01-26 10:38:33	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f30a8…
01-24 10:56:58	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfa1e69…
01-24 10:56:56	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x402fb0…
01-21 10:18:06	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb399d1…
01-18 00:34:18	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 18	Yes	BUY	1,072	0¢	$2	0xc388e2…
01-18 00:30:12	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 18	Yes	BUY	1,072	0¢	$2	0xd65925…
01-18 00:29:12	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 18	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$2	0x3ab1a6…
01-18 00:28:18	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 18	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$2	0xd9df7b…
01-18 00:27:26	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 18	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$2	0xcc1f21…
01-18 00:26:00	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 18	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$2	0x4c2304…