Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 15?
open
Total volume
$283
$344 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$6,187
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 20:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+78.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 21% YES on $280)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $6 | $204 | $197 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $38 | $5 | +$33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $15 | $11 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $26 | $26 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $38 | — | +$38 |
| Median | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | $5 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | $178 | $176 |
| unranked | 4 | $6 | $5 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | +717 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-14 16:54 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +186 | $178 | $178 | 7 | 05-14 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf79c…f2ba | Yes | +91 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-14 20:07 |
| Cool-Verification 0xb6fc…9405 | Yes | +87 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 20:54 |
| Grizzled-Owner 0xe6fb…5b26 | Yes | +80 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 20:28 |
| Frayed-Oval 0x7400…7cb5 | Yes | +58 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 20:07 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 16:11 |
| Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | Yes | +45 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-13 03:43 |
| General-Numeracy 0xcf53…fc8c | Yes | +43 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 20:17 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 05-14 18:42 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +27 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 01:11 |
| Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-14 20:09 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 14:48 |
| Worse-Garment 0x0155…6635 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 20:36 |
| Sure-Footed-Current 0xbf0e…c3cc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 20:54:43 | Cool-Verification 0xb6fc…9405 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x1b1d08… |
| 05-14 20:36:41 | Worse-Garment 0x0155…6635 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8d588c… |
| 05-14 20:28:50 | Grizzled-Owner 0xe6fb…5b26 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa4fde1… |
| 05-14 20:17:31 | General-Numeracy 0xcf53…fc8c | Yes | BUY | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xeac987… |
| 05-14 20:14:17 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xfcd591… |
| 05-14 20:14:17 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x32a798… |
| 05-14 20:09:06 | Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x280667… |
| 05-14 20:08:53 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xdf605f… |
| 05-14 20:07:42 | Frayed-Oval 0x7400…7cb5 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe3b390… |
| 05-14 20:07:31 | (anonymous) 0xf79c…f2ba | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x566a3f… |
| 05-14 19:49:59 | Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x8bdbe3… |
| 05-14 19:49:56 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd780b9… |
| 05-14 19:49:56 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 90 | 96¢ | $87 | 0x921eeb… |
| 05-14 19:43:40 | (anonymous) 0xf79c…f2ba | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xba6ac3… |
| 05-14 19:32:43 | (anonymous) 0xf79c…f2ba | Yes | BUY | 46 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xd8b63a… |
| 05-14 18:42:00 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xf03ca0… |
| 05-14 17:19:29 | Whispered-Protection 0x69e2…23a8 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd89308… |
| 05-14 17:14:23 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x48e731… |
| 05-14 16:54:12 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 717 | 5¢ | $38 | 0x620fe8… |
| 05-14 16:11:41 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x64590e… |
| 05-14 15:56:20 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xb944e2… |
| 05-14 15:56:20 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0xddb741… |
| 05-14 14:48:23 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x60129c… |
| 05-13 03:43:48 | Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5d18c9… |
| 05-13 01:27:56 | Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x79843c… |
| 05-13 01:16:23 | Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc7282f… |
| 05-13 01:11:38 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf4f1aa… |
| 05-12 19:37:27 | Sure-Footed-Current 0xbf0e…c3cc | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x134e41… |