Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?
open
Total volume
$440
$10,052 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$16,617
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 08:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $195 | $195 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $23 | $223 | $200 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $121 | $121 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $184 | $184 |
| Median | 4 | — | $38 | $38 |
| Below median | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 18 | $19 | $69 | $50 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shocking-Wick 0xe005…dbe0 | Yes | +244 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 23:23 |
| Acclaimed-Fanlight 0x0671…8008 | Yes | +220 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 23:14 |
| Shadowy-Dryer 0x3998…b2e5 | Yes | +213 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:16 |
| Chubby-Plunger 0x81b9…9f8b | Yes | +212 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 22:56 |
| Empty-Bud 0xfd5a…46d2 | Yes | +203 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 22:42 |
| Acclaimed-Justification 0xaad2…ba91 | Yes | +192 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 23:39 |
| Back-Chorus 0x4758…020d | Yes | +186 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 23:42 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +184 | $184 | $184 | 6 | 05-14 05:31 |
| Easy-Flan 0xfe26…ba54 | Yes | +173 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 01:45 |
| Zesty-Appetiser 0x991b…7986 | Yes | +138 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 23:35 |
| Black-And-White-Cloud 0xa639…a48f | No | +121 | $121 | $121 | 1 | 05-14 06:29 |
| Pitiful-Hydrogen 0xd274…e18f | Yes | +120 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 23:14 |
| Masculine-Rugby 0x2ef8…156a | Yes | +87 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 16:57 |
| Harmless-Hepatitis 0x14cb…c4d1 | Yes | +81 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 16:32 |
| Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | +29 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 22:32 |
| Unaware-Hurry 0x95ce…981a | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 19:46 |
| Jumbo-Slide 0x0e76…d348 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 08:34 |
| Poor-Muscle 0xc17b…dcff | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 05:54 |
| Imaginative-Amazon 0xb390…0377 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 08:34 |
| Recent-Ladybug 0x1827…0ede | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 02:12 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 05:31 |
| Ajar-Vessel 0x8a67…2e1d | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 02:23 |
| Complete-Mutt 0xfc46…0725 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 03:34 |
| Hearty-Illustration-Suburb 0x9cfa…8cf9 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 01:49 |
| Assured-Gentleman 0x130c…1715 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:11 |
| Blond-Solvency 0xbc58…7ff8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8075…31ee | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:41 |
| Luxurious-Displacement 0x6216…fb59 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 08:34:10 | Imaginative-Amazon 0xb390…0377 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x6fa38b… |
| 05-14 08:34:10 | Jumbo-Slide 0x0e76…d348 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x1340a6… |
| 05-14 06:29:11 | Black-And-White-Cloud 0xa639…a48f | No | BUY | 121 | 100¢ | $121 | 0xd3705f… |
| 05-14 05:54:57 | Poor-Muscle 0xc17b…dcff | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xfccfcf… |
| 05-14 05:31:25 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xbf2c2e… |
| 05-14 05:31:16 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xa479b3… |
| 05-14 05:31:09 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xca7689… |
| 05-14 05:31:05 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb2cbd8… |
| 05-14 03:51:22 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x4ead94… |
| 05-14 03:34:03 | Complete-Mutt 0xfc46…0725 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x4cc29a… |
| 05-14 03:11:44 | Assured-Gentleman 0x130c…1715 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2cd8cb… |
| 05-14 02:55:10 | Luxurious-Displacement 0x6216…fb59 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x22139b… |
| 05-14 02:23:43 | Ajar-Vessel 0x8a67…2e1d | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xea8e80… |
| 05-14 02:12:17 | Recent-Ladybug 0x1827…0ede | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x4f8e1b… |
| 05-14 01:49:50 | Hearty-Illustration-Suburb 0x9cfa…8cf9 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x0604f3… |
| 05-14 01:45:12 | Easy-Flan 0xfe26…ba54 | Yes | BUY | 173 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x960f9c… |
| 05-14 00:35:10 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x534182… |
| 05-14 00:16:21 | Shadowy-Dryer 0x3998…b2e5 | Yes | BUY | 213 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0cdde2… |
| 05-14 00:13:49 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2af494… |
| 05-13 23:42:50 | Back-Chorus 0x4758…020d | Yes | BUY | 186 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xae18d7… |
| 05-13 23:39:13 | Acclaimed-Justification 0xaad2…ba91 | Yes | BUY | 192 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x1e092f… |
| 05-13 23:35:36 | Zesty-Appetiser 0x991b…7986 | Yes | BUY | 138 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8f0b0e… |
| 05-13 23:23:53 | Shocking-Wick 0xe005…dbe0 | Yes | BUY | 244 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x7e40cb… |
| 05-13 23:14:57 | Acclaimed-Fanlight 0x0671…8008 | Yes | BUY | 220 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x727a02… |
| 05-13 23:14:47 | Pitiful-Hydrogen 0xd274…e18f | Yes | BUY | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x50bf57… |
| 05-13 22:56:59 | Chubby-Plunger 0x81b9…9f8b | Yes | BUY | 212 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xfcea15… |
| 05-13 22:42:09 | Empty-Bud 0xfd5a…46d2 | Yes | BUY | 203 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x73efd5… |
| 05-13 22:41:53 | (anonymous) 0x8075…31ee | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xaf0464… |
| 05-13 22:41:51 | (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0aa4af… |
| 05-13 22:32:36 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x37845a… |
| 05-13 16:57:34 | Masculine-Rugby 0x2ef8…156a | Yes | BUY | 87 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xc864f6… |
| 05-13 16:32:38 | Harmless-Hepatitis 0x14cb…c4d1 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x114810… |
| 05-12 22:43:07 | Blond-Solvency 0xbc58…7ff8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3e8d15… |
| 05-12 19:46:08 | Unaware-Hurry 0x95ce…981a | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x72a26e… |