Shadowy-Bikini — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$600

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-25 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 20% $-10

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No		+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	06-25 06:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp above 1pt1 on march 16	1	$2.2K	2,195	0	+2,195	open	—	03-16 08:27
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 15	2	$2.2K	2,192	0	+2,192	open	—	03-15 15:41
will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 14	1	$2.2K	2,185	0	+2,185	open	—	03-14 01:52
ethereum above 2400 on march 13	1	$2.2K	2,181	0	+2,181	open	—	03-13 02:07
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	1	$2.2K	2,177	0	+2,177	open	—	03-12 02:28
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	1	$2.2K	2,170	0	+2,170	open	—	03-11 02:11
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 10	1	$2.2K	2,164	0	+2,164	open	—	03-10 07:24
ethereum above 1600 on march 9	1	$2.2K	2,158	0	+2,158	open	—	03-09 03:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	1	$2.1K	2,153	0	+2,153	open	—	03-08 02:39
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 7	1	$2.1K	2,146	0	+2,146	open	—	03-07 02:31
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	1	$2.1K	2,122	0	+2,122	open	—	03-06 07:35
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 15?	1	$1.8K	1,827	0	+1,827	open	—	05-16 02:52
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?	1	$1.8K	1,820	0	+1,820	open	—	05-14 22:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	1	$1.8K	1,813	0	+1,813	No	+$4	05-14 02:39
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-30 08:13
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	3	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-24 10:56
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 09:34
xrp above 1pt8 on february 10	1	$10	1,098	0	+1,098	open	—	02-10 02:49
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	4	$9	4,297	0	+4,297	open	—	01-18 01:18
bitcoin above 54k on june 15 2026	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	06-13 04:08
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 22	2	$7	2,211	0	+2,211	open	—	02-22 01:28
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	06-25 06:42
bitcoin above 58k on february 24	1	$6	2,129	0	+2,129	open	—	02-24 12:11
ethereum above 1600 on february 24	1	$6	2,125	0	+2,125	open	—	02-24 12:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	1	$6	2,081	0	+2,081	open	—	05-04 01:33
nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-20 03:45
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$5	1,138	0	+1,138	open	—	02-18 01:18
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-14 03:30
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 6?	1	$4	2,083	0	+2,083	No	$-4	05-07 00:20
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	1	$4	2,076	0	+2,076	open	—	05-03 01:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 06:42:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe4a3fa…
06-20 03:45:43	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcec420…
06-13 04:08:51	bitcoin above 54k on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x0ed313…
05-20 09:34:05	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x188de0…
05-16 02:52:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 15?	No	BUY	1,827	100¢	$1,823	0x48e053…
05-14 22:34:40	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,820	100¢	$1,816	0xe4974e…
05-14 02:39:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	1,813	100¢	$1,809	0x17ecfd…
05-12 11:14:03	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,824	0¢	$4	0x74bdab…
05-09 00:44:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x3f955d…
05-09 00:44:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,822	0¢	$4	0x1606a6…
05-07 00:20:48	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2,083	0¢	$4	0x95c2fd…
05-05 07:40:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,151	0¢	$2	0xa3226f…
05-04 01:33:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	2,081	0¢	$6	0x53de35…
05-03 01:16:42	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	2,076	0¢	$4	0x53586f…
04-14 03:30:15	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x81dd10…
03-30 08:13:24	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x57c030…
03-16 08:27:01	xrp above 1pt1 on march 16	Yes	BUY	2,195	100¢	$2,191	0x2e3710…
03-15 15:41:13	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 15	No	BUY	399	100¢	$399	0x91d93f…
03-15 15:39:33	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 15	No	BUY	1,793	100¢	$1,788	0xb18553…
03-14 01:52:33	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 14	No	BUY	2,185	100¢	$2,181	0xcd13b8…
03-13 02:07:55	ethereum above 2400 on march 13	No	BUY	2,181	100¢	$2,176	0x7b0949…
03-12 02:28:45	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	No	BUY	2,177	100¢	$2,170	0x9838f0…
03-11 02:11:59	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	No	BUY	2,170	100¢	$2,163	0x9e57b1…
03-10 07:24:51	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 10	No	BUY	2,164	100¢	$2,157	0xe9b494…
03-09 03:24:57	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	2,158	100¢	$2,153	0xf94323…
03-08 02:39:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	No	BUY	2,153	100¢	$2,146	0x7cc25b…
03-07 02:31:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 7	No	BUY	2,146	100¢	$2,142	0x6e51fe…
03-06 07:35:21	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	No	BUY	2,122	100¢	$2,116	0xa53627…
02-24 12:13:26	ethereum above 1600 on february 24	No	BUY	2,125	0¢	$6	0xe21689…
02-24 12:11:14	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	No	BUY	2,129	0¢	$6	0x0dce94…
02-22 01:28:22	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 22	Yes	BUY	1,106	0¢	$3	0x0aa3a5…
02-22 01:27:24	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 22	Yes	BUY	1,106	0¢	$3	0x0bfaee…
02-18 01:18:13	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	No	BUY	1,138	0¢	$5	0x896f44…
02-14 11:45:59	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,117	0¢	$2	0xf215f6…
02-10 02:49:01	xrp above 1pt8 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,098	1¢	$10	0x44b257…
02-05 02:05:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 5	Yes	BUY	1,105	0¢	$2	0x2fadb0…
02-02 12:42:04	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a21a9…
02-01 00:49:52	ethereum above 3100 on february 1	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$1	0xf370f0…
01-31 11:21:46	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x88c953…
01-29 12:21:56	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc61c62…
01-28 09:16:41	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc7993…
01-26 10:38:49	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb4315c…
01-24 10:56:54	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x944915…
01-24 10:56:52	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc4463e…
01-23 13:32:24	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x25a33a…
01-18 01:18:12	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$2	0x2c17df…
01-18 01:17:20	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$2	0xdca4f4…
01-18 01:16:20	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$2	0x7aebfd…
01-18 01:14:54	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 18	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$2	0xf0b0a3…