Dangerous-Wingman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$178

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.5%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$3.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-13 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 20% $-178

Other

4% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776302100	2	$399	742	0	+742	open	—	04-16 01:16
btc updown 5m 1776301800	2	$370	286	272	+13	open	—	04-16 01:15
btc updown 5m 1776300300	2	$369	236	229	+7	open	—	04-16 00:50
btc updown 5m 1776299700	2	$307	389	371	+18	open	—	04-16 00:37
btc updown 5m 1776302700	1	$296	512	0	+512	open	—	04-16 01:27
bitcoin above 76k on april 18	3	$262	524	413	+111	open	—	04-18 11:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	4	$115	192	111	+81	open	—	05-01 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$93	188	73	+114	open	—	05-01 10:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	1	$85	1,379	0	+1,379	open	—	04-25 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6PM ET	1	$78	1,691	0	+1,691	Down	$-78	05-06 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$61	46	46	+0	Down	+$30	05-07 00:05
btc updown 5m 1776468600	5	$59	558	39	+519	open	—	04-17 23:35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$56	235	0	+235	open	—	05-01 11:19
btc updown 5m 1776472800	1	$55	122	0	+122	open	—	04-18 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$54	86	36	+50	Down	+$11	05-07 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$53	43	43	+0	open	—	05-01 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$50	57	57	+0	open	—	05-01 10:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$50	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	04-27 07:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	1	$50	142	0	+142	open	—	05-03 03:06
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	2	$49	174	0	+174	open	—	04-19 15:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	1	$47	799	0	+799	No	$-47	05-10 01:35
btc updown 5m 1776548400	3	$41	57	31	+27	open	—	04-18 21:45
btc updown 5m 1776468900	4	$38	65	24	+42	open	—	04-17 23:40
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	2	$35	329	0	+329	open	—	04-18 00:51
btc updown 5m 1776300900	1	$30	158	0	+158	open	—	04-16 00:57
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	1	$24	1,201	0	+1,201	No	$-24	05-13 17:40
btc updown 5m 1776562200	3	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-19 01:35
btc updown 5m 1776300600	1	$20	540	0	+540	open	—	04-16 00:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 13?	1	$20	768	0	+768	No	$-20	05-13 17:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	1	$20	1,543	0	+1,543	No	$-20	05-13 17:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 17:40:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,201	2¢	$24	0x30db4f…
05-13 17:39:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,543	1¢	$20	0x508743…
05-13 17:39:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	768	3¢	$20	0xbeb05a…
05-13 17:38:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x07da00…
05-13 17:38:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x7c5e89…
05-12 02:26:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,847	0¢	$9	0x118273…
05-10 01:35:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	799	6¢	$47	0xddea49…
05-07 00:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x61b9b4…
05-07 00:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	36	91¢	$32	0x5a429e…
05-07 00:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0xfeb812…
05-07 00:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1bed8b…
05-07 00:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xc2150c…
05-07 00:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x554b6f…
05-07 00:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	46	34¢	$16	0x45da2e…
05-06 23:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6e38c7…
05-06 22:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1,691	5¢	$78	0x6de4b3…
05-03 03:06:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	142	35¢	$50	0x2a9c8b…
05-01 22:18:58	Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	178	2¢	$3	0x361bd7…
05-01 22:18:44	Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	193	3¢	$5	0xe87dec…
05-01 22:16:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	122	3¢	$4	0x91af74…
05-01 22:16:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	153	3¢	$4	0xbdae2d…
05-01 20:55:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x0c0894…
05-01 20:54:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	153	3¢	$5	0x24087c…
05-01 13:41:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x5c22cd…
05-01 13:38:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x3e8bdb…
05-01 13:16:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	111	72¢	$80	0xfcc891…
05-01 11:19:42	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	235	24¢	$56	0x333f84…
05-01 11:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xd0bf9a…
05-01 11:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x53fdbc…
05-01 10:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	459	1¢	$5	0xa3c60b…
05-01 10:57:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	220	5¢	$10	0x859ac4…
05-01 10:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x252ddc…
05-01 10:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf808ab…
05-01 10:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	57	53¢	$30	0xf918fc…
05-01 10:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x0b6d43…
05-01 10:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x49f504…
05-01 10:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	73	83¢	$61	0x17f3ef…
05-01 10:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	73	30¢	$22	0xa3eecc…
05-01 10:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x6860e5…
05-01 10:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0xb2e018…
05-01 10:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x2142d6…
05-01 10:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xc2f461…
05-01 10:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x422d27…
05-01 09:37:38	Bitcoin above 77,000 on May 1, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x24bd86…
05-01 09:34:36	Bitcoin above 75,800 on May 1, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0x2ecfb4…
05-01 03:31:02	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	471	2¢	$10	0xe359c8…
05-01 03:27:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $180 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	569	2¢	$10	0x05594d…
05-01 03:25:50	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 27 above $300?	Yes	BUY	191	5¢	$10	0xbf939c…
05-01 03:19:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,785	0¢	$10	0xf4aa11…
05-01 02:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x9d1d4f…
05-01 02:30:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xa8a47a…
05-01 02:30:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	1,504	0¢	$5	0x264096…
05-01 02:30:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x5fb62b…
04-30 21:16:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,237	1¢	$10	0xf10bac…
04-27 07:17:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	127	5¢	$6	0xfffba3…
04-27 07:15:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25,000	0¢	$50	0x7afb93…
04-25 13:42:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,379	6¢	$85	0x4cb83d…
04-19 15:04:00	bitcoin above 76k on april 19	Yes	BUY	85	40¢	$34	0xa27010…
04-19 11:44:46	btc updown 5m 1776598800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x153e84…
04-19 11:38:16	bitcoin above 76k on april 19	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x124467…
04-19 01:35:30	btc updown 5m 1776562200	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x0c5284…
04-19 01:31:36	btc updown 5m 1776562200	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2d4dea…
04-19 01:31:16	btc updown 5m 1776562200	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6b455a…
04-18 23:32:22	btc updown 5m 1776555000	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x0eacdb…
04-18 23:30:14	btc updown 5m 1776554700	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa32207…
04-18 23:28:56	will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	173	3¢	$5	0x20fbc6…
04-18 23:28:36	will bitcoin dip to 75k on april 18	Yes	BUY	223	9¢	$20	0x78464c…
04-18 22:42:42	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 18	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x8cf805…
04-18 22:42:12	will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 18	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xfa6a32…
04-18 21:46:42	btc updown 5m 1776548700	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x658796…
04-18 21:45:40	btc updown 5m 1776548400	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xed989f…
04-18 21:43:36	btc updown 5m 1776548400	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0a31f9…
04-18 21:42:00	btc updown 5m 1776548400	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xe1e05b…
04-18 21:37:10	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x7d402e…
04-18 21:36:26	bitcoin above 74k on april 19	No	BUY	196	8¢	$15	0x2c9154…
04-18 11:23:00	ethereum above 2400 on april 18	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x7b23b8…
04-18 11:09:02	bitcoin above 76k on april 18	No	SELL	413	55¢	$227	0x103095…
04-18 00:51:42	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	Yes	BUY	249	10¢	$25	0x4beca8…
04-18 00:51:30	bitcoin above 76k on april 18	No	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0xed32d5…
04-18 00:44:52	btc updown 5m 1776472800	Up	BUY	122	45¢	$55	0x7feb0f…
04-18 00:40:12	ethereum above 2500 on april 18	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0xec748e…
04-18 00:40:06	ethereum above 2300 on april 18	No	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0xab5f46…
04-18 00:33:22	bitcoin above 74k on april 18	No	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x87a9a4…
04-18 00:33:04	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0xe3125f…
04-18 00:32:28	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x535199…
04-18 00:32:12	bitcoin above 76k on april 18	No	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xe01172…
04-18 00:26:00	btc updown 5m 1776471900	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x253f12…
04-18 00:16:02	btc updown 5m 1776471300	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd21892…
04-18 00:14:52	btc updown 5m 1776471000	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xef0de5…
04-17 23:40:36	btc updown 5m 1776468900	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0xa579e8…
04-17 23:39:50	btc updown 5m 1776468900	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0e6b42…
04-17 23:39:14	btc updown 5m 1776468900	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x9431e3…
04-17 23:38:32	btc updown 5m 1776468900	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1512a4…
04-17 23:35:40	btc updown 5m 1776468600	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xd4915a…
04-17 23:35:06	btc updown 5m 1776468600	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xadff95…
04-17 23:33:40	btc updown 5m 1776468600	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xdfbf32…
04-17 23:33:06	btc updown 5m 1776468600	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x69289f…
04-17 23:31:38	btc updown 5m 1776468600	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x5704df…
04-17 23:29:32	btc updown 5m 1776468300	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x4b50dd…
04-17 18:34:16	btc updown 5m 1776450600	Down	BUY	56	15¢	$8	0xf7da50…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	58	$36.7K	909	05-14 00:07
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	39	$25.7K	1,631	05-07 00:09
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	39	$12.1K	2,013	05-07 00:09
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	38	$11.6K	1,889	05-07 00:09
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	38	$10.7K	3,084	05-07 00:09
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	38	$10.4K	3,010	05-07 00:09
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	38	$6.81K	1,137	05-07 00:09
(anonymous) 0x25bf…ddfa	38	$4.05K	2,090	05-07 00:07