Dangerous-Wingman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$565

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$3.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-13 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 22% -$475

Other

11% 7% -$82

Politics

0% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:15 UTC	2	$399	742	0	+742	Up	-$88	04-16 01:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:10 UTC	2	$370	286	272	+13	Down	+$183	04-16 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:45 UTC	2	$369	236	229	+7	Down	+$92	04-16 00:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:35 UTC	2	$307	389	371	+18	Down	+$19	04-16 00:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:25 UTC	1	$296	512	0	+512	Up	-$296	04-16 01:27
bitcoin above 76k on april 18	3	$262	524	413	+111	Yes	+$192	04-18 11:09
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	2	$168	166	166	+0	Yes	+$164	04-30 21:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	4	$115	192	111	+81	Yes	+$45	05-01 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$93	188	73	+114	Down	+$29	05-01 10:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	1	$85	1,379	0	+1,379	No	-$85	04-25 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6PM ET	1	$78	1,691	0	+1,691	Down	-$78	05-06 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$61	46	46	+0	Down	+$30	05-07 00:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:30 UTC	5	$59	558	39	+519	Down	+$21	04-17 23:35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$56	235	0	+235	Hanwha Life Esports	-$56	05-01 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 00:40 UTC	1	$55	122	0	+122	Down	-$55	04-18 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$54	86	36	+50	Down	+$11	05-07 00:09
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	1	$53	1,719	0	+1,719	Yes	-$53	05-07 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$53	43	43	+0	Down	+$33	05-01 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$50	57	57	+0	Down	+$10	05-01 10:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$50	25,000	0	+25,000	Yes	-$50	04-27 07:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	1	$50	142	0	+142	No	-$50	05-03 03:06
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	2	$49	174	0	+174	No	-$49	04-19 15:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	1	$47	799	0	+799	No	-$47	05-10 01:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:40 UTC	3	$41	57	31	+27	Up	+$21	04-18 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 23:35 UTC	4	$38	65	24	+42	Down	+$10	04-17 23:40
bitcoin above 78k on april 18	2	$35	329	0	+329	No	-$35	04-18 00:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:55 UTC	1	$30	158	0	+158	Up	-$30	04-16 00:57
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	1	$24	1,201	0	+1,201	No	-$24	05-13 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 01:30 UTC	3	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	04-19 01:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 13?	1	$20	768	0	+768	No	-$20	05-13 17:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 17:40:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,201	2¢	$24	0x30db4f…
05-13 17:39:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,543	1¢	$20	0x508743…
05-13 17:39:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	768	3¢	$20	0xbeb05a…
05-13 17:38:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x07da00…
05-13 17:38:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x7c5e89…
05-12 02:26:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,847	0¢	$9	0x118273…
05-10 01:35:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	799	6¢	$47	0xddea49…
05-07 00:18:24	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	No	BUY	1,719	3¢	$53	0x5e3af3…
05-07 00:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x61b9b4…
05-07 00:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	36	91¢	$32	0x5a429e…
05-07 00:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0xfeb812…
05-07 00:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1bed8b…
05-07 00:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xc2150c…
05-07 00:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x554b6f…
05-07 00:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	46	34¢	$16	0x45da2e…
05-06 23:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6e38c7…
05-06 22:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1,691	5¢	$78	0x6de4b3…
05-03 03:06:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	142	35¢	$50	0x2a9c8b…
05-01 22:18:58	Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	178	2¢	$3	0x361bd7…
05-01 22:18:44	Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	193	3¢	$5	0xe87dec…
05-01 22:16:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	122	3¢	$4	0x91af74…
05-01 22:16:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	153	3¢	$4	0xbdae2d…
05-01 20:55:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x0c0894…
05-01 20:54:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	153	3¢	$5	0x24087c…
05-01 13:41:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x5c22cd…
05-01 13:38:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x3e8bdb…
05-01 13:16:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	111	72¢	$80	0xfcc891…
05-01 11:19:42	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	235	24¢	$56	0x333f84…
05-01 11:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xd0bf9a…
05-01 11:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x53fdbc…
05-01 10:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	459	1¢	$5	0xa3c60b…
05-01 10:57:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	220	5¢	$10	0x859ac4…
05-01 10:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x252ddc…
05-01 10:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf808ab…
05-01 10:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	57	53¢	$30	0xf918fc…
05-01 10:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x0b6d43…
05-01 10:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x49f504…
05-01 10:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	73	83¢	$61	0x17f3ef…
05-01 10:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	73	30¢	$22	0xa3eecc…
05-01 10:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x6860e5…
05-01 10:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0xb2e018…
05-01 10:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x2142d6…
05-01 10:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xc2f461…
05-01 10:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x422d27…
05-01 09:37:38	Bitcoin above 77,000 on May 1, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x24bd86…
05-01 09:34:36	Bitcoin above 75,800 on May 1, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0x2ecfb4…
05-01 03:31:02	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	471	2¢	$10	0xe359c8…
05-01 03:27:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $180 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	569	2¢	$10	0x05594d…
05-01 03:25:50	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 27 above $300?	Yes	BUY	191	5¢	$10	0xbf939c…
05-01 03:19:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	4,785	0¢	$10	0xf4aa11…
05-01 02:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x9d1d4f…
05-01 02:30:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xa8a47a…
05-01 02:30:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	1,504	0¢	$5	0x264096…
05-01 02:30:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x5fb62b…
04-30 21:16:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,237	1¢	$10	0xf10bac…
04-30 21:02:08	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0x8335f6…
04-30 03:13:24	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xba9763…
04-30 02:59:50	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	1¢	$10	0x6a096c…
04-30 02:51:32	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xeb62d7…
04-30 02:47:42	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	124	1¢	$1	0x9c4a95…
04-30 02:46:46	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x3b0ae7…
04-30 02:45:42	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	1¢	$1	0xefb656…
04-30 02:44:22	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0xa207ef…
04-30 02:22:18	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf411dc…
04-30 02:15:16	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x9c7a73…
04-30 01:51:20	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x7d314a…
04-30 01:50:54	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x7dec56…
04-30 01:49:42	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	297	0¢	$1	0xbce037…
04-30 01:49:40	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0xa0a660…
04-30 01:49:38	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xe6d4aa…
04-30 01:49:36	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe78a79…
04-30 01:49:36	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd6824d…
04-30 01:49:36	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	366	1¢	$3	0xaa8708…
04-30 01:49:36	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	789	0¢	$3	0x591cee…
04-30 01:49:36	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3aa7f9…
04-30 01:49:36	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	223	1¢	$2	0x339124…
04-30 01:49:36	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	223	0¢	$1	0x2d9a5b…
04-30 01:43:40	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,313	0¢	$5	0x8f1718…
04-30 01:43:36	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	187	0¢	$1	0xa435ea…
04-30 01:39:28	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x26715a…
04-30 01:29:10	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4392ef…
04-30 01:25:52	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb7ca80…
04-30 01:11:38	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xc825e9…
04-30 01:08:52	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x11656d…
04-30 01:05:34	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1da990…
04-30 01:01:50	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x406ded…
04-30 00:58:26	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x389656…
04-30 00:54:56	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0x895cab…
04-30 00:52:42	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	166	1¢	$2	0xb839dc…
04-30 00:52:04	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x358a9b…
04-30 00:51:44	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0xaa193f…
04-27 07:17:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	127	5¢	$6	0xfffba3…
04-27 07:15:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25,000	0¢	$50	0x7afb93…
04-25 13:42:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,379	6¢	$85	0x4cb83d…
04-19 15:04:00	bitcoin above 76k on april 19	Yes	BUY	85	40¢	$34	0xa27010…
04-19 11:44:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x153e84…
04-19 11:38:16	bitcoin above 76k on april 19	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x124467…
04-19 01:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x0c5284…
04-19 01:31:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2d4dea…
04-19 01:31:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6b455a…