Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 13?
No won
Total volume
$40,497
$45,117 in 24h
Trades
266
Unique wallets
77
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 04:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $5.5K
vs crowd: 1% YES on $39.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $286 | $34.3K | $34.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $43 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 27 | $124 | $3.2K | $3.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $37 | $114 | $77 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $12 | $5.5K | $5.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 16 | $240 | $30.7K | $30.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $4 | $240 | $236 |
| Median | 13 | $0 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| Below median | 12 | $8 | $31 | $23 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $37 | $167 | $130 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $82 | $93 | $12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $108 | — | +$108 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tough-Hammer 0xaac2…e8ce | No | +25,646 | $25,620 | $25,620 | 3 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Joyful-Glutamate 0xe9c7…147a | Yes | +25,000 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 02:02 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | +2,763 | $2,583 | $2,583 | 8 | 05-13 17:39 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | +2,636 | $66 | $66 | 6 | 05-13 15:58 |
| Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | No | +2,497 | $2,434 | $2,434 | 2 | 05-13 15:14 |
| Key-Pitcher 0x6dec…cf0c | Yes | +2,453 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-13 21:40 |
| Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | +2,200 | $11 | $11 | 8 | 05-14 02:00 |
| Frizzy-Summer 0xdabf…a373 | Yes | +2,088 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 01:51 |
| Selfish-Almighty 0x93bf…82af | No | +2,088 | $2,082 | $2,082 | 1 | 05-14 01:51 |
| Unfortunate-Harvest 0x352d…cb9e | No | +1,072 | $1,070 | $1,070 | 2 | 05-14 01:45 |
| Acceptable-Compassion 0xfce1…c9bf | Yes | +820 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 05-13 16:10 |
| Webbed-Impala 0xff41…ff1a | No | +807 | $775 | $775 | 2 | 05-13 16:32 |
| Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | +781 | $778 | $2,239 | 5 | 05-13 20:47 |
| Dangerous-Wingman 0x460d…8ddb | Yes | +768 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 17:39 |
| Unnatural-Banquette 0x5aa2…d7d0 | No | +756 | $751 | $751 | 3 | 05-13 18:52 |
| Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | +718 | $119 | $208 | 33 | 05-13 19:34 |
| Swift-Parable 0x207c…52fa | Yes | +665 | $14 | $14 | 5 | 05-13 20:16 |
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | +500 | $479 | $479 | 7 | 05-13 17:39 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | +437 | $426 | $426 | 4 | 05-13 22:17 |
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | +405 | $32 | $58 | 5 | 05-13 17:27 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | +395 | $3 | $20 | 19 | 05-13 20:15 |
| Shallow-Actor 0x2df8…7c79 | No | +260 | $257 | $257 | 2 | 05-13 20:16 |
| Unwilling-Opportunity 0xca68…bd3a | Yes | +258 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-13 16:32 |
| Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | No | +160 | $157 | $157 | 8 | 05-13 13:36 |
| Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | +148 | $146 | $146 | 3 | 05-13 22:17 |
| Obedient-Sole 0xdd2e…aab7 | Yes | +125 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 19:34 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-14 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb235…b1ae | Yes | +82 | $4 | $4 | 13 | 05-13 16:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xaac7…64ba | No | +80 | $75 | $75 | 4 | 05-13 16:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | +80 | $74 | $112 | 4 | 05-13 16:06 |
| Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | +79 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 05-13 18:52 |
| Scaly-Piece 0x64a6…d078 | Yes | +76 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:47 |
| Usable-Tender 0xd937…573b | Yes | +64 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x3973…2bcf | No | +61 | $58 | $177 | 3 | 05-13 20:47 |
| Insignificant-Circumference 0x981a…048c | No | +59 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-13 14:53 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +55 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-14 02:02 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 00:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x0dfa…6bbd | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 17:36 |
| Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 00:38 |
| Scaly-Waterbed 0xd65a…21eb | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-13 18:57 |
| Muted-Boatyard 0x419f…e853 | Yes | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb235…b1ae | No | +31 | $29 | $39 | 9 | 05-13 18:57 |
| Muted-Emergent 0x8db4…fcdd | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-13 20:13 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +24 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 20:13 |
| Valid-Snake-Thunderbolt 0x19d0…7d9a | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-13 16:32 |
| Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-13 21:31 |
| Misty-Hike 0xe88e…941e | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 01:35 |
| Next-Licensing 0xeee1…c026 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 05-14 04:34 |
| Drab-Diner 0xb0e5…bbb7 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xe877…25c0 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Ethical-Exploration 0xbcee…4531 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 04:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x8075…31ee | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 17:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x49f8…13ff | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 14:01 |
| Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 06:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 02:02 |
| Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 04:05 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-13 06:58 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 16:50 |
| Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b | Yes | +1 | $-6 | $11 | 7 | 05-13 16:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 04:34:46 | Dismal-Jaguar-Miter 0x9aa8…ff16 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x855dd7… |
| 05-14 04:34:46 | Next-Licensing 0xeee1…c026 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x855dd7… |
| 05-14 04:13:44 | Next-Licensing 0xeee1…c026 | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x0e5729… |
| 05-14 04:13:44 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x0e5729… |
| 05-14 04:02:55 | Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | No | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x51db56… |
| 05-14 04:02:55 | Next-Licensing 0xeee1…c026 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x51db56… |
| 05-14 03:00:35 | Defiant-North 0x0bd9…677b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc3645c… |
| 05-14 03:00:35 | (anonymous) 0xe877…25c0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc3645c… |
| 05-14 03:00:35 | Tough-Hammer 0xaac2…e8ce | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc3645c… |
| 05-14 02:02:14 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf2ea88… |
| 05-14 02:02:14 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf2ea88… |
| 05-14 02:02:14 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf2ea88… |
| 05-14 02:02:14 | Joyful-Glutamate 0xe9c7…147a | Yes | BUY | 25,000 | 0¢ | $25 | 0xf2ea88… |
| 05-14 02:02:14 | Tough-Hammer 0xaac2…e8ce | No | BUY | 25,141 | 100¢ | $25,116 | 0xf2ea88… |
| 05-14 02:00:13 | Tough-Hammer 0xaac2…e8ce | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $499 | 0xf26397… |
| 05-14 02:00:13 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf26397… |
| 05-14 01:51:28 | Selfish-Almighty 0x93bf…82af | No | BUY | 2,088 | 100¢ | $2,082 | 0xd3ae68… |
| 05-14 01:51:28 | Frizzy-Summer 0xdabf…a373 | Yes | BUY | 2,088 | 0¢ | $6 | 0xd3ae68… |
| 05-14 01:45:52 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | BUY | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x7fa21b… |
| 05-14 01:45:52 | Unfortunate-Harvest 0x352d…cb9e | No | BUY | 800 | 100¢ | $798 | 0x7fa21b… |
| 05-14 01:45:41 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | BUY | 272 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd7942d… |
| 05-14 01:45:41 | Unfortunate-Harvest 0x352d…cb9e | No | BUY | 272 | 100¢ | $272 | 0xd7942d… |
| 05-14 01:35:52 | Misty-Hike 0xe88e…941e | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xbc86b1… |
| 05-14 01:35:52 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbc86b1… |
| 05-14 01:26:33 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xabe524… |
| 05-14 01:26:33 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xabe524… |
| 05-14 01:02:30 | Dishonest-Vitro 0x0d9e…f53a | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5397b… |
| 05-14 01:02:30 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5397b… |
| 05-14 00:38:12 | Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x0c1204… |
| 05-14 00:38:12 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c1204… |
| 05-13 22:17:47 | Usable-Tender 0xd937…573b | Yes | BUY | 64 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x289cb0… |
| 05-13 22:17:47 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0x289cb0… |
| 05-13 22:17:47 | Submissive-Generosity 0x1247…9ce9 | No | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x289cb0… |
| 05-13 21:40:15 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | BUY | 290 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xd3bd4c… |
| 05-13 21:40:15 | Shocking-Treat 0x3c5a…0a4f | Yes | SELL | 1,860 | 1¢ | $15 | 0xd3bd4c… |
| 05-13 21:40:15 | Key-Pitcher 0x6dec…cf0c | Yes | BUY | 1,570 | 1¢ | $13 | 0xd3bd4c… |
| 05-13 21:31:37 | Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6c2281… |
| 05-13 21:31:37 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6c2281… |
| 05-13 21:31:34 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 300 | 98¢ | $296 | 0x419c32… |
| 05-13 21:31:34 | Impure-Brain 0x7152…faac | Yes | BUY | 300 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x419c32… |
| 05-13 20:47:14 | Scaly-Piece 0x64a6…d078 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd150e0… |
| 05-13 20:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x3973…2bcf | No | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0xd150e0… |
| 05-13 20:47:14 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xd150e0… |
| 05-13 20:16:43 | Swift-Parable 0x207c…52fa | Yes | BUY | 126 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1e1b6d… |
| 05-13 20:16:43 | Shallow-Actor 0x2df8…7c79 | No | BUY | 110 | 99¢ | $109 | 0x1e1b6d… |
| 05-13 20:16:43 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0x1e1b6d… |
| 05-13 20:15:56 | Key-Pitcher 0x6dec…cf0c | Yes | BUY | 883 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x1e5a46… |
| 05-13 20:15:56 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | No | BUY | 750 | 100¢ | $746 | 0x1e5a46… |
| 05-13 20:15:56 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 133 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1e5a46… |
| 05-13 20:13:25 | (anonymous) 0xa8c0…4371 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x05f039… |
| 05-13 20:13:25 | Muted-Emergent 0x8db4…fcdd | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x05f039… |
| 05-13 20:13:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x05f039… |
| 05-13 19:34:50 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xafef2e… |
| 05-13 19:34:50 | Elderly-Dimension 0x5caf…3738 | No | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xafef2e… |
| 05-13 19:34:45 | Obedient-Sole 0xdd2e…aab7 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb081ac… |
| 05-13 19:34:45 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | SELL | 125 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb081ac… |
| 05-13 18:57:49 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf18794… |
| 05-13 18:57:49 | Scaly-Waterbed 0xd65a…21eb | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0xf18794… |
| 05-13 18:57:49 | (anonymous) 0xb235…b1ae | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf18794… |
| 05-13 18:52:24 | (anonymous) 0xb235…b1ae | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x760d2d… |
| 05-13 18:52:24 | Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | BUY | 65 | 96¢ | $62 | 0x760d2d… |
| 05-13 18:52:24 | (anonymous) 0xa8c0…4371 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x760d2d… |
| 05-13 18:52:24 | Shocking-Treat 0x3c5a…0a4f | Yes | BUY | 1,860 | 1¢ | $18 | 0x760d2d… |
| 05-13 18:52:24 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | SELL | 750 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x760d2d… |
| 05-13 18:52:24 | Unnatural-Banquette 0x5aa2…d7d0 | No | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $496 | 0x760d2d… |
| 05-13 18:38:06 | Swift-Parable 0x207c…52fa | Yes | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x55de58… |
| 05-13 18:38:06 | Unnatural-Banquette 0x5aa2…d7d0 | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $249 | 0x55de58… |
| 05-13 18:35:48 | Unnatural-Banquette 0x5aa2…d7d0 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6dc648… |
| 05-13 18:35:48 | Adolescent-Booking 0x4991…481d | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6dc648… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe91b8a… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x415ed6… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | (anonymous) 0xdd8a…1036 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x06f10b… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc6438f… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb56397… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x06f10b… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc6438f… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb88a92… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb88a92… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | (anonymous) 0xd686…b1ed | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xb56397… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa80344… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa80344… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe91b8a… |
| 05-13 18:20:15 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x415ed6… |
| 05-13 18:20:14 | (anonymous) 0xe737…3eb0 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd825f9… |
| 05-13 18:20:14 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd825f9… |
| 05-13 18:14:52 | (anonymous) 0x09bf…7aeb | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x899575… |
| 05-13 18:14:52 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x899575… |
| 05-13 17:39:11 | Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1f06cf… |
| 05-13 17:39:11 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f06cf… |
| 05-13 17:39:10 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x11660a… |
| 05-13 17:39:10 | (anonymous) 0x8075…31ee | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x11660a… |
| 05-13 17:39:08 | (anonymous) 0xd686…b1ed | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xb45541… |
| 05-13 17:39:08 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb45541… |
| 05-13 17:39:08 | (anonymous) 0xe737…3eb0 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xb6b9f6… |
| 05-13 17:39:08 | Austere-Heavy 0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb6b9f6… |
| 05-13 17:39:06 | Dangerous-Wingman 0x460d…8ddb | Yes | BUY | 768 | 3¢ | $20 | 0xbeb05a… |
| 05-13 17:39:06 | (anonymous) 0xb235…b1ae | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xbeb05a… |
| 05-13 17:39:06 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | SELL | 96 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xbeb05a… |
| 05-13 17:39:06 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 337 | 97¢ | $326 | 0xbeb05a… |
| 05-13 17:39:06 | Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xbeb05a… |