Muted-Emergent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 09:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$0

Other

35% 100% +$0

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No		+12	$12	100¢	$12	$-0	05-30 19:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-20 11:49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 11:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 13?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-13 20:13
highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 27c	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-13 05:30
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-24 00:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 21	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-21 07:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-18 12:16
ethereum above 2500 on april 21	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-21 03:37
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 1?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-01 06:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-22 21:18
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-22 04:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 25?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-24 20:09
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-14 21:13
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-02 01:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-20 20:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-01 08:29
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	05-28 20:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	05-24 04:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-21 08:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 25?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-25 22:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 28?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-27 10:08
will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-12 01:16
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-22 01:34
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	02-26 17:49
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 19:56
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-23 10:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	04-28 22:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-26 04:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-27 22:32
bitcoin above 70k on april 19	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-17 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 09:43:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x45832e…
06-02 11:54:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa56b49…
06-01 06:14:17	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x18b859…
05-31 14:00:33	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x02b799…
05-30 19:13:26	Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x24bd02…
05-29 05:27:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0b5065…
05-28 20:23:03	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfff56a…
05-27 22:32:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6b57cf…
05-26 23:23:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5bd9f8…
05-26 04:26:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x9b1754…
05-25 22:14:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8211b0…
05-24 04:55:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3d660d…
05-22 21:18:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4022c5…
05-22 09:34:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b4c4b…
05-21 08:51:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x69437e…
05-20 20:27:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc43856…
05-19 19:56:00	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf32082…
05-19 04:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xafb7c9…
05-18 12:16:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbc1e40…
05-17 10:59:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd96596…
05-15 09:06:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdfe644…
05-13 20:13:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x05f039…
05-12 01:44:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd6a754…
05-10 16:17:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb27e75…
05-02 19:40:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaa23d2…
05-02 01:03:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xadec06…
05-01 08:29:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdf42c7…
04-30 15:52:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe10e5f…
04-28 22:26:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xcde784…
04-27 10:08:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x390894…
04-26 01:02:30	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4c66a7…
04-25 07:36:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2b9770…
04-24 20:09:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdba3a9…
04-24 10:32:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x93d873…
04-24 00:09:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3d70d4…
04-23 11:51:38	ethereum above 2500 on april 23	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb39a6…
04-23 10:23:12	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x597d0b…
04-22 04:13:14	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x94455f…
04-22 01:34:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xaa2c73…
04-21 07:02:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 21	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7533d7…
04-21 03:37:14	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xbb3ab4…
04-20 17:55:18	bitcoin above 66k on april 21	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd863bf…
04-20 11:52:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfab5c4…
04-20 11:49:38	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0820ad…
04-20 03:49:04	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2e748e…
04-18 17:30:40	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2f015f…
04-17 22:55:50	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6921b7…
04-15 09:46:48	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 440 459	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe9ac71…
04-14 21:13:46	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb6342a…
04-13 05:30:59	highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 27c	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe75613…
04-12 01:16:23	will russell henley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6ae50a…
03-06 17:10:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf82e2a…
02-26 17:49:58	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x08241c…
02-13 15:54:15	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf6ec3a…
01-31 08:44:44	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc4cda9…
01-26 15:56:29	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x084954…
01-23 04:51:26	will lorenzo musetti win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa2e78c…
01-09 18:21:26	will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd384a7…
01-05 22:59:39	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x743570…
01-01 15:54:09	Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x54e557…