Scaly-Piece — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

513

lifetime

Volume

$617

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-30 08:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 56% +$0

Politics

7% — —

Other

6% 0% $-6

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?	10	$36	115	115	+0	open	—	05-12 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	13	$14	18	8	+10	Down	+$0	05-12 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	11	$12	22	0	+22	open	—	05-16 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	04-21 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	7	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$9	18	5	+14	Down	$-1	05-12 16:19
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$9	36	36	+0	open	—	04-21 11:41
btc updown 5m 1776769200	1	$8	800	0	+800	open	—	04-21 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$8	20	3	+17	open	—	05-16 17:08
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. Thunder	2	$7	228	221	+7	open	—	04-21 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-30 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$6	12	4	+8	Down	$-2	05-12 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-6	05-12 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	6	$6	10	0	+10	Up	+$4	05-13 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$6	10	0	+10	Up	+$4	05-12 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-12 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	5	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-12 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	5	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-13 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-30 13:32
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-22 21:08
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	3	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 12:46
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	4	$4	113	113	+0	open	—	04-28 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$4	5	4	+1	open	—	05-16 17:03
btc updown 15m 1782804600	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	06-30 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$4	6	3	+3	open	—	05-30 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-30 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 08:49:34	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x43c6ae…
06-30 08:47:55	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf99af6…
06-30 08:47:25	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x0881fa…
06-30 08:44:28	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdb656b…
06-30 08:40:44	btc updown 5m 1782808800	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x339997…
06-30 08:34:11	btc updown 5m 1782808500	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x16e975…
06-30 08:30:11	btc updown 5m 1782808200	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x83d886…
06-30 08:10:10	btc updown 5m 1782807000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x707c01…
06-30 08:07:59	btc updown 5m 1782806700	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3b10b3…
06-30 08:05:47	btc updown 5m 1782806700	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4a28fc…
06-30 08:05:02	btc updown 5m 1782806400	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x85ce10…
06-30 07:42:35	btc updown 15m 1782804600	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x730d5f…
06-30 07:40:37	btc updown 15m 1782804600	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x415fcd…
06-30 07:38:29	btc updown 15m 1782804600	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb401eb…
06-30 07:37:16	btc updown 5m 1782804900	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x714324…
06-30 07:36:55	btc updown 5m 1782804900	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1eabe0…
06-30 07:16:37	btc updown 5m 1782803700	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xc3e989…
06-30 07:15:28	btc updown 5m 1782803700	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe885c8…
06-30 07:14:20	btc updown 5m 1782803400	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x0631a9…
06-30 07:13:43	btc updown 5m 1782803400	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9dcc17…
06-30 07:11:53	btc updown 5m 1782803400	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xeaf125…
06-30 07:10:10	btc updown 5m 1782803400	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x78ae50…
06-29 19:30:37	btc updown 5m 1782761400	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0279fc…
05-30 18:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa2f917…
05-30 16:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x181cb7…
05-30 16:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x822a7b…
05-30 13:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x96eb43…
05-30 13:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x657e1b…
05-30 13:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xbf0821…
05-30 13:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6f0c39…
05-30 13:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xbb98e1…
05-30 13:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0cf32b…
05-30 13:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb3be0a…
05-30 13:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf6f70f…
05-30 13:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x35129c…
05-30 12:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcc708b…
05-30 12:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2e3023…
05-30 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5db6ec…
05-30 12:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x65b951…
05-30 12:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb62cbf…
05-30 12:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x618c04…
05-30 12:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x65cce8…
05-30 11:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdd8e9c…
05-30 10:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x741b9c…
05-30 10:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x92d537…
05-30 10:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x9243a2…
05-30 10:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa8a4b0…
05-30 10:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xbdbac4…
05-30 10:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4ac82f…
05-30 10:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x85227a…
05-30 10:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xca3398…
05-30 10:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xea3e68…
05-30 10:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xaed745…
05-30 10:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x775c9c…
05-30 09:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3162f9…
05-30 09:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7dbe4a…
05-30 08:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9decd1…
05-30 08:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x137de3…
05-30 08:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x008aa9…
05-30 07:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7f2eac…
05-30 06:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x169fa8…
05-30 06:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3c522c…
05-30 06:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf30846…
05-26 09:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xba99bb…
05-25 19:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x1608af…
05-25 19:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x502ee3…
05-25 09:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcf8af5…
05-25 09:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x748a98…
05-25 09:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5ffb5c…
05-25 09:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf904e2…
05-25 07:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5f765a…
05-25 06:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3b6f6a…
05-25 06:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf39ce1…
05-25 06:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x31e663…
05-25 06:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x26c42b…
05-23 09:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x786b8e…
05-21 15:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x09f5d9…
05-21 15:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xbb3f67…
05-21 15:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x283fda…
05-21 15:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2a2529…
05-21 15:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2eadf8…
05-21 15:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x0519ef…
05-21 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc935d2…
05-21 15:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x773723…
05-21 14:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x993557…
05-21 14:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x54a74a…
05-21 14:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x91748c…
05-21 14:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc795f3…
05-21 14:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbef56f…
05-21 14:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x507204…
05-21 14:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5c1afa…
05-17 19:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x51c3fb…
05-17 19:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbeda76…
05-17 19:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x07a0bc…
05-17 19:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x282d7b…
05-17 15:39:49	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x794bb2…
05-17 15:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x571caa…
05-17 15:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xed78f4…
05-17 15:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	16¢	$0	0xb72790…
05-17 15:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x07dac6…