Official-Friction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$25.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$377

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-13 05:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-4

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?	1	$1.8K	1,837	0	+1,837	No	+$4	05-10 02:24
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 8?	1	$1.8K	1,829	0	+1,829	No	+$4	05-09 02:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 7?	1	$1.8K	1,824	0	+1,824	No	+$4	05-08 03:15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	2	$1.8K	1,823	0	+1,823	Yes	+$4	05-08 07:39
bitcoin above 60k on february 23	1	$1.2K	1,154	0	+1,154	open	—	02-23 00:17
bitcoin above 62k on february 22	1	$1.2K	1,153	0	+1,153	open	—	02-22 00:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	1	$1.1K	1,151	0	+1,151	open	—	02-21 00:14
bitcoin above 60k on february 20	1	$1.1K	1,147	0	+1,147	open	—	02-20 00:11
bitcoin above 60k on february 19	1	$1.1K	1,144	0	+1,144	open	—	02-19 00:06
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$1.1K	1,136	0	+1,136	open	—	02-18 01:17
bitcoin above 60k on february 16	1	$1.1K	1,127	0	+1,127	open	—	02-16 01:33
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	1	$1.1K	1,121	0	+1,121	open	—	02-15 01:39
will the price of solana be between 50 60 on february 14	2	$1.1K	1,113	0	+1,113	open	—	02-14 12:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 13	1	$1.1K	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	02-13 13:46
xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	1	$1.1K	1,108	0	+1,108	open	—	02-12 02:59
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$1.1K	1,097	0	+1,097	open	—	02-11 02:18
xrp above 1pt8 on february 10	1	$1.1K	1,095	0	+1,095	open	—	02-10 05:08
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	1	$1.1K	1,088	0	+1,088	open	—	02-09 03:19
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	open	—	02-08 03:17
ethereum above 2500 on february 7	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	02-07 07:22
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-30 07:46
bitcoin above 66k on july 8 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	07-08 10:23
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	07-13 05:50
bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	07-02 04:19
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 09:21
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	1	$7	1,114	0	+1,114	open	—	02-06 03:09
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	06-25 05:54
ethereum above 2200 on february 28	1	$6	2,153	0	+2,153	open	—	02-28 01:19
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 08:42
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	01-24 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 05:50:34	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb64eea…
07-08 10:23:25	bitcoin above 66k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1a98db…
07-02 04:19:20	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd3091f…
06-25 05:54:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xfb5728…
06-20 02:57:46	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xedb989…
06-20 02:57:46	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x712f69…
06-20 02:57:38	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5dfbe6…
06-20 02:57:31	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8c054c…
06-20 02:57:28	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x73af23…
06-20 02:57:25	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe3b666…
06-20 02:57:20	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb4dce2…
06-20 02:57:14	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6f130d…
06-20 02:57:13	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x963d8d…
06-20 02:57:13	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x72b4c5…
06-20 02:57:07	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd7dee1…
06-20 02:56:49	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6293b8…
06-12 09:50:36	amzn above 275 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x44392f…
05-20 08:42:10	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xcf443e…
05-14 02:37:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,813	0¢	$4	0x216c20…
05-12 23:29:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xb96039…
05-12 22:42:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,831	0¢	$4	0xedb24d…
05-12 01:25:16	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,826	0¢	$4	0x5739db…
05-11 01:16:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,817	0¢	$4	0xc29b96…
05-10 02:24:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,837	100¢	$1,833	0xd76776…
05-09 02:37:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,829	100¢	$1,825	0x5d106f…
05-08 07:39:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,222	100¢	$1,220	0x1f607d…
05-08 07:39:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	601	100¢	$600	0xba5e9e…
05-08 03:15:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,824	100¢	$1,820	0x93ffdd…
05-06 03:01:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2,070	0¢	$4	0x93e2d0…
05-02 00:18:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,562	0¢	$3	0x4a9bfd…
05-02 00:13:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	501	0¢	$1	0x1f0016…
04-14 02:43:23	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ee333…
03-30 07:46:02	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x0fa99c…
03-13 01:40:43	ethereum above 2400 on march 13	Yes	BUY	1,138	0¢	$2	0x96845f…
03-08 01:56:37	ethereum above 1700 on march 8	No	BUY	1,146	0¢	$2	0xc32f8b…
02-28 01:19:13	ethereum above 2200 on february 28	Yes	BUY	2,153	0¢	$6	0xabb8d6…
02-23 00:17:28	bitcoin above 60k on february 23	Yes	BUY	1,154	100¢	$1,152	0x49e305…
02-22 00:26:58	bitcoin above 62k on february 22	Yes	BUY	1,153	100¢	$1,151	0x5cb3eb…
02-21 00:14:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	No	BUY	1,151	100¢	$1,147	0x6e26a5…
02-20 00:11:34	bitcoin above 60k on february 20	Yes	BUY	1,147	100¢	$1,144	0xd46156…
02-19 00:06:24	bitcoin above 60k on february 19	Yes	BUY	1,144	99¢	$1,136	0x9e4e46…
02-18 01:17:01	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	Yes	BUY	1,136	100¢	$1,131	0xa070de…
02-16 01:33:07	bitcoin above 60k on february 16	Yes	BUY	1,127	99¢	$1,121	0x22e7c1…
02-15 01:39:31	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	No	BUY	1,121	99¢	$1,113	0x6d091c…
02-14 12:53:43	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on february 14	No	BUY	987	100¢	$985	0x7abe45…
02-14 12:52:29	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on february 14	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x070412…
02-13 13:46:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 13	No	BUY	1,111	100¢	$1,108	0x08758a…
02-12 02:59:35	xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	Yes	BUY	1,108	100¢	$1,102	0x1deeac…
02-11 02:18:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	No	BUY	1,097	99¢	$1,089	0xe272f5…
02-10 05:08:41	xrp above 1pt8 on february 10	No	BUY	1,095	99¢	$1,088	0xe1df9f…
02-09 03:19:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	No	BUY	1,088	100¢	$1,085	0xc6cbf3…
02-08 03:17:37	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	No	BUY	1,084	99¢	$1,077	0x6b24da…
02-07 07:22:37	ethereum above 2500 on february 7	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,074	0x485411…
02-06 03:09:51	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,114	1¢	$7	0xcf0e83…
02-02 11:47:12	will msft close below 390 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x383041…
02-02 01:45:48	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	Yes	BUY	1,078	0¢	$1	0xc492bf…
01-31 09:30:42	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fbadc…
01-29 11:26:26	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3052fc…
01-28 10:38:17	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x77967c…
01-27 09:21:19	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x433e26…
01-27 01:29:23	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$2	0x26fc51…
01-26 11:01:11	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x95c2a5…
01-24 19:47:06	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe92ef2…
01-03 09:11:55	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0x255545…
01-03 09:10:09	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0x64c1f8…
01-03 09:08:29	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0x58159c…
01-03 09:06:55	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0x16e418…