Flickering-Importance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$359

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-09 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 0% $-12

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 22	1	$2.1K	2,084	0	+2,084	open	—	04-23 02:11
xrp above 1pt2 on april 22	1	$2.1K	2,080	0	+2,080	open	—	04-22 08:39
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 21	1	$2.1K	2,076	0	+2,076	open	—	04-22 01:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	1	$2.1K	2,072	0	+2,072	open	—	04-21 08:55
will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 20	1	$2.1K	2,068	0	+2,068	open	—	04-21 01:59
xrp above 1pt2 on april 20	1	$2.1K	2,065	0	+2,065	open	—	04-20 13:22
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-26 04:06
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-12 01:31
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-07 12:34
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 04:20
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-21 03:52
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-09 03:51
will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 02:58
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 10	4	$9	4,284	0	+4,284	open	—	01-10 09:37
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 06:25
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-16 02:44
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-06 06:21
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 10?	1	$4	2,087	0	+2,087	No	$-4	05-11 03:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	1	$4	2,085	0	+2,085	No	$-4	05-14 02:24
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?	1	$4	2,062	0	+2,062	No	$-4	05-09 02:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?	1	$4	2,025	0	+2,025	open	—	04-29 08:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 24	1	$2	1,073	0	+1,073	open	—	01-24 02:24
trump out as president by march 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-11 02:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on february 1	1	$1	1,081	0	+1,081	open	—	02-01 03:35
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	1	$1	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	01-27 03:55
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 10	1	$1	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-10 09:35
will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-02 11:40
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-31 07:24
will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-30 05:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 03:51:01	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ad726…
05-20 06:25:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x647d76…
05-14 02:24:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2,085	0¢	$4	0x3667f9…
05-11 03:10:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2,087	0¢	$4	0x249f10…
05-09 02:35:27	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,062	0¢	$4	0x0db2c4…
04-29 08:52:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	2,025	0¢	$4	0x4fb9a7…
04-23 02:11:52	will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 22	No	BUY	2,084	100¢	$2,079	0x7fd349…
04-22 08:39:38	xrp above 1pt2 on april 22	Yes	BUY	2,080	100¢	$2,076	0xd70ebc…
04-22 01:53:10	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 21	No	BUY	2,076	100¢	$2,072	0xce1e7f…
04-21 08:55:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	2,072	100¢	$2,068	0xafa23d…
04-21 01:59:14	will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 20	No	BUY	2,068	100¢	$2,064	0x8637e1…
04-20 13:22:24	xrp above 1pt2 on april 20	Yes	BUY	2,065	100¢	$2,061	0x2e139f…
04-16 02:44:54	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff9428…
03-26 04:06:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x839eea…
03-12 01:31:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdde860…
03-07 12:34:59	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x27270d…
02-24 02:58:06	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x968895…
02-24 02:51:04	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1ac72e…
02-11 02:45:23	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb904d7…
02-06 06:21:21	bitcoin above 76k on february 7	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x530b4f…
02-02 11:40:32	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8211a0…
02-01 03:35:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on february 1	Yes	BUY	1,081	0¢	$1	0xeaa2e8…
01-31 07:24:34	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbb169…
01-30 05:26:06	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb696b7…
01-27 04:20:21	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaec4f1…
01-27 03:55:43	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,074	0¢	$1	0x7cbbd3…
01-26 09:47:19	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x690431…
01-24 02:24:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 24	Yes	BUY	1,073	0¢	$2	0xd0f5f9…
01-21 03:52:42	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6c6e98…
01-18 03:36:28	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2aa942…
01-10 09:37:06	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 10	Yes	BUY	1,084	0¢	$2	0x5bfd54…
01-10 09:35:14	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 10	Yes	BUY	1,068	0¢	$1	0x38b0d7…
01-10 09:33:30	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 10	Yes	BUY	1,084	0¢	$2	0x6f2af4…
01-10 09:32:02	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 10	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$2	0x084bf3…
01-10 09:30:20	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 10	Yes	BUY	1,053	0¢	$2	0xd55a51…