Insidious-Commission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$25.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$514

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-20 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-4

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?	1	$1.8K	1,840	0	+1,840	No	+$4	05-10 02:28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 8?	1	$1.8K	1,832	0	+1,832	No	+$4	05-09 02:31
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	1	$1.8K	1,830	0	+1,830	Yes	+$4	05-08 07:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 7?	1	$1.8K	1,826	0	+1,826	No	+$4	05-08 03:14
bitcoin above 60k on february 23	1	$1.2K	1,159	0	+1,159	open	—	02-23 00:19
ethereum above 1600 on february 22	1	$1.2K	1,158	0	+1,158	open	—	02-22 00:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	1	$1.1K	1,152	0	+1,152	open	—	02-21 00:16
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 20	1	$1.1K	1,149	0	+1,149	open	—	02-20 00:13
bitcoin above 60k on february 19	1	$1.1K	1,145	0	+1,145	open	—	02-19 00:08
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$1.1K	1,138	0	+1,138	open	—	02-18 01:18
bitcoin above 60k on february 16	1	$1.1K	1,130	0	+1,130	open	—	02-16 01:34
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	1	$1.1K	1,123	0	+1,123	open	—	02-15 01:40
will the price of solana be between 50 60 on february 14	1	$1.1K	1,115	0	+1,115	open	—	02-14 12:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 13	1	$1.1K	1,113	0	+1,113	open	—	02-13 13:47
xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	1	$1.1K	1,110	0	+1,110	open	—	02-12 03:00
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$1.1K	1,104	0	+1,104	open	—	02-11 02:20
xrp above 1pt8 on february 10	1	$1.1K	1,096	0	+1,096	open	—	02-10 05:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	1	$1.1K	1,090	0	+1,090	open	—	02-09 03:18
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	1	$1.1K	1,086	0	+1,086	open	—	02-08 03:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 7	1	$993	997	0	+997	open	—	02-07 07:07
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-30 07:46
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 09:21
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	1	$7	1,108	0	+1,108	open	—	02-06 03:08
ethereum above 2200 on february 28	2	$6	2,160	0	+2,160	open	—	02-28 01:18
will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 3	6	$6	6,362	0	+6,362	open	—	01-03 09:05
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 08:42
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	01-24 19:47
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 02:43
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 5?	1	$4	2,068	0	+2,068	No	$-4	05-06 03:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	1	$4	2,064	0	+2,064	open	—	05-02 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 08:42:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70fd98…
05-14 02:39:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,813	0¢	$4	0x17ecfd…
05-12 22:43:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,832	0¢	$4	0x6dbae0…
05-12 01:23:59	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,825	0¢	$4	0x414737…
05-11 01:17:23	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,819	0¢	$4	0x87cfd9…
05-10 02:28:46	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,840	100¢	$1,836	0xe6e925…
05-09 02:31:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,832	100¢	$1,828	0x6317fa…
05-08 07:38:15	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,830	100¢	$1,826	0x98066c…
05-08 03:14:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,826	100¢	$1,822	0xb24d07…
05-06 03:03:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2,068	0¢	$4	0xa7af4b…
05-02 00:15:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2,064	0¢	$4	0xc37acf…
04-14 02:43:23	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf3721…
03-30 07:46:04	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xa72cd3…
03-13 01:42:23	ethereum above 2400 on march 13	Yes	BUY	1,185	0¢	$2	0xca55c1…
03-08 01:58:31	bitcoin above 62k on march 8	No	BUY	1,124	0¢	$3	0x85808b…
02-28 01:18:09	ethereum above 2200 on february 28	Yes	BUY	2,154	0¢	$6	0x9e01b9…
02-28 01:18:07	ethereum above 2200 on february 28	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3e0b54…
02-23 00:19:46	bitcoin above 60k on february 23	Yes	BUY	1,159	100¢	$1,157	0x39adf6…
02-22 00:28:38	ethereum above 1600 on february 22	Yes	BUY	1,158	100¢	$1,152	0x875a2b…
02-21 00:16:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	No	BUY	1,152	100¢	$1,149	0x9524eb…
02-20 00:13:16	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 20	No	BUY	1,149	100¢	$1,144	0x162417…
02-19 00:08:08	bitcoin above 60k on february 19	Yes	BUY	1,145	99¢	$1,138	0x109bcf…
02-18 01:18:13	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	Yes	BUY	1,138	100¢	$1,133	0x896f44…
02-16 01:34:07	bitcoin above 60k on february 16	Yes	BUY	1,130	99¢	$1,123	0x40c9e4…
02-15 01:40:41	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	No	BUY	1,123	99¢	$1,115	0x7a3c55…
02-14 12:54:57	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on february 14	No	BUY	1,115	100¢	$1,113	0x2fd904…
02-13 13:47:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 13	No	BUY	1,113	100¢	$1,110	0xcd7de4…
02-12 03:00:39	xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	Yes	BUY	1,110	99¢	$1,104	0x16fe85…
02-11 02:20:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	No	BUY	1,104	99¢	$1,096	0xbf3bc8…
02-10 05:07:37	xrp above 1pt8 on february 10	No	BUY	1,096	99¢	$1,090	0xe350e0…
02-09 03:18:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	No	BUY	1,090	100¢	$1,087	0x465b54…
02-08 03:20:01	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	No	BUY	1,086	99¢	$1,077	0x55306b…
02-07 07:07:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 7	No	BUY	997	100¢	$993	0x563863…
02-06 03:08:39	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,108	1¢	$7	0x71ad9e…
02-02 11:47:14	will msft close below 390 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa80c16…
02-02 01:47:16	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	Yes	BUY	1,079	0¢	$1	0x272780…
01-31 09:30:46	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc47c5…
01-29 11:26:26	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x97fa38…
01-28 10:38:17	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe6483c…
01-27 09:21:23	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa25ead…
01-27 01:30:49	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$2	0xcca053…
01-26 11:01:09	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1a11c5…
01-24 19:47:06	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe92ef2…
01-03 09:05:27	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0xd7f2cc…
01-03 09:04:17	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$1	0x87666f…
01-03 09:03:05	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,059	0¢	$1	0x5a0e11…
01-03 09:01:55	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0xa3f6d6…
01-03 09:00:27	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0xc98e3d…
01-03 08:58:51	will the price of solana be between 150 160 on january 3	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$1	0xd6ae55…