Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?
open
Total volume
$45,404
$105,299 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$297,966
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 06:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6.1K | $6.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $1.6K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $401 | $36.5K | $36.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $160 | $160 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Median | 17 | $6 | $19.3K | $19.3K |
| Below median | 6 | — | $21 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $132 | $132 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6.1K | $6.1K |
| unranked | 12 | $395 | $17.5K | $17.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | +6,510 | $6,102 | $6,102 | 2 | 05-09 13:13 |
| Admired-Omission 0x495e…9a96 | Yes | +6,200 | $395 | $395 | 3 | 05-09 13:13 |
| Hateful-Lunch 0x0c69…0831 | No | +2,081 | $2,077 | $2,077 | 1 | 05-10 02:23 |
| Miserable-Pasture 0x01a8…e243 | No | +2,081 | $2,076 | $2,076 | 1 | 05-10 02:25 |
| Bony-Dedication 0x23ba…3c84 | No | +2,080 | $2,076 | $2,076 | 1 | 05-10 02:24 |
| Menacing-Hubcap 0xa88d…ea7c | No | +2,079 | $2,075 | $2,075 | 1 | 05-10 02:20 |
| Passionate-Somebody 0x84af…c2aa | No | +2,078 | $2,074 | $2,074 | 1 | 05-10 02:15 |
| Sinful-Oats 0x790f…83aa | No | +2,073 | $2,068 | $2,068 | 1 | 05-10 02:17 |
| Formal-Sport 0xcd11…fc10 | No | +2,069 | $2,065 | $2,065 | 1 | 05-10 02:21 |
| Enraged-Caviar 0x1173…d9bc | No | +2,068 | $2,064 | $2,064 | 1 | 05-10 01:48 |
| French-Pseudoscience 0x69e8…35b5 | No | +1,846 | $1,842 | $1,842 | 1 | 05-10 01:56 |
| Defiant-Tune 0x1c16…cbab | No | +1,846 | $1,842 | $1,842 | 1 | 05-10 02:00 |
| Frilly-Passion 0xcc15…3b05 | No | +1,845 | $1,841 | $1,841 | 1 | 05-10 01:55 |
| Miniature-Instant 0x41f6…52fc | No | +1,843 | $1,839 | $1,839 | 1 | 05-10 01:58 |
| Disloyal-Appearance 0xf49a…7af2 | No | +1,842 | $1,838 | $1,838 | 1 | 05-10 01:51 |
| Lazy-Diploma 0x6504…acbe | No | +1,842 | $1,838 | $1,838 | 1 | 05-10 02:06 |
| Irresponsible-Arrangement 0x4fc0…eadd | No | +1,841 | $1,837 | $1,837 | 1 | 05-10 02:03 |
| Huge-Beet 0x3506…7a1e | No | +1,839 | $1,835 | $1,835 | 1 | 05-10 02:01 |
| Minty-Mozzarella 0x2888…d55e | No | +1,838 | $1,834 | $1,834 | 1 | 05-10 02:05 |
| Shabby-Caution 0xf150…69f9 | No | +1,835 | $1,831 | $1,831 | 1 | 05-10 01:53 |
| Stable-Factory 0x239a…a949 | No | +1,599 | $1,598 | $1,598 | 1 | 05-10 02:00 |
| Timely-Expansionism 0x8a8d…72f8 | No | +1,011 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-09 22:10 |
| Strict-Rescue 0x860e…e951 | No | +180 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 05-10 01:55 |
| Unfortunate-Harvest 0x352d…cb9e | No | +162 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 05-10 01:31 |
| Sardonic-Lotion-Curve 0x30ea…3178 | Yes | +127 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 12:41 |
| Silver-Fiesta 0xdd19…25a6 | No | +60 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-10 00:05 |
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | +45 | $42 | $42 | 3 | 05-09 14:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x40a0…4f97 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 15:54 |
| Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:28 |
| Gleaming-Locker 0x5ce7…f50a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 01:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x1519…da5e | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 23:31 |
| Profuse-Cargo 0x28be…03fc | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-09 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xe877…25c0 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 03:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:36:49 | Trivial-Extension 0x91d8…2a3e | No | SELL | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0x6dbfc3… |
| 05-10 05:27:52 | Ornery-Temporary 0x385a…6933 | No | SELL | 616 | 100¢ | $616 | 0xc3bddb… |
| 05-10 03:56:09 | Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x151c86… |
| 05-10 03:01:22 | (anonymous) 0xe877…25c0 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d634b… |
| 05-10 02:56:26 | Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | No | SELL | 46 | 100¢ | $46 | 0xad3baa… |
| 05-10 02:28:37 | Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf159af… |
| 05-10 02:26:26 | Shoddy-Cowbell 0x8aaf…7beb | Yes | SELL | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb0c466… |
| 05-10 02:25:49 | Miserable-Pasture 0x01a8…e243 | No | BUY | 2,081 | 100¢ | $2,076 | 0x2e07f0… |
| 05-10 02:24:39 | Bony-Dedication 0x23ba…3c84 | No | BUY | 2,080 | 100¢ | $2,076 | 0xd165dc… |
| 05-10 02:23:45 | Hateful-Lunch 0x0c69…0831 | No | BUY | 2,081 | 100¢ | $2,077 | 0x846d6a… |
| 05-10 02:21:28 | Formal-Sport 0xcd11…fc10 | No | BUY | 2,069 | 100¢ | $2,065 | 0x7d4a1a… |
| 05-10 02:20:16 | Menacing-Hubcap 0xa88d…ea7c | No | BUY | 2,079 | 100¢ | $2,075 | 0x94c376… |
| 05-10 02:17:02 | Sinful-Oats 0x790f…83aa | No | BUY | 2,073 | 100¢ | $2,068 | 0x6ce13e… |
| 05-10 02:15:05 | Passionate-Somebody 0x84af…c2aa | No | BUY | 2,078 | 100¢ | $2,074 | 0xf69768… |
| 05-10 02:06:44 | Lazy-Diploma 0x6504…acbe | No | BUY | 1,842 | 100¢ | $1,838 | 0x4958ad… |
| 05-10 02:05:48 | Minty-Mozzarella 0x2888…d55e | No | BUY | 1,838 | 100¢ | $1,834 | 0x93f00c… |
| 05-10 02:03:46 | Irresponsible-Arrangement 0x4fc0…eadd | No | BUY | 1,841 | 100¢ | $1,837 | 0x512189… |
| 05-10 02:01:26 | Huge-Beet 0x3506…7a1e | No | BUY | 1,839 | 100¢ | $1,835 | 0x0e7285… |
| 05-10 02:00:32 | Stable-Factory 0x239a…a949 | No | BUY | 1,599 | 100¢ | $1,598 | 0xa48a49… |
| 05-10 02:00:02 | Defiant-Tune 0x1c16…cbab | No | BUY | 1,846 | 100¢ | $1,842 | 0x3fba0d… |
| 05-10 01:58:31 | Miniature-Instant 0x41f6…52fc | No | BUY | 1,843 | 100¢ | $1,839 | 0xb01ad0… |
| 05-10 01:56:51 | French-Pseudoscience 0x69e8…35b5 | No | BUY | 1,846 | 100¢ | $1,842 | 0xa09825… |
| 05-10 01:55:59 | Strict-Rescue 0x860e…e951 | No | BUY | 180 | 100¢ | $180 | 0xd6b552… |
| 05-10 01:55:27 | Frilly-Passion 0xcc15…3b05 | No | BUY | 1,845 | 100¢ | $1,841 | 0x0a653b… |
| 05-10 01:53:30 | Shabby-Caution 0xf150…69f9 | No | BUY | 1,835 | 100¢ | $1,831 | 0xa12cd5… |
| 05-10 01:51:55 | Disloyal-Appearance 0xf49a…7af2 | No | BUY | 1,842 | 100¢ | $1,838 | 0xf235aa… |
| 05-10 01:48:39 | Enraged-Caviar 0x1173…d9bc | No | BUY | 2,068 | 100¢ | $2,064 | 0xe3b0c6… |
| 05-10 01:47:03 | Trivial-Extension 0x91d8…2a3e | No | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0xa19acd… |
| 05-10 01:45:46 | (anonymous) 0xbfbd…2fd8 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xac79c0… |
| 05-10 01:45:46 | Gleaming-Locker 0x5ce7…f50a | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4332a7… |
| 05-10 01:45:46 | (anonymous) 0xfa19…9dfc | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xba4629… |
| 05-10 01:31:09 | Unfortunate-Harvest 0x352d…cb9e | No | BUY | 162 | 99¢ | $160 | 0x75f29a… |
| 05-10 00:05:28 | Silver-Fiesta 0xdd19…25a6 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xd5aaab… |
| 05-09 23:31:22 | Silver-Fiesta 0xdd19…25a6 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xc2f643… |
| 05-09 23:31:13 | (anonymous) 0x1519…da5e | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x375654… |
| 05-09 22:10:21 | Timely-Expansionism 0x8a8d…72f8 | No | BUY | 1,011 | 99¢ | $1,000 | 0x52e013… |
| 05-09 22:10:12 | Annual-Donkey 0xdf4d…78f5 | Yes | SELL | 282 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x54c8e4… |
| 05-09 19:52:21 | That-Inventor 0x434f…4d09 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcc3ad9… |
| 05-09 15:54:46 | (anonymous) 0x40a0…4f97 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xec25e5… |
| 05-09 14:43:50 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x733cca… |
| 05-09 14:27:25 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xce4315… |
| 05-09 14:27:25 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x438f63… |
| 05-09 13:13:28 | (anonymous) 0xfde3…67b6 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x3205da… |
| 05-09 13:13:23 | Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x7f8986… |
| 05-09 13:13:14 | Profuse-Cargo 0x28be…03fc | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x8c104f… |
| 05-09 13:13:14 | Admired-Omission 0x495e…9a96 | Yes | BUY | 5,881 | 6¢ | $376 | 0x6965f9… |
| 05-09 13:13:14 | Long-Term-Certification 0x16ab…2f10 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4d281e… |
| 05-09 13:13:09 | Profuse-Cargo 0x28be…03fc | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xf510e2… |
| 05-09 13:13:07 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x167e5f… |
| 05-09 13:13:07 | Admired-Omission 0x495e…9a96 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 6¢ | $15 | 0x2d010d… |
| 05-09 13:13:07 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 5,851 | 94¢ | $5,477 | 0xecf966… |
| 05-09 13:08:29 | Admired-Omission 0x495e…9a96 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x923dee… |
| 05-09 13:08:29 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 659 | 95¢ | $625 | 0xc1f4ce… |
| 05-09 12:41:02 | Sardonic-Lotion-Curve 0x30ea…3178 | Yes | BUY | 127 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x8af990… |