Gruesome-Millstone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 05-10 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 50% +$0

Other

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 4 11pm et	8	$111	128	124	+4	open	—	02-05 04:41
btc updown 15m 1770072300	7	$78	60	59	+1	open	—	02-02 22:53
eth updown 15m 1770538500	2	$67	71	70	+1	open	—	02-08 08:20
btc updown 15m 1771417800	3	$62	37	36	+0	open	—	02-18 12:45
btc updown 15m 1770074100	8	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	02-02 23:21
eth updown 4h 1770526800	3	$59	42	42	+0	open	—	02-08 08:13
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	2	$48	58	58	+0	open	—	01-29 06:36
bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	2	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	02-05 07:15
xrp updown 4h 1770526800	3	$37	50	50	+0	open	—	02-08 08:04
bitcoin up or down february 5 1am et	3	$36	40	40	+0	open	—	02-05 06:34
bitcoin up or down february 18 8am et	2	$36	55	0	+55	open	—	02-18 13:20
btc updown 15m 1770083100	4	$31	26	26	+0	open	—	02-03 01:55
btc updown 15m 1770208200	2	$31	23	23	+0	open	—	02-04 12:41
bitcoin up or down february 5 12am et	5	$30	143	5	+137	open	—	02-05 05:52
eth updown 15m 1770742800	2	$29	37	36	+0	open	—	02-10 17:08
bitcoin up or down february 5 5am et	4	$25	25	25	+0	open	—	02-05 10:19
xrp up or down february 6 2pm et	3	$25	37	37	+0	open	—	02-06 19:25
bitcoin up or down on february 8	3	$22	120	0	+120	open	—	02-08 11:23
solana up or down february 10 11am et	3	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	02-10 17:01
btc updown 15m 1770073200	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	02-02 22:58
btc updown 15m 1770075900	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	02-02 23:24
ethereum up or down february 8 1am et	4	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	02-08 06:43
bitcoin up or down february 5 3am et	2	$19	50	0	+50	open	—	02-05 08:04
ethereum up or down february 6 10am et	6	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	02-06 15:53
bitcoin up or down february 9 7am et	2	$17	28	28	+0	open	—	02-09 12:26
ethereum up or down on february 8	1	$15	250	0	+250	open	—	02-08 11:34
solana up or down february 6 2pm et	3	$15	56	0	+56	open	—	02-06 19:43
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$15	36	36	+0	open	—	02-08 06:24
bitcoin up or down february 10 5am et	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	02-10 10:47
sol updown 15m 1770743700	1	$14	38	0	+38	open	—	02-10 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 02:43:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	202	0¢	$1	0x54dba5…
05-09 08:50:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x41a0b3…
03-26 01:43:09	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x825ddb…
03-24 15:17:45	will kanye tweet again by march 31	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf32b82…
02-18 13:20:50	bitcoin up or down february 18 8am et	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbdb51f…
02-18 13:17:32	bitcoin up or down february 18 8am et	Up	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xead0b5…
02-18 12:45:10	btc updown 15m 1771417800	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x771f5e…
02-18 12:44:42	btc updown 15m 1771417800	Down	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x2a2402…
02-18 12:42:02	btc updown 15m 1771417800	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdeb8a3…
02-10 17:17:03	sol updown 15m 1770743700	Down	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0xf5d65f…
02-10 17:10:59	sol updown 15m 1770742800	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x82e878…
02-10 17:08:43	eth updown 15m 1770742800	Up	SELL	36	44¢	$16	0x90c8f3…
02-10 17:02:59	eth updown 15m 1770742800	Up	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0x6a62ee…
02-10 17:01:51	solana up or down february 10 11am et	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xbe0aa9…
02-10 16:56:21	solana up or down february 10 11am et	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xd9ae31…
02-10 16:29:05	solana up or down february 10 11am et	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x9f1285…
02-10 16:26:57	sol updown 15m 1770740100	Up	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xc7d7e2…
02-10 16:25:29	sol updown 15m 1770740100	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x597af0…
02-10 10:47:19	bitcoin up or down february 10 5am et	Down	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x9facdb…
02-10 10:45:55	bitcoin up or down february 10 5am et	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x7d1c37…
02-09 12:27:13	btc updown 4h 1770627600	Up	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0x0ea409…
02-09 12:26:09	bitcoin up or down february 9 7am et	Down	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0xb59243…
02-09 12:24:11	bitcoin up or down february 9 7am et	Down	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0x8ead2e…
02-09 12:11:57	xrp updown 4h 1770627600	Up	SELL	16	45¢	$7	0xe31813…
02-09 10:24:49	xrp updown 4h 1770627600	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x4891a5…
02-09 10:02:35	eth updown 15m 1770631200	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x8736f0…
02-09 10:02:01	eth updown 15m 1770631200	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xfbabd8…
02-09 09:33:11	xrp up or down february 9 4am et	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe67188…
02-08 11:34:29	ethereum up or down on february 8	Down	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x8cdc00…
02-08 11:32:17	xrp updown 4h 1770541200	Up	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xe9575d…
02-08 11:30:43	xrp updown 4h 1770541200	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xf47b3e…
02-08 11:23:47	bitcoin up or down on february 8	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x04aa1e…
02-08 11:23:39	bitcoin up or down on february 8	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x474325…
02-08 11:07:27	xrp up or down february 8 6am et	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x41b3af…
02-08 08:23:27	bitcoin up or down on february 8	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x5ffa70…
02-08 08:20:41	eth updown 15m 1770538500	Up	SELL	70	52¢	$37	0x758320…
02-08 08:16:19	eth updown 15m 1770538500	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x383e0a…
02-08 08:13:41	eth updown 4h 1770526800	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x38984b…
02-08 08:11:23	eth updown 4h 1770526800	Down	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xfedea0…
02-08 08:07:01	eth updown 4h 1770526800	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x7a4d27…
02-08 08:04:13	xrp updown 4h 1770526800	Up	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x02e20d…
02-08 08:04:11	xrp updown 4h 1770526800	Up	SELL	33	50¢	$16	0xd73e89…
02-08 06:50:13	xrp updown 4h 1770526800	Up	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x10d6a9…
02-08 06:45:05	xrp up or down february 8 1am et	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xcd08a3…
02-08 06:43:41	xrp up or down february 8 1am et	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x947103…
02-08 06:43:15	ethereum up or down february 8 1am et	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xac9775…
02-08 06:34:55	ethereum up or down february 8 1am et	Down	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xb2a0fe…
02-08 06:34:53	ethereum up or down february 8 1am et	Down	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x8d410f…
02-08 06:24:25	ethereum up or down february 8 1am et	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x5a0fe2…
02-08 06:24:05	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	36	19¢	$7	0x6e8178…
02-08 06:18:03	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	36	21¢	$8	0xc1a6b8…
02-08 00:46:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x690169…
02-08 00:44:01	btc updown 15m 1770510600	Up	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xc54dc2…
02-08 00:40:17	btc updown 15m 1770510600	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x39e07d…
02-07 05:40:25	xrp updown 15m 1770442200	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x404cb1…
02-06 19:43:53	solana up or down february 6 2pm et	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe68b73…
02-06 19:33:39	solana up or down february 6 2pm et	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfa89bf…
02-06 19:31:45	solana up or down february 6 2pm et	Down	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x42209e…
02-06 19:25:59	xrp up or down february 6 2pm et	Up	SELL	36	42¢	$15	0x8ecd4c…
02-06 19:25:59	xrp up or down february 6 2pm et	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x20f55e…
02-06 19:21:17	xrp up or down february 6 2pm et	Up	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0x2b6b13…
02-06 15:53:07	ethereum up or down february 6 10am et	Down	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x46303f…
02-06 15:53:07	ethereum up or down february 6 10am et	Down	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x349667…
02-06 15:53:05	ethereum up or down february 6 10am et	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x37dbfa…
02-06 15:44:53	ethereum up or down february 6 10am et	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xdde7f3…
02-06 15:39:17	ethereum up or down february 6 10am et	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xe61a76…
02-06 15:34:35	ethereum up or down february 6 10am et	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x71aba6…
02-06 13:27:57	ethereum up or down february 6 8am et	Down	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0xf607a0…
02-06 13:23:57	ethereum up or down february 6 8am et	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x3f4f29…
02-05 18:16:37	solana up or down february 5 1pm et	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x874661…
02-05 18:12:59	solana up or down february 5 1pm et	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7e21f8…
02-05 18:00:59	solana up or down february 5 1pm et	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1a5319…
02-05 17:30:17	solana up or down february 5 12pm et	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xe0d983…
02-05 17:16:53	solana up or down february 5 12pm et	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x86850d…
02-05 15:32:29	solana up or down february 5 10am et	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xabc6e5…
02-05 14:01:15	solana up or down february 5 9am et	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb34610…
02-05 13:54:27	solana up or down february 5 8am et	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xd0ebb2…
02-05 10:19:17	bitcoin up or down february 5 5am et	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x75b3f2…
02-05 10:19:17	bitcoin up or down february 5 5am et	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x57ae8b…
02-05 10:19:17	bitcoin up or down february 5 5am et	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x55c267…
02-05 10:02:47	bitcoin up or down february 5 5am et	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1f2fce…
02-05 09:04:55	bitcoin up or down february 5 4am et	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xecd3cc…
02-05 08:04:39	bitcoin up or down february 5 3am et	Down	BUY	44	38¢	$17	0xd84052…
02-05 08:04:37	bitcoin up or down february 5 3am et	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x1d4b36…
02-05 07:15:45	bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	Down	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x739dd1…
02-05 07:01:17	bitcoin up or down february 5 2am et	Down	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xd60155…
02-05 06:34:21	bitcoin up or down february 5 1am et	Up	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0xd58595…
02-05 06:34:19	bitcoin up or down february 5 1am et	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x67e7d4…
02-05 06:21:43	bitcoin up or down february 5 1am et	Up	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xaa2270…
02-05 05:52:53	bitcoin up or down february 5 12am et	Up	BUY	107	19¢	$20	0x89513d…
02-05 05:52:43	bitcoin up or down february 5 12am et	Up	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x1e7bc3…
02-05 05:52:21	bitcoin up or down february 5 12am et	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xaf028d…
02-05 05:52:21	bitcoin up or down february 5 12am et	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xaea5dd…
02-05 05:47:35	bitcoin up or down february 5 12am et	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x78fb71…
02-05 04:41:57	bitcoin up or down february 4 11pm et	Up	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0xbb759a…
02-05 04:41:57	bitcoin up or down february 4 11pm et	Up	SELL	31	55¢	$17	0x946779…
02-05 04:28:41	bitcoin up or down february 4 11pm et	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x42541e…
02-05 04:27:11	sol updown 15m 1770264900	Down	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xee1fe9…
02-05 04:27:11	sol updown 15m 1770264900	Down	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xe47fe9…
02-05 04:25:59	sol updown 15m 1770264900	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5168a5…