Black-Migration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$342

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% +$12

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 10?	1	$2.1K	2,088	0	+2,088	No	+$4	05-11 02:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?	1	$2.1K	2,080	0	+2,080	No	+$4	05-10 01:51
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	1	$2.1K	2,075	0	+2,075	Yes	+$4	05-08 08:24
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?	1	$2.1K	2,074	0	+2,074	No	+$4	05-09 02:09
ethereum above 2900 on january 19	1	$1.1K	1,083	0	+1,083	open	—	01-19 02:55
bitcoin above 100k on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,081	0	+1,081	open	—	01-18 02:35
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	01-17 03:17
bitcoin above 102k on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	01-16 02:03
will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	01-15 02:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-14 02:41
ethereum above 3500 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-13 02:36
ethereum above 2800 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	01-12 02:32
ethereum above 2800 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	01-11 02:14
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-10 09:50
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	05-20 08:47
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	02-06 08:12
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 09:56
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-21 14:10
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-26 05:51
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-12 02:32
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-07 13:53
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	04-17 03:25
ethereum above 3300 on january 2	5	$5	5,331	0	+5,331	open	—	01-02 01:55
will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-25 02:45
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	1	$4	2,086	0	+2,086	No	$-4	05-05 02:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	1	$4	2,083	0	+2,083	open	—	04-21 08:16
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	1	$4	2,074	0	+2,074	open	—	04-26 08:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?	1	$4	2,061	0	+2,061	open	—	05-02 01:49
trump out as president by march 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-11 03:34
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 31	1	$2	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-31 02:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:33:49	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x97884e…
06-09 08:33:46	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xad9c65…
06-09 08:33:45	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xec9c73…
06-09 08:33:45	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x8449aa…
06-09 08:33:36	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x33fd10…
06-09 08:33:34	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xd34147…
06-09 08:33:33	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xa08a74…
06-09 08:33:31	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xa3b6c8…
06-09 08:33:28	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x5ebd3e…
06-09 08:33:12	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x6efcf2…
06-09 08:33:12	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x4120f9…
06-09 08:33:09	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xa61698…
06-09 08:33:09	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x6c759f…
06-09 08:33:09	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x0e83da…
05-20 08:47:41	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x8d8170…
05-11 02:42:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 10?	No	BUY	2,088	100¢	$2,084	0xd32d95…
05-10 01:51:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	2,080	100¢	$2,076	0xb4bb2b…
05-09 02:09:35	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?	No	BUY	2,074	100¢	$2,069	0xb3344f…
05-08 08:24:52	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,075	100¢	$2,071	0x79d540…
05-05 02:37:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,086	0¢	$4	0x26bac3…
05-02 01:49:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2,061	0¢	$4	0xb9f39b…
04-26 08:08:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2,074	0¢	$4	0x27bc4a…
04-21 08:16:48	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	Yes	BUY	2,083	0¢	$4	0xa7696c…
04-17 03:25:36	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x942b3e…
04-10 14:07:33	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x623d52…
03-26 05:51:05	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x56320f…
03-12 02:32:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x643edf…
03-07 13:53:33	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x29f027…
02-25 02:45:22	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x642449…
02-11 03:34:55	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1107f1…
02-06 08:12:43	bitcoin above 76k on february 7	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x613061…
02-02 13:08:08	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x92677a…
01-31 08:27:54	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x607b01…
01-31 02:08:08	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 31	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$2	0x8838fc…
01-30 09:38:42	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2a7bd4…
01-27 09:56:07	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1959b0…
01-27 02:11:01	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,087	0¢	$1	0x63645a…
01-26 12:41:01	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7eb77f…
01-23 04:12:12	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	Yes	BUY	1,063	0¢	$1	0x7bad35…
01-21 14:10:58	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb2084d…
01-20 09:22:48	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb43171…
01-19 02:55:26	ethereum above 2900 on january 19	Yes	BUY	1,083	100¢	$1,081	0x843eb6…
01-18 02:35:08	bitcoin above 100k on january 18	No	BUY	1,081	100¢	$1,079	0x908808…
01-17 03:17:24	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 17	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,077	0xb8706e…
01-16 02:03:02	bitcoin above 102k on january 16	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,076	0x04dd98…
01-15 02:42:40	will the price of ethereum be between 2900 3000 on january 15	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,075	0x52649b…
01-14 02:41:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,073	0x92b28d…
01-13 02:36:21	ethereum above 3500 on january 13	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,070	0x771a92…
01-12 02:32:22	ethereum above 2800 on january 12	Yes	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0xc5f5e1…
01-11 02:14:52	ethereum above 2800 on january 11	Yes	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,068	0xc7cbab…
01-10 09:50:18	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 10	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0x2f5471…
01-02 01:55:23	ethereum above 3300 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$1	0x7b2568…
01-02 01:54:07	ethereum above 3300 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,065	0¢	$1	0x6fd8bb…
01-02 01:52:53	ethereum above 3300 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,065	0¢	$1	0xec9969…
01-02 01:51:41	ethereum above 3300 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0x08c88b…
01-02 01:49:31	ethereum above 3300 on january 2	Yes	BUY	1,065	0¢	$1	0xf45197…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lanky-Vista 0x8d2d…78d7	36	$19.1K	43	06-09 08:33
Miserable-Pasture 0x01a8…e243	34	$16.0K	44	06-09 08:33
Enraged-Caviar 0x1173…d9bc	34	$15.9K	41	06-09 08:33
Grateful-Thyme 0x03b0…f8dc	34	$15.0K	43	06-09 08:33
Bony-Dedication 0x23ba…3c84	33	$16.0K	37	06-09 08:47
Hateful-Lunch 0x0c69…0831	31	$13.8K	46	06-09 08:47
Massive-Network 0x24b0…0a7b	31	$12.8K	38	06-09 08:33
Identical-Wealth 0x3cb9…08c2	28	$10.7K	32	06-09 08:33