Tidy-Excuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$300

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-02 10:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 25% $-8

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 4?	1	$2.1K	2,087	0	+2,087	No	+$4	05-05 01:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	1	$2.1K	2,083	0	+2,083	open	—	05-04 06:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 3?	1	$2.1K	2,077	0	+2,077	open	—	05-04 01:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3?	1	$2.1K	2,074	0	+2,074	open	—	05-03 06:38
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	1	$2.1K	2,068	0	+2,068	open	—	05-03 01:48
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?	1	$2.1K	2,060	0	+2,060	open	—	05-02 08:49
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	06-09 07:09
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	07-02 10:35
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 09:28
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-23 09:24
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-26 05:01
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-12 01:59
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-07 13:13
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-20 07:26
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-25 08:28
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	6	$6	6,329	0	+6,329	open	—	01-20 04:28
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?	1	$6	2,096	0	+2,096	open	—	04-27 09:36
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-06 06:51
will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-24 05:15
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-21 04:56
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	2	$4	2,105	0	+2,105	No	$-4	05-12 12:04
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?	1	$4	2,089	0	+2,089	open	—	05-01 01:09
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	2	$4	2,085	0	+2,085	Yes	$-4	05-07 07:52
xrp above 1pt2 on april 22	1	$4	2,084	0	+2,084	open	—	04-22 08:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?	1	$4	2,080	0	+2,080	No	$-4	05-10 02:27
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 15?	1	$4	2,080	0	+2,080	open	—	05-16 02:48
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-16 03:34
trump out as president by march 31	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-11 03:10
xrp above 2pt5 on january 25	1	$1	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	01-25 03:25
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 29	1	$1	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-29 06:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 10:35:23	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe60258…
06-25 08:28:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbe95b0…
06-21 04:56:19	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c007e…
06-09 07:09:16	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa275f0…
05-20 07:26:13	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x19da3f…
05-16 02:48:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,080	0¢	$4	0x210aa5…
05-12 12:04:03	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x10df67…
05-12 12:03:59	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2,082	0¢	$4	0xf7a38d…
05-10 02:27:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2,080	0¢	$4	0x90bc01…
05-07 07:52:09	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x20f2e2…
05-07 07:51:57	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	No	BUY	2,082	0¢	$4	0x5f962a…
05-05 01:55:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 4?	No	BUY	2,087	100¢	$2,083	0x7003c5…
05-04 06:34:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,083	100¢	$2,077	0xf0d59e…
05-04 01:26:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	2,077	100¢	$2,073	0x037dfd…
05-03 06:38:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3?	No	BUY	2,074	100¢	$2,068	0xd75a04…
05-03 01:48:48	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	2,068	100¢	$2,064	0x416d40…
05-02 08:49:16	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 2?	No	BUY	2,060	100¢	$2,056	0x56c9cd…
05-01 01:09:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,089	0¢	$4	0x81ce2b…
04-27 09:36:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2,096	0¢	$6	0xec5a31…
04-22 08:37:56	xrp above 1pt2 on april 22	No	BUY	2,084	0¢	$4	0xe3240f…
04-16 03:34:12	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf56a3e…
03-26 05:01:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf75e36…
03-12 01:59:09	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfece84…
03-07 13:13:15	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x26cc3e…
02-24 05:15:38	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17c9a8…
02-11 03:10:15	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x13f43e…
02-06 06:51:43	bitcoin above 76k on february 7	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x7e1c1a…
02-02 12:18:56	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc076cd…
01-31 07:59:46	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa44ccd…
01-30 05:51:46	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x57f599…
01-29 06:40:00	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 29	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$1	0xed915c…
01-27 09:28:55	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfc3beb…
01-26 11:34:23	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x22abc7…
01-25 03:25:58	xrp above 2pt5 on january 25	Yes	BUY	1,078	0¢	$1	0x0c6e29…
01-23 09:24:02	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe82e38…
01-20 04:28:22	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1,055	0¢	$1	0xf23d8d…
01-20 04:27:20	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1,054	0¢	$1	0x11b67d…
01-20 04:25:48	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1,057	0¢	$1	0xaa4bea…
01-20 04:24:34	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1,053	0¢	$1	0xb14174…
01-20 04:23:20	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1,053	0¢	$1	0x9597d6…
01-20 04:22:22	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	Yes	BUY	1,057	0¢	$1	0xd86375…
01-19 12:41:52	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x098aae…