Irresponsible-Arrangement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$479

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-20 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-8

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?	1	$1.8K	1,841	0	+1,841	No	+$4	05-10 02:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 8?	1	$1.8K	1,834	0	+1,834	No	+$4	05-09 01:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	1	$1.8K	1,827	0	+1,827	No	+$4	05-08 02:33
bitcoin above 60k on february 23	1	$1.2K	1,165	0	+1,165	open	—	02-22 23:50
ethereum above 1700 on february 22	1	$1.2K	1,162	0	+1,162	open	—	02-21 23:49
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 21	1	$1.2K	1,153	0	+1,153	open	—	02-20 23:51
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 20	1	$1.1K	1,152	0	+1,152	open	—	02-19 23:38
bitcoin above 72k on february 19	1	$1.1K	1,145	0	+1,145	open	—	02-18 23:36
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$1.1K	1,138	0	+1,138	open	—	02-18 00:37
bitcoin above 62k on february 16	1	$1.1K	1,127	0	+1,127	open	—	02-16 01:07
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	1	$1.1K	1,120	0	+1,120	open	—	02-15 01:10
will the price of solana be between 50 60 on february 14	1	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	open	—	02-14 11:50
xrp above 1pt6 on february 13	1	$1.1K	1,110	0	+1,110	open	—	02-13 12:39
xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	1	$1.1K	1,107	0	+1,107	open	—	02-12 02:15
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$1.1K	1,102	0	+1,102	open	—	02-11 01:53
ethereum above 1700 on february 10	1	$1.1K	1,094	0	+1,094	open	—	02-10 02:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	1	$1.1K	1,088	0	+1,088	open	—	02-09 03:01
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	1	$1.1K	1,084	0	+1,084	open	—	02-08 02:33
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 7	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	02-07 08:50
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-30 07:39
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 10:41
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-24 19:47
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	1	$7	1,098	0	+1,098	open	—	02-06 03:42
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	1	$7	2,177	0	+2,177	open	—	03-12 02:28
ethereum above 2900 on january 6	6	$6	6,385	0	+6,385	open	—	01-06 06:47
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 08:26
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-14 02:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	1	$4	2,083	0	+2,083	Yes	$-4	05-06 06:24
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on May 4?	1	$4	2,069	0	+2,069	No	$-4	05-05 01:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	1	$4	2,067	0	+2,067	open	—	05-02 00:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 08:26:06	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfb2684…
05-12 23:06:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,838	0¢	$4	0x641a66…
05-12 02:08:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,825	0¢	$4	0x56d402…
05-11 01:42:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,818	0¢	$4	0x59d589…
05-10 02:03:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,841	100¢	$1,837	0x512189…
05-09 01:56:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,834	100¢	$1,830	0x637ce7…
05-08 02:33:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,827	100¢	$1,823	0xc17495…
05-06 06:24:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	No	BUY	2,083	0¢	$4	0xc70aa2…
05-05 01:14:56	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,069	0¢	$4	0xdf48d6…
05-02 00:55:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2,067	0¢	$4	0xd8b54a…
04-14 02:33:07	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x227740…
03-30 07:39:06	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x2a32bf…
03-12 02:28:45	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	Yes	BUY	2,177	0¢	$7	0x9838f0…
03-07 02:04:33	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 7	Yes	BUY	1,118	0¢	$2	0x77c2c5…
02-28 00:44:45	ethereum above 2200 on february 28	Yes	BUY	1,124	0¢	$3	0x601157…
02-22 23:50:50	bitcoin above 60k on february 23	Yes	BUY	1,165	100¢	$1,161	0x51dc97…
02-21 23:49:08	ethereum above 1700 on february 22	Yes	BUY	1,162	99¢	$1,154	0x0a1a56…
02-20 23:51:22	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 21	No	BUY	1,153	100¢	$1,151	0x454acf…
02-19 23:38:24	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 20	No	BUY	1,152	99¢	$1,145	0x3c47c8…
02-18 23:36:02	bitcoin above 72k on february 19	No	BUY	1,145	99¢	$1,138	0x4ffa03…
02-18 00:37:05	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	Yes	BUY	1,138	100¢	$1,134	0xed3d32…
02-16 01:07:41	bitcoin above 62k on february 16	Yes	BUY	1,127	99¢	$1,120	0xf229c9…
02-15 01:10:45	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	No	BUY	1,120	99¢	$1,112	0x656265…
02-14 11:50:43	will the price of solana be between 50 60 on february 14	No	BUY	1,112	100¢	$1,110	0x6ce38b…
02-13 12:39:43	xrp above 1pt6 on february 13	No	BUY	1,110	100¢	$1,107	0x398f92…
02-12 02:15:37	xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	Yes	BUY	1,107	100¢	$1,102	0x564121…
02-11 01:53:21	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	No	BUY	1,102	99¢	$1,094	0xdf26a8…
02-10 02:40:03	ethereum above 1700 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,094	99¢	$1,087	0xc77ca3…
02-09 03:01:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	No	BUY	1,088	100¢	$1,085	0x7b8dbd…
02-08 02:33:53	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	No	BUY	1,084	99¢	$1,076	0x9e8447…
02-07 08:50:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 7	No	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,072	0xa29f6c…
02-06 03:42:03	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,098	1¢	$7	0xfde709…
02-02 11:19:42	will msft close below 390 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8853a8…
02-02 02:40:26	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	Yes	BUY	1,068	0¢	$1	0x010089…
01-31 09:26:32	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x69ed6e…
01-29 11:15:40	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6c570…
01-28 10:49:23	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3696f2…
01-28 02:22:07	ethereum above 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,071	0¢	$1	0x4e9ee6…
01-27 10:41:47	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x59920c…
01-26 11:07:19	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf231a0…
01-26 03:12:36	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 26	Yes	BUY	1,069	0¢	$2	0xa881b4…
01-24 19:47:06	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe92ef2…
01-23 12:05:40	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x53a2b4…
01-06 06:47:41	ethereum above 2900 on january 6	No	BUY	1,064	0¢	$1	0x237e9d…
01-06 06:46:21	ethereum above 2900 on january 6	No	BUY	1,064	0¢	$1	0xac1113…
01-06 06:41:35	ethereum above 2900 on january 6	No	BUY	1,064	0¢	$1	0x18df30…
01-06 06:40:37	ethereum above 2900 on january 6	No	BUY	1,065	0¢	$1	0x55cece…
01-06 06:39:33	ethereum above 2900 on january 6	No	BUY	1,064	0¢	$1	0x9c1de0…
01-06 06:38:07	ethereum above 2900 on january 6	No	BUY	1,064	0¢	$1	0xf99737…