Dense-Muscat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

Trades

223

lifetime

Volume

$525.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.36K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-30 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 86% $-4,300

Other

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	3	$10.9K	5,666	5,666	+0	No	+$410	05-14 04:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	2	$10.4K	5,397	5,397	+0	open	—	05-22 04:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?	2	$10.4K	5,393	5,393	+0	open	—	05-20 05:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	2	$10.4K	5,363	5,363	+0	open	—	05-18 05:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 15?	2	$10.2K	5,277	5,277	+0	open	—	05-16 04:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	2	$10.2K	5,237	5,237	+0	open	—	05-21 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	2	$10.2K	5,211	5,211	+0	open	—	05-20 16:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	2	$8.1K	4,103	4,103	+0	open	—	05-23 15:08
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 21	2	$7.6K	3,910	3,897	+13	open	—	04-22 04:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22?	2	$7.5K	4,188	4,188	+0	open	—	05-23 04:00
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	2	$7.3K	3,742	3,735	+7	open	—	04-21 16:09
will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 20	2	$7.1K	3,620	3,612	+8	open	—	04-21 03:23
will bitcoin reach 75k on april 13	2	$7.1K	3,575	3,571	+4	open	—	04-14 03:54
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 140 164	2	$6.9K	3,534	3,525	+9	open	—	04-13 16:07
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 65 89	2	$6.8K	3,527	3,514	+12	open	—	04-20 16:43
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 16	2	$6.7K	3,415	3,409	+6	open	—	04-17 04:47
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?	3	$6.6K	3,495	3,495	+0	open	—	05-15 04:13
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 15	2	$6.6K	3,336	3,333	+3	open	—	04-16 04:11
will bitcoin dip to 76k on april 23	2	$6.6K	3,337	3,330	+7	open	—	04-24 04:40
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 165 189	2	$6.6K	3,359	3,351	+8	open	—	04-13 15:18
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 90 114	2	$6.6K	3,299	3,297	+2	open	—	04-15 15:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 27?	2	$6.5K	3,427	3,406	+20	open	—	04-28 04:16
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	2	$6.5K	3,533	3,533	+0	No	+$529	05-09 04:08
will bitcoin reach 81k on april 17	2	$6.5K	3,308	3,302	+6	open	—	04-18 03:52
will bitcoin dip to 72k on april 19	2	$6.5K	3,295	3,288	+7	open	—	04-20 04:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 25?	2	$6.5K	3,287	3,279	+7	open	—	04-26 04:00
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 14	2	$6.4K	3,268	3,262	+6	open	—	04-15 04:25
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	2	$6.4K	3,423	3,393	+30	open	—	04-27 04:00
will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	2	$6.4K	3,217	3,214	+4	open	—	04-12 21:41
bitcoin above 80k on april 23	2	$6.4K	3,249	3,240	+8	open	—	04-23 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 21:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,628	99¢	$1,612	0xfc44e8…
05-30 21:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,429	97¢	$1,388	0xe7ef80…
05-30 20:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2,697	97¢	$2,630	0xbac846…
05-30 20:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	378	98¢	$370	0x46d035…
05-30 05:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3,122	96¢	$3,000	0x6293e5…
05-29 16:08:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	3,018	100¢	$3,015	0xf263f8…
05-29 13:59:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	3,018	98¢	$2,950	0x9feaf0…
05-29 03:58:29	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	3,193	100¢	$3,190	0xeca192…
05-29 02:24:01	Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	3,193	94¢	$3,000	0x94065d…
05-28 15:56:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	3,119	100¢	$3,116	0xe5a97d…
05-28 13:44:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	3,119	95¢	$2,950	0x252c4d…
05-28 03:57:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	975	98¢	$958	0xd2f41d…
05-28 03:57:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xd2d279…
05-28 03:43:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	937	98¢	$917	0x759be6…
05-28 03:43:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1df931…
05-28 03:42:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0xfb31a6…
05-28 03:20:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	504	99¢	$500	0xd1f890…
05-28 03:20:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0xedcc25…
05-28 03:19:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x755f2f…
05-28 03:19:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc95f35…
05-28 03:19:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0xc6afb7…
05-27 16:16:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	3,052	100¢	$3,049	0x094a3e…
05-27 14:11:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	3,052	97¢	$2,950	0x8ff3ef…
05-27 04:05:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	3,212	100¢	$3,209	0xbbfd34…
05-26 23:24:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	3,212	93¢	$3,000	0xa70683…
05-26 15:19:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	2,992	99¢	$2,950	0x1dc943…
05-26 04:00:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	3,116	100¢	$3,113	0x4ad9d0…
05-26 00:47:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	3,116	96¢	$3,000	0x273591…
05-25 03:56:53	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	3,043	100¢	$3,040	0x2e989b…
05-24 19:41:07	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	3,043	92¢	$2,800	0x9af8b8…
05-24 16:58:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	2,825	100¢	$2,822	0xfc2f3e…
05-24 03:31:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	2,825	92¢	$2,600	0x41a7e0…
05-24 02:29:52	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23?	No	SELL	2,654	99¢	$2,617	0xf90b96…
05-23 21:21:54	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	2,654	79¢	$2,100	0x168f9d…
05-23 20:41:56	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	698	26¢	$180	0xd862ff…
05-23 18:14:09	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	4,172	96¢	$4,000	0x2d0c8d…
05-23 15:08:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	4,103	100¢	$4,098	0x873462…
05-23 04:16:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	4,103	98¢	$4,000	0x058c88…
05-23 04:00:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22?	No	SELL	4,188	100¢	$4,184	0x60c789…
05-22 19:34:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	4,188	78¢	$3,270	0xa514ac…
05-22 15:31:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	5,641	88¢	$4,956	0x221f35…
05-22 04:38:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	5,397	100¢	$5,392	0x9d3ab7…
05-21 16:01:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	5,397	93¢	$5,000	0xec1f17…
05-21 16:00:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	5,237	100¢	$5,232	0x61be36…
05-21 13:46:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	5,237	95¢	$4,950	0x54d432…
05-20 16:14:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	5,557	90¢	$5,000	0xda9227…
05-20 16:03:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	5,211	100¢	$5,205	0x1283cd…
05-20 14:06:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	5,211	95¢	$4,950	0x73e644…
05-20 05:32:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	5,393	100¢	$5,388	0x9c0121…
05-19 16:36:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	5,393	93¢	$5,000	0x6f0eee…
05-18 16:17:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	5,442	92¢	$5,000	0x875e7e…
05-18 05:40:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	5,363	100¢	$5,357	0xc255a4…
05-17 17:34:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	5,363	93¢	$5,000	0x14e5ce…
05-16 16:09:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	5,261	95¢	$5,000	0x987151…
05-16 04:46:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	5,277	100¢	$5,272	0x44929e…
05-15 18:19:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	5,277	94¢	$4,950	0xdeb94d…
05-15 04:13:59	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	3,495	100¢	$3,491	0x2c20f4…
05-15 04:13:51	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	2,798	100¢	$2,795	0x3f5922…
05-14 17:02:05	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	193	73¢	$140	0x2a4970…
05-14 16:13:43	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	2,798	96¢	$2,700	0xeb965b…
05-14 15:45:50	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	3,302	91¢	$3,000	0x6f27ad…
05-14 15:43:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	3,196	100¢	$3,193	0xebdfd4…
05-14 06:35:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	3,196	94¢	$3,000	0xb8e42e…
05-14 04:02:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	5,666	100¢	$5,660	0xcff2f7…
05-13 16:09:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	367	68¢	$250	0x48aeef…
05-13 15:03:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	5,299	94¢	$5,000	0x73ce6c…
05-13 04:12:21	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	3,195	100¢	$3,192	0x059676…
05-12 21:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x7dd79d…
05-12 21:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x4d7387…
05-12 21:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x29099e…
05-12 21:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x720af4…
05-12 21:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x61804f…
05-12 21:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x8a2f5b…
05-12 21:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x39baa4…
05-12 21:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x9bda2a…
05-12 21:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x1296d1…
05-12 21:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x411590…
05-12 21:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xc8b0be…
05-12 21:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x66dd06…
05-12 21:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xa1cf5b…
05-12 21:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x78b530…
05-12 21:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x75a09f…
05-12 21:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,658	97¢	$1,600	0x7f022f…
05-12 21:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,616	99¢	$1,600	0xdccde8…
05-12 21:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf32b1b…
05-12 21:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf20a5a…
05-12 21:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe98d82…
05-12 21:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x6eabc8…
05-12 21:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x490f9c…
05-12 21:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0x334c2e…
05-12 21:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x94c062…
05-12 21:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x37e36d…
05-12 21:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xb84057…
05-12 21:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xe06cae…
05-12 21:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xdfbc2a…
05-12 21:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x1ce352…
05-12 21:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	307	99¢	$304	0x93516e…
05-12 21:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x69cc66…
05-12 21:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x7c4581…
05-12 21:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1ca6b8…