Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12?
open
Total volume
$1,594
$2,470 in 24h
Trades
39
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$6,003
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 00:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $54 | $370 | $316 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| Median | 8 | $8 | $13 | $4 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $33 | $33 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $10 | $4 | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $12 | $298 | $287 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unnatural-Banquette 0x5aa2…d7d0 | No | +1,151 | $1,144 | $1,144 | 1 | 05-12 23:38 |
| Bare-Fellow 0x167e…28d9 | Yes | +558 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-12 22:58 |
| Diligent-Zither 0x615e…5295 | Yes | +522 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9870…7d2a | No | +332 | $298 | $298 | 1 | 05-12 15:03 |
| Svelte-Toilet 0x1b12…7a89 | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 20:06 |
| Full-Hunting 0x3756…cffa | No | +34 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-12 21:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb23a…55ab | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 22:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xefb8…e17e | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 20:15 |
| Scaly-Nucleotide 0x67af…f6e5 | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 15:02 |
| Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:01 |
| Hateful-Howard 0x88a1…a17b | Yes | +15 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 08:47 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | +15 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 05-12 06:21 |
| Rundown-Rhubarb 0xecaa…cc0b | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 12:47 |
| Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 22:58 |
| Definitive-Pray 0x1bb4…f12a | No | +6 | $0 | $11 | 4 | 05-12 19:11 |
| International-Relationship 0x5f8a…12b3 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 05:31 |
| Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 14:27 |
| Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 14:27 |
| Pleasing-Infant 0xb64c…fc8e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 07:46 |
| Valid-Snake-Thunderbolt 0x19d0…7d9a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 10:42 |
| Vigilant-Association 0x17f0…00c7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:05:59 | Diligent-Zither 0x615e…5295 | Yes | BUY | 522 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xe446ee… |
| 05-12 23:46:25 | (anonymous) 0x93c8…d2a3 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa2f75f… |
| 05-12 23:38:15 | Unnatural-Banquette 0x5aa2…d7d0 | No | BUY | 1,151 | 99¢ | $1,144 | 0x1233c7… |
| 05-12 22:58:17 | Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8da469… |
| 05-12 22:58:15 | Bare-Fellow 0x167e…28d9 | Yes | BUY | 558 | 4¢ | $21 | 0xb02ade… |
| 05-12 22:38:08 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x155e05… |
| 05-12 22:38:06 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe3999d… |
| 05-12 22:38:04 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8cd489… |
| 05-12 22:02:47 | (anonymous) 0xb23a…55ab | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbaeff6… |
| 05-12 21:36:53 | (anonymous) 0x93c8…d2a3 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xdd4054… |
| 05-12 21:02:35 | Full-Hunting 0x3756…cffa | No | BUY | 34 | 96¢ | $32 | 0x698561… |
| 05-12 20:15:37 | (anonymous) 0xefb8…e17e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf650b0… |
| 05-12 20:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x9f99de… |
| 05-12 20:06:35 | Svelte-Toilet 0x1b12…7a89 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x43f17c… |
| 05-12 19:30:20 | Vigilant-Association 0x17f0…00c7 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xdd1465… |
| 05-12 19:11:40 | Definitive-Pray 0x1bb4…f12a | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xfbae69… |
| 05-12 18:46:45 | (anonymous) 0xc6be…cbf7 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xededd8… |
| 05-12 18:46:43 | (anonymous) 0xc6be…cbf7 | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x557766… |
| 05-12 16:01:23 | Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8800f0… |
| 05-12 15:03:17 | (anonymous) 0x9870…7d2a | No | BUY | 332 | 90¢ | $298 | 0xf17e65… |
| 05-12 15:02:59 | Scaly-Nucleotide 0x67af…f6e5 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xfaa97b… |
| 05-12 14:27:52 | Quarrelsome-Earring 0x23ef…0112 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x501f2f… |
| 05-12 14:27:50 | Unwieldy-Aspect 0xbb35…501d | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xd917bf… |
| 05-12 12:47:55 | Rundown-Rhubarb 0xecaa…cc0b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x564641… |
| 05-12 11:37:32 | Concerned-Plaintiff-Pack 0x1b71…e683 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x924b3e… |
| 05-12 10:42:25 | Valid-Snake-Thunderbolt 0x19d0…7d9a | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x7e77f0… |
| 05-12 09:07:23 | Definitive-Pray 0x1bb4…f12a | No | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xf5e1f3… |
| 05-12 08:47:14 | Hateful-Howard 0x88a1…a17b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 41¢ | $6 | 0xc2dbe1… |
| 05-12 07:46:20 | Pleasing-Infant 0xb64c…fc8e | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x572011… |
| 05-12 06:21:01 | Concerned-Plaintiff-Pack 0x1b71…e683 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x35e710… |
| 05-12 06:21:01 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xe23b16… |
| 05-12 06:20:56 | Concerned-Plaintiff-Pack 0x1b71…e683 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x9ea38f… |
| 05-12 06:20:54 | Definitive-Pray 0x1bb4…f12a | No | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x24492c… |
| 05-12 06:16:05 | Definitive-Pray 0x1bb4…f12a | No | BUY | 6 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xbb7e7b… |
| 05-12 06:16:02 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x188067… |
| 05-12 05:31:05 | International-Relationship 0x5f8a…12b3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xfd2318… |
| 05-12 05:30:53 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x563a8d… |
| 05-12 05:30:51 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xd056bc… |
| 05-12 05:30:51 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | No | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x6caac2… |