Embarrassed-Socialist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.67K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

4,628

Trades

22,062

lifetime

Volume

$315.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 07-15 10:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 93% +$384

Other

48% 69% -$2,149

Sports

1% 94% +$99

Politics

0% 97% -$5

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	53	$17.0K	20,509	20,509	+0	Yes	-$1,257	07-15 10:42
wti up or down on june 18 2026	277	$9.9K	11,538	11,499	+39	Up	-$178	06-18 10:50
Fed rate hike in 2026?	13	$4.7K	6,027	6,027	+0	Yes	-$56	06-19 11:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	21	$2.0K	1,076	1,076	+0	Yes	-$7	05-16 14:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$1.9K	2,229	2,229	+0	No	-$24	07-08 13:31
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	7	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$20	04-30 04:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	12	$1.8K	3,429	3,335	+94	Yes	-$205	04-27 05:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	31	$1.7K	1,181	700	+481	No	+$77	05-16 02:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 22?	36	$1.6K	846	846	+0	No	+$16	05-22 01:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	27	$1.5K	726	967	-242	No	-$14	05-07 02:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	23	$1.3K	1,072	408	+664	Yes	-$33	05-18 15:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	12	$1.3K	674	674	+0	Yes	+$62	05-30 12:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	19	$1.3K	669	729	-60	No	-$9	06-01 16:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	13	$1.3K	595	715	-120	No	+$47	05-23 08:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	25	$1.1K	663	690	-27	No	-$15	05-07 02:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 29?	10	$1.1K	443	712	-269	No	+$27	05-29 22:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	25	$1.1K	911	300	+611	No	+$63	05-01 19:15
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 5?	20	$1.1K	910	300	+610	No	+$55	05-05 17:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?	22	$1.1K	732	563	+169	Yes	-$25	05-23 21:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29?	20	$1.0K	937	257	+681	Yes	+$76	05-28 20:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	20	$1.0K	1,117	0	+1,117	No	+$72	05-09 18:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 6?	13	$1.0K	403	652	-248	No	+$14	05-07 02:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$1.0K	652	652	+0	No	+$1	06-19 00:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?	26	$991	776	363	+414	Yes	-$25	05-26 03:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	18	$990	1,046	0	+1,046	No	+$56	05-08 18:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	18	$990	1,116	0	+1,116	No	+$126	05-17 22:36
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	20	$985	1,104	1,104	+0	Yes	-$32	07-12 06:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on June 1?	4	$956	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$44	06-01 17:30
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	1	$950	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$50	04-27 21:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 30?	17	$935	797	200	+597	No	+$39	04-29 22:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 10:42:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	284	36¢	$102	0xe372f4…
07-15 10:25:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,200	38¢	$2,736	0x5296a6…
07-15 09:03:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x5dff7e…
07-15 09:01:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x4e44d2…
07-15 00:17:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x288ed0…
07-15 00:17:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9f1227…
07-14 22:09:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0xa1d682…
07-14 22:09:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	194	38¢	$74	0x93dcb5…
07-14 22:03:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x7c7850…
07-14 22:03:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xef0d1d…
07-14 21:49:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xac0611…
07-14 21:49:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x1bf2ce…
07-14 21:46:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbf4e37…
07-14 21:24:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	38¢	$14	0x28c458…
07-14 21:22:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x12689a…
07-14 21:09:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,693	38¢	$1,783	0x314d37…
07-14 21:03:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x50265e…
07-14 19:44:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	308	38¢	$117	0xfecfe0…
07-14 19:33:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0xe9c6e3…
07-14 19:33:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0xc6cf42…
07-14 19:33:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x954eb1…
07-14 19:33:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	113	38¢	$43	0x8bef23…
07-14 19:02:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	173	38¢	$66	0x22b72c…
07-14 18:34:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x3cc322…
07-14 18:06:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x7ac9a0…
07-14 18:00:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xd1363f…
07-14 15:42:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9,249	38¢	$3,514	0x10a391…
07-14 12:30:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9,800	50¢	$4,900	0xeeaeb7…
07-14 12:30:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xae86c4…
07-14 04:35:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	53¢	$9	0xba781a…
07-14 04:31:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xfb5823…
07-14 04:30:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x959d5e…
07-13 19:11:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	42	46¢	$19	0xc34dc5…
07-13 19:11:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x4a9a9a…
07-13 17:25:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x65272c…
07-13 17:24:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xb1e152…
07-13 16:38:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0xe77ad4…
07-13 16:37:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x73bfeb…
07-12 06:49:52	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	211	43¢	$91	0x7d2587…
07-12 06:49:52	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	197	43¢	$85	0x0db47e…
07-12 06:49:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	21	46¢	$10	0xe57662…
07-12 06:49:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	24	44¢	$11	0x9735af…
07-12 06:49:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	211	43¢	$91	0x7de834…
07-12 06:49:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	211	43¢	$91	0x52917f…
07-12 06:49:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	SELL	211	43¢	$91	0x3bf115…
07-12 06:49:34	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	1,065	46¢	$490	0x05a472…
07-12 06:14:16	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xc6965a…
07-12 06:14:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc1d8ec…
07-12 06:14:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa47dc9…
07-12 06:14:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9431df…
07-12 06:14:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x6e7537…
07-12 06:14:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5f72c0…
07-12 06:14:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x574729…
07-12 06:14:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x54e2f9…
07-12 06:14:04	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x051de3…
07-12 03:04:05	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xf65909…
07-12 02:14:59	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xbc7f25…
07-10 18:20:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	327	61¢	$200	0x1b59c5…
07-10 18:20:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	327	62¢	$203	0xcf5303…
07-10 09:27:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	549	36¢	$198	0xba588d…
07-10 09:27:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	549	37¢	$203	0xb0e8a6…
07-08 13:31:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0xf89a44…
07-08 11:23:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	301	67¢	$201	0xbfe67b…
07-08 11:23:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	301	67¢	$202	0xa70b5f…
07-07 20:00:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	283	72¢	$204	0xf41d98…
07-07 20:00:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	283	72¢	$204	0xdb7996…
07-07 01:59:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x859798…
07-02 12:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on July 3?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x0905bc…
07-02 12:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on July 3?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xcc17e5…
07-02 12:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xf65f0d…
07-02 12:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x1df45b…
07-02 12:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xb9fc7c…
07-02 12:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xa4d578…
07-02 12:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x589caf…
07-02 12:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xa5ca81…
07-02 11:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 3?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x5e1749…
07-02 11:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x52a8a0…
07-02 11:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xc948ec…
07-02 11:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x2c2588…
07-02 11:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xc9f517…
07-02 11:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x520e57…
07-02 11:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xd247ca…
07-02 11:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x70da28…
07-02 11:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xefd697…
07-02 11:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xbfff11…
07-02 11:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x8a47cc…
07-02 11:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf9e72d…
07-02 11:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xb24443…
07-02 11:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa89b11…
07-02 11:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x9760b2…
07-02 11:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x765f16…
07-02 11:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x500a15…
07-02 11:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x1afec2…
07-02 11:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf6344a…
07-02 11:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x741520…
07-02 11:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x485ac3…
07-02 11:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x77bd59…
07-02 11:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1f9a81…
07-02 11:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd75d81…
07-02 11:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xcaa8ab…