Earnest-Marines — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$131

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-02 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 100% +$2

Other

21% — —

Politics

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$4.6K	2,320	2,320	+0	open	—	02-05 11:58
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$4.0K	2,006	2,006	+0	open	—	02-08 10:34
bitcoin up or down on february 8	2	$3.0K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	02-08 16:55
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	8	$1.4K	720	720	+0	open	—	02-06 05:42
btc updown 15m 1770545700	6	$932	569	369	+200	open	—	02-08 10:29
btc updown 15m 1770299100	3	$920	923	0	+923	open	—	02-05 13:59
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	10	$681	500	500	+0	open	—	02-08 12:52
btc updown 15m 1770541200	2	$591	300	300	+0	open	—	02-08 09:13
btc updown 15m 1770311700	3	$533	451	346	+105	open	—	02-05 17:29
btc updown 15m 1770304500	1	$500	510	0	+510	open	—	02-05 15:26
will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	8	$454	228	228	+0	open	—	03-10 13:10
bitcoin above 66k on april 6	4	$434	220	218	+2	open	—	04-06 09:26
ethereum above 2400 on april 11	2	$427	230	200	+30	open	—	04-11 07:57
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	9	$357	221	137	+84	open	—	03-30 11:25
bitcoin up or down february 6 12am et	9	$307	156	154	+2	open	—	02-06 05:51
bitcoin above 66k on april 5	2	$240	121	121	+0	open	—	04-05 14:43
bitcoin above 70k on april 14	2	$230	137	130	+7	open	—	04-14 14:13
btc updown 5m 1770879300	2	$222	228	0	+228	open	—	02-12 06:59
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$214	110	107	+3	open	—	03-23 18:58
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	5	$210	110	101	+9	open	—	03-13 05:33
will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 15	1	$210	211	0	+211	open	—	03-15 16:43
btc updown 15m 1770542100	1	$200	206	0	+206	open	—	02-08 09:29
will bitcoin reach 77k on march 10	1	$199	200	0	+200	open	—	03-10 16:12
bitcoin above 76k on april 7	2	$199	200	0	+200	open	—	04-06 15:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	01-30 15:42
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	2	$198	101	99	+2	open	—	03-13 16:01
btc updown 15m 1770302700	4	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	02-05 14:56
bitcoin above 86k on january 30	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	01-30 14:30
bitcoin above 76k on april 12	2	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	04-11 16:10
ethereum above 2300 on april 10	4	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	04-10 13:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 13:42:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x9d0a93…
05-28 05:12:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x37e88a…
05-28 05:05:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5e4367…
05-22 04:46:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xd643d3…
05-22 04:44:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xeba3a4…
05-20 02:54:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9b2fba…
05-18 14:34:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x564b51…
05-18 08:48:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0760d8…
05-18 07:48:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x510e40…
05-18 04:49:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x343fef…
05-18 04:38:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x5d3b0d…
05-17 14:30:19	Ethereum Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf15f2b…
05-13 02:46:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 13?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x450b30…
05-13 02:42:12	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e550f…
05-11 03:37:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$147	0x391f10…
04-22 11:53:02	ethereum above 2400 on april 22	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6b079b…
04-15 11:34:42	ethereum above 2200 on april 15	Yes	BUY	145	98¢	$143	0xf01069…
04-14 14:13:13	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xba7605…
04-14 13:52:47	bitcoin above 74k on april 14	No	SELL	149	3¢	$5	0x1d3905…
04-13 06:27:13	bitcoin above 74k on april 14	No	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0x96a09d…
04-13 06:26:21	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xad295f…
04-12 05:38:27	bitcoin up or down on april 12 2026	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x1bf1d0…
04-11 16:10:49	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xca0f13…
04-11 15:44:35	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5ceddb…
04-11 07:57:11	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x8c5279…
04-10 13:39:39	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	BUY	230	99¢	$228	0xfdab20…
04-10 13:16:05	ethereum above 2300 on april 10	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xf7fe11…
04-10 13:15:17	ethereum above 2300 on april 10	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa50a48…
04-10 09:27:45	ethereum above 2300 on april 10	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x0ae4d8…
04-09 07:12:19	ethereum above 2300 on april 10	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x4d3749…
04-09 07:10:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd2738b…
04-07 05:02:39	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 7 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xb3c910…
04-07 05:02:23	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 7 2026 31c	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5cdbda…
04-07 05:01:27	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 7 2026 30c	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x918560…
04-07 05:01:17	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 7 2026 29c	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4ee3c9…
04-07 05:01:07	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 7 2026 28c	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb41a2…
04-06 15:42:05	bitcoin above 76k on april 7	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb0e2c4…
04-06 15:40:53	bitcoin above 76k on april 7	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x82435b…
04-06 09:26:09	bitcoin above 66k on april 6	Yes	SELL	173	100¢	$172	0x115ba6…
04-06 09:15:31	bitcoin above 66k on april 6	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x566974…
04-06 09:14:29	bitcoin above 66k on april 6	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xd2d3bc…
04-06 06:16:11	bitcoin above 66k on april 6	Yes	BUY	220	99¢	$217	0x47e4c8…
04-05 14:43:51	bitcoin above 66k on april 5	Yes	SELL	121	100¢	$120	0xd53d58…
04-05 14:29:15	bitcoin above 66k on april 5	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x6f0bca…
04-05 14:26:41	ethereum above 2000 on april 5	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x183858…
04-05 14:26:37	ethereum above 2000 on april 5	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8f4866…
04-02 14:35:23	bitcoin above 68k on april 2	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x765b51…
03-30 14:48:19	will solana reach 100 in march 2026	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x678d81…
03-30 11:25:14	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x357050…
03-30 11:24:18	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x2153c6…
03-30 11:22:22	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x86929d…
03-30 11:22:08	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb8c4df…
03-30 11:22:08	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2e914f…
03-30 10:54:04	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbba4b5…
03-30 10:43:50	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7eca7c…
03-30 10:01:10	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9a16aa…
03-26 03:44:45	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x9d9b99…
03-23 20:07:41	will ethereum dip to 1850 on march 23	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x50898b…
03-23 19:50:45	will ethereum dip to 1850 on march 23	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4bc4aa…
03-23 18:58:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x1ca5d0…
03-23 13:32:53	will ethereum dip to 1850 on march 23	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xec7df0…
03-23 13:32:47	will ethereum dip to 1850 on march 23	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x52c3d3…
03-23 12:54:03	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x49fd3d…
03-21 09:18:41	btc updown 5m 1774084500	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x380992…
03-21 09:15:23	solana above 90 on march 21	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x507a33…
03-18 08:37:51	btc updown 5m 1773822900	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf7ba67…
03-16 09:06:25	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	86	98¢	$85	0xa889a6…
03-16 08:17:17	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x40eb8d…
03-16 08:05:37	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x0e1bb5…
03-15 16:43:33	will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 15	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x4f3427…
03-13 16:01:31	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x75e4e8…
03-13 06:15:03	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xead04a…
03-13 05:33:39	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$34	0xd73ac7…
03-13 05:33:27	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xe17e08…
03-13 05:33:15	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd5f7da…
03-13 05:33:09	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5b4b13…
03-13 04:06:15	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x8882b0…
03-12 14:02:07	highest temperature in london on march 13 2026 8c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5a14b…
03-12 04:26:17	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 13	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc34910…
03-11 08:45:25	bitcoin above 78k on march 12	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x145a2f…
03-11 08:44:39	solana above 120 on march 13	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11fa4c…
03-11 04:58:57	solana above 80 on march 11	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x948e4c…
03-10 16:12:01	will bitcoin reach 77k on march 10	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x25540d…
03-10 13:10:27	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	SELL	195	99¢	$194	0x0d3460…
03-10 12:50:03	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x767f79…
03-10 07:33:55	btc updown 5m 1773127800	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x399031…
03-10 07:31:59	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 10	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x84b09f…
03-10 03:33:59	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xf6458f…
03-10 03:33:11	bitcoin up or down on march 10	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x66946f…
03-09 16:09:23	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x688d58…
03-09 15:13:39	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x341663…
03-09 15:08:57	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf24dd5…
03-09 15:05:51	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xb1ca75…
03-09 14:57:45	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xca0280…
03-07 08:06:39	will crude oil cl hit low 40 by end of march 777 183 974 725 949 716 258 533 859 313 659 847	No	BUY	228	100¢	$227	0x849610…
02-27 10:53:31	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x6f6dba…
02-27 10:30:19	highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 10c	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe5127e…
02-27 10:30:01	highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 9c	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x547906…
02-27 03:50:18	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xda836d…
02-13 15:56:17	bitcoin up or down on february 13	Up	BUY	79	100¢	$78	0xb3fee7…