Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?
open
Total volume
$232
$2,615 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$21,455
Latest YES mid
38¢
Latest NO mid
62¢
End date
2026-05-19
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 14:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $15 | $175 | $160 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $6 | $150 | $144 |
| Median | 1 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | +193 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-13 22:18 |
| Prize-Laughter 0xba02…6b23 | No | +33 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 09:26 |
| Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 01:11 |
| Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | +19 | $5 | $9 | 10 | 05-13 23:47 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +18 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 05-14 14:48 |
| Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x09a7…8213 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 03:55 |
| Obedient-Fragrance 0x24ea…8665 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 03:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 14:59:24 | Brilliant-Valley 0x4e7d…e7a0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xda5e10… |
| 05-14 14:48:26 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x2cd8dc… |
| 05-14 14:48:24 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x0d31df… |
| 05-14 14:48:24 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x6365b3… |
| 05-14 14:48:24 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x9aa371… |
| 05-14 14:48:24 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xf0ab65… |
| 05-14 14:48:24 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x8d51bb… |
| 05-14 03:55:27 | Obedient-Fragrance 0x24ea…8665 | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x965a9d… |
| 05-14 03:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x09a7…8213 | No | BUY | 4 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x888d10… |
| 05-14 03:55:24 | Lawful-Justification 0x003b…d89b | No | SELL | 37 | 79¢ | $30 | 0xb642f9… |
| 05-13 23:47:15 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x258ce3… |
| 05-13 23:47:08 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xb026db… |
| 05-13 23:47:06 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x99014d… |
| 05-13 23:47:04 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xa97032… |
| 05-13 23:47:04 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x80f462… |
| 05-13 23:45:51 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd4f879… |
| 05-13 23:45:49 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x7b9298… |
| 05-13 23:45:47 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xa339ac… |
| 05-13 22:18:05 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 193 | 78¢ | $150 | 0x0388ed… |
| 05-13 22:09:02 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x3a4875… |
| 05-13 22:08:40 | (anonymous) 0xbe59…d73e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x80834f… |
| 05-13 22:08:38 | (anonymous) 0xbe59…d73e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x3edff3… |
| 05-13 09:26:32 | Prize-Laughter 0xba02…6b23 | No | BUY | 33 | 61¢ | $20 | 0x3ecb54… |
| 05-13 01:11:19 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xdeaa14… |
| 05-12 17:31:30 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x947fdf… |
| 05-12 17:27:20 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x74d662… |