Rude-Crossstitch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$305

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

5,515

Trades

7,458

lifetime

Volume

$219.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$278

14 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-26 12:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 295 days

Categories

Other

54% 95% -$61

Crypto

45% 97% +$324

Politics

1% 93% +$9

Sports

1% 94% +$29

Tech

0% 97% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+80	$75	98¢	$79	+$4	08-26 20:36
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	+56	$55	99¢	$56	+$1	10-26 12:16
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	+53	$50	96¢	$51	+$1	10-26 12:16
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	+24	$23	100¢	$23	+$0	10-22 14:57
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	+20	$20	98¢	$20	$0	10-24 10:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	+11	$10	99¢	$11	+$1	10-12 15:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	10-12 15:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+6	$2	93¢	$5	+$3	09-24 17:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+6	$5	82¢	$5	+$0	05-01 17:05
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-07 18:03
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	07-20 05:21
Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-25 12:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	+3	$3	100¢	$3	+$0	10-21 13:03
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+7	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	08-26 20:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 20:30 UTC	3	$769	778	0	+778	Up	+$9	02-11 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:45 UTC	4	$591	599	0	+599	Down	+$8	02-10 19:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:00 UTC	2	$400	405	0	+405	Down	+$5	02-05 20:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 16:30 UTC	1	$391	395	0	+395	Up	+$4	02-07 16:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 20:45 UTC	2	$338	357	0	+357	Up	+$19	02-11 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:45 UTC	1	$312	329	0	+329	Down	+$17	02-06 20:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 12:30 UTC	1	$306	309	0	+309	Down	+$3	02-12 12:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 12:00 UTC	2	$302	302	0	+302	Down	+$1	02-12 12:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 20:15 UTC	2	$300	307	0	+307	Down	+$7	02-02 20:30
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:30 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-19 20:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:15 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-06 20:30
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 20:30 UTC	1	$300	303	0	+303	Up	+$3	02-06 20:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on february 1	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	01-31 18:15
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 10:30 UTC	2	$295	300	0	+300	Up	+$5	01-24 10:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 21:30 UTC	2	$294	300	0	+300	Down	+$6	01-17 21:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 05:45 UTC	1	$275	278	0	+278	Down	+$3	02-14 05:59
solana above 110 on january 31	2	$267	263	263	+0	No	+$257	01-31 17:48
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 09:15 UTC	5	$260	266	0	+266	Up	+$6	01-25 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 08:00 UTC	3	$260	261	0	+261	Up	+$1	01-25 08:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 08:30 UTC	1	$260	261	0	+261	Down	+$1	01-25 08:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 07:45 UTC	3	$247	249	0	+249	Down	+$2	01-25 07:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 06:15 UTC	2	$247	249	0	+249	Up	+$2	02-14 06:29
ethereum above 2900 on january 6	2	$240	240	0	+240	Yes	+$0	01-05 22:33
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 20:00 UTC	2	$239	250	0	+250	Down	+$11	02-02 20:15
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$221	111	111	+0	No	+$1	03-01 07:54
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:25 UTC	1	$220	227	0	+227	Down	+$7	02-21 20:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 20:00 UTC	3	$220	222	0	+222	Down	+$2	02-03 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 18:00 UTC	3	$220	228	0	+228	Down	+$8	01-30 18:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 10:45 UTC	1	$220	223	0	+223	Down	+$3	01-24 10:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 20:15 UTC	2	$220	220	0	+220	Up	+$0	01-29 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 12:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd62c42…
10-26 12:16:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x79289e…
10-26 12:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xffbedc…
10-26 12:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5e465f…
10-26 12:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xae4506…
10-26 12:09:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 26?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xcbbbfe…
10-26 12:09:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 26?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb127c0…
10-26 12:08:51	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x96a411…
10-26 12:08:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf8d89d…
10-26 01:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x63ec3a…
10-26 01:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa753bb…
10-26 01:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3ea97…
10-26 01:49:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 19-25?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc3075d…
10-26 01:49:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 October 19-25?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7e6331…
10-26 01:48:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x887d08…
10-26 01:47:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x301a94…
10-26 01:47:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x805e55…
10-25 12:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x416e4b…
10-25 12:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd273d4…
10-25 12:48:42	Will Solana reach $105 on October 25?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xce26c7…
10-25 12:47:38	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa5b477…
10-25 12:47:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xec0a14…
10-25 12:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x984aff…
10-25 12:44:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x08cbba…
10-25 12:43:39	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x2f9f24…
10-24 10:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x698339…
10-24 10:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x969029…
10-24 10:03:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8f2fbc…
10-24 10:02:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa9dd04…
10-24 10:02:39	Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa0887a…
10-24 10:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 25?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd07e36…
10-24 10:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7b6445…
10-24 10:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on October 25?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x912992…
10-24 10:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc23a60…
10-24 09:59:03	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf9b3c8…
10-24 09:57:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on October 24?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xaf179c…
10-24 09:57:21	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 24?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xbc184a…
10-24 09:56:42	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe280b3…
10-23 10:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 24?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xb87212…
10-23 10:13:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xa7320e…
10-23 10:13:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2c1d8a…
10-23 00:32:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc997cf…
10-23 00:32:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5ed1fd…
10-22 14:57:11	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xea57d2…
10-22 14:54:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5d3010…
10-22 14:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 23?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8c4e49…
10-22 14:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x166b5c…
10-22 14:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 23?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb631ee…
10-22 14:50:29	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9f0342…
10-22 14:50:09	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x913719…
10-22 01:24:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x04fd78…
10-22 01:24:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x20c11a…
10-21 13:04:03	Will XRP reach $1.60 October 19-25?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0de5d9…
10-21 13:03:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x28c8c9…
10-21 13:01:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4ec0d4…
10-21 13:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x76c58d…
10-21 12:59:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x54ddc8…
10-21 12:58:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 21?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xf6fb7e…
10-21 12:58:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xb2cd68…
10-21 12:58:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x80d67c…
10-19 16:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf7c344…
10-19 16:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on October 20?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe8feff…
10-19 16:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xdbc392…
10-19 16:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 20?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x825d73…
10-19 16:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or higher on October 19?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x289402…
10-19 12:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x696521…
10-19 12:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0af6c4…
10-19 12:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7f31ba…
10-19 12:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 20?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x69ff09…
10-19 12:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 20?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x28aa5a…
10-19 12:56:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xa0aa01…
10-19 12:56:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xcbdf33…
10-19 12:56:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc05d0b…
10-19 12:55:36	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd45823…
10-19 12:55:29	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe4d1df…
10-19 12:53:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 19?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa265fa…
10-19 12:53:41	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 19?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x10abe9…
10-19 12:53:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xc13c51…
10-19 12:52:32	Ningbo Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diane Parry	Alexandra Eala	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x187c44…
10-19 12:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 19?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xb1f9d5…
10-19 12:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 19?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x09b4e6…
10-19 12:50:53	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x8b1778…
10-19 12:50:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 19?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1001b7…
10-19 12:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 19?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x60df70…
10-19 12:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9c7ee8…
10-19 12:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 19?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x255361…
10-19 12:49:38	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1bd3c4…
10-19 12:49:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x5670d9…
10-18 17:52:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x374461…
10-18 17:51:56	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 12-18?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8e8a21…
10-18 17:49:51	Titans vs. Colts	Colts	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3254dc…
10-18 17:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 19?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x90243c…
10-18 17:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x147985…
10-18 17:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6d56fc…
10-18 17:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x10e86c…
10-18 17:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3ae590…
10-18 17:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x126cf7…
10-18 17:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbd7e03…
10-18 17:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or higher on October 19?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x68b1a0…
10-18 17:44:21	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x260313…