Imperfect-Brilliant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$830

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

1,288

Trades

4,171

lifetime

Volume

$342.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-25 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 93% +$392

Other

41% 91% +$116

Politics

8% 93% +$319

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$1.7K	1,009	1,009	+0	Yes	-$282	04-07 22:45
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt0	8	$1.7K	1,705	0	+1,705	No	+$3	04-03 10:09
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	5	$1.5K	1,494	0	+1,494	No	+$2	03-30 05:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.3K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$660	05-23 03:50
will trumps remarks not air 135 938 873 176 561 352 635	6	$1.3K	1,269	0	+1,269	No	+$9	04-01 20:30
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 29	11	$1.2K	1,258	0	+1,258	Yes	+$47	03-29 15:47
will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 2 326	7	$1.2K	1,181	0	+1,181	No	+$6	04-05 23:31
nvda close above 175 on april 1 2026	2	$1.0K	1,034	0	+1,034	Yes	+$31	04-01 19:50
highest temperature in madrid on april 4 2026 22c	9	$1.0K	1,021	0	+1,021	No	+$20	04-04 10:01
highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 17corhigher	2	$1.0K	1,002	0	+1,002	No	+$2	04-03 10:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 20corhigher	2	$1.0K	1,002	0	+1,002	No	+$2	04-03 10:00
highest temperature in atlanta on april 6 2026 62 63f	2	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	No	+$10	04-06 10:05
will something very bad is going to happen season 1 be the top us netflix show this week	15	$1.0K	1,019	0	+1,019	No	+$19	04-07 00:54
will trump say april fool or april fools during address to the nation	6	$995	1,058	0	+1,058	No	+$63	04-01 20:17
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	5	$935	541	541	+0	No	-$59	03-13 14:53
us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	2	$933	524	524	+0	Yes	-$72	04-10 23:47
highest temperature in paris on april 4 2026 16c	6	$924	530	530	-0	No	-$76	04-04 13:24
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$913	508	508	+0	No	-$72	04-08 10:25
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 17	7	$902	940	0	+940	No	+$39	03-18 03:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 29	3	$900	902	0	+902	No	+$2	03-29 12:00
will ethereum dip to 2100 on march 24	7	$900	924	0	+924	No	+$24	03-25 03:14
will bitcoin reach 72k on april 6	3	$900	902	0	+902	No	+$2	04-07 00:21
bitcoin above 74k on march 13	6	$895	541	541	+0	No	-$105	03-13 13:57
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 12c	8	$888	521	521	+0	Yes	-$111	04-02 15:26
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$885	886	0	+886	No	+$2	03-31 22:45
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2 629	4	$872	879	0	+879	No	+$7	04-05 23:31
highest temperature in nyc on march 29 2026 47forbelow	4	$870	888	0	+888	No	+$18	03-29 10:22
will mrbeasts latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4	5	$844	874	0	+874	No	+$30	04-07 22:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	4	$840	888	0	+888	No	+$48	04-07 23:00
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	13	$834	513	513	+0	No	-$166	04-02 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 21:47:23	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x98b8fd…
06-25 16:39:14	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x8672df…
06-25 16:37:32	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x99d2c0…
06-18 00:41:55	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$51	0xa1d0ef…
05-23 03:50:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	67¢	$1,340	0x7a101e…
05-15 04:36:55	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0x241c93…
05-15 00:00:09	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4437d3…
05-15 00:00:07	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf6cdf4…
05-15 00:00:07	Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xd198ba…
05-15 00:00:07	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x50e3dc…
05-14 06:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xbb9208…
05-14 05:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 55°F or below on May 15?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x87a27f…
05-14 04:59:20	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xab6176…
05-14 04:51:01	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xf8b2df…
05-14 04:37:53	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	115	97¢	$112	0x288c26…
05-14 02:43:12	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xd31cbc…
05-14 00:00:15	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x244525…
05-13 08:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x9cde32…
05-13 07:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4829b9…
05-13 07:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb81218…
05-13 07:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc85b27…
05-13 07:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x694ab2…
05-13 07:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xb42512…
05-13 04:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0xc9698c…
05-13 04:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd050b9…
05-13 04:08:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$145	0x68625b…
05-13 01:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 13?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x8ebd2b…
05-13 01:42:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x346eef…
05-13 01:32:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe78df5…
05-13 01:22:19	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	267	98¢	$261	0xb7c8c5…
05-13 01:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 13?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xeff456…
05-13 01:02:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x9cf33a…
05-13 00:11:19	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x4e942a…
05-13 00:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0x64fff3…
05-13 00:01:28	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x861c72…
05-13 00:00:49	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x68633e…
05-13 00:00:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	154	98¢	$150	0x58a70d…
05-13 00:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on May 14?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x5ad5dd…
05-13 00:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$112	0x1801cb…
05-12 16:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd575f2…
05-12 14:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 13?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5e56e2…
05-12 11:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6651ed…
05-12 06:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x9d8fa4…
05-12 06:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7dd18…
05-12 06:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd3b99d…
05-12 06:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x30d4a4…
05-12 06:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5e648d…
05-12 06:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd11cab…
05-12 06:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8586c8…
05-12 06:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5417ad…
05-12 06:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53ffa8…
05-12 06:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b5440…
05-12 06:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x342cfc…
05-12 06:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34ae4e…
05-12 03:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x816f26…
05-12 01:41:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	267	89¢	$237	0xba3d6e…
05-12 00:01:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	267	98¢	$262	0xc2b563…
05-11 08:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 12?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x91b216…
05-11 05:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdf4a18…
05-11 01:42:49	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x217817…
05-11 01:26:32	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x077d19…
05-11 01:26:20	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x95559f…
05-11 01:25:19	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x1389aa…
05-11 01:20:16	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x3dee44…
05-11 00:33:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	267	98¢	$262	0x3755c5…
05-11 00:20:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0x09225e…
05-11 00:19:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	155	97¢	$151	0x587727…
05-11 00:19:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6e7df6…
05-11 00:00:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x817e74…
05-10 02:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 10?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf50f44…
05-10 00:44:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xa4a471…
05-10 00:44:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xa6c31e…
05-10 00:43:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x48fd72…
05-10 00:42:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	146	97¢	$142	0xeb51f4…
05-09 12:11:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 10?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x6c6c32…
05-09 10:38:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7f0ea…
05-09 07:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$77	0x0ecdba…
05-09 07:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x64effd…
05-09 07:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x1bd27c…
05-09 06:32:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	155	96¢	$149	0x78e095…
05-09 05:24:39	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x7ac78d…
05-09 04:28:35	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 9?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x0e95fc…
05-09 03:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xfe1aca…
05-09 03:27:22	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x25791a…
05-09 03:25:56	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x188a5c…
05-09 00:38:33	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x4e76f4…
05-09 00:31:23	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3e80ae…
05-09 00:31:21	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xf462fb…
05-08 13:21:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x91c226…
05-08 10:26:14	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 9?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9b9796…
05-08 08:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd40b61…
05-08 07:45:03	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb22e34…
05-08 07:44:58	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9eb698…
05-08 07:44:56	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec924e…
05-08 07:44:53	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb45571…
05-08 07:44:49	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf02ca9…
05-08 07:44:44	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2081de…
05-08 07:44:39	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8ae94…
05-08 07:27:37	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95002f…
05-08 07:27:35	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x658706…