Imperfect-Brilliant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

Trades

3,950

lifetime

Volume

$332.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-15 04:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 88% +$9

Other

40% 100% +$3

Politics

7% 67% $-11

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 303 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$1.7K	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	04-07 22:45
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt0	8	$1.7K	1,705	0	+1,705	open	—	04-03 10:09
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	5	$1.5K	1,494	0	+1,494	open	—	03-30 05:46
will trumps remarks not air 135 938 873 176 561 352 635	6	$1.3K	1,269	0	+1,269	open	—	04-01 20:30
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 29	11	$1.2K	1,258	0	+1,258	open	—	03-29 15:47
will mrbeasts next video get 59 million or more views on day 2 326	7	$1.2K	1,181	0	+1,181	open	—	04-05 23:31
nvda close above 175 on april 1 2026	2	$1.0K	1,034	0	+1,034	open	—	04-01 19:50
highest temperature in madrid on april 4 2026 22c	9	$1.0K	1,021	0	+1,021	open	—	04-04 10:01
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 20corhigher	2	$1.0K	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	04-03 10:00
highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 17corhigher	2	$1.0K	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	04-03 10:00
highest temperature in atlanta on april 6 2026 62 63f	2	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	open	—	04-06 10:05
will something very bad is going to happen season 1 be the top us netflix show this week	15	$1.0K	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	04-07 00:54
will trump say april fool or april fools during address to the nation	6	$995	1,058	0	+1,058	open	—	04-01 20:17
bitcoin above 72k on march 13	5	$935	541	541	+0	open	—	03-13 14:53
us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	2	$933	524	524	+0	open	—	04-10 23:47
highest temperature in paris on april 4 2026 16c	6	$924	530	530	-0	open	—	04-04 13:24
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$913	508	508	+0	open	—	04-08 10:25
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 17	7	$902	940	0	+940	open	—	03-18 03:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 29	3	$900	902	0	+902	open	—	03-29 12:00
will ethereum dip to 2100 on march 24	7	$900	924	0	+924	open	—	03-25 03:14
will bitcoin reach 72k on april 6	3	$900	902	0	+902	open	—	04-07 00:21
bitcoin above 74k on march 13	6	$895	541	541	+0	open	—	03-13 13:57
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 12c	8	$888	521	521	+0	open	—	04-02 15:26
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$885	886	0	+886	open	—	03-31 22:45
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2 629	4	$872	879	0	+879	open	—	04-05 23:31
highest temperature in nyc on march 29 2026 47forbelow	4	$870	888	0	+888	open	—	03-29 10:22
will mrbeasts latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4	5	$844	874	0	+874	open	—	04-07 22:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	4	$840	888	0	+888	open	—	04-07 23:00
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 13c	13	$834	513	513	+0	open	—	04-02 15:24
will dualshot recorder be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	2	$822	839	0	+839	open	—	04-06 22:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 04:36:55	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0x241c93…
05-15 00:00:09	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4437d3…
05-15 00:00:07	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf6cdf4…
05-15 00:00:07	Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xd198ba…
05-15 00:00:07	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x50e3dc…
05-14 04:59:20	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xab6176…
05-14 04:51:01	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xf8b2df…
05-14 04:37:53	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	115	97¢	$112	0x288c26…
05-13 04:08:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$145	0x68625b…
05-13 01:42:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x346eef…
05-13 01:32:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe78df5…
05-13 01:22:19	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	267	98¢	$261	0xb7c8c5…
05-13 01:02:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x9cf33a…
05-13 00:11:19	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x4e942a…
05-13 00:01:28	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x861c72…
05-13 00:00:49	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x68633e…
05-13 00:00:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	154	98¢	$150	0x58a70d…
05-12 01:41:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	267	89¢	$237	0xba3d6e…
05-12 00:01:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	267	98¢	$262	0xc2b563…
05-11 01:42:49	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x217817…
05-11 01:26:32	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x077d19…
05-11 01:26:20	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x95559f…
05-11 01:25:19	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x1389aa…
05-11 01:20:16	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x3dee44…
05-11 00:33:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	267	98¢	$262	0x3755c5…
05-11 00:20:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0x09225e…
05-11 00:19:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	155	97¢	$151	0x587727…
05-11 00:19:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6e7df6…
05-11 00:00:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x817e74…
05-10 00:44:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xa4a471…
05-10 00:44:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xa6c31e…
05-10 00:43:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x48fd72…
05-10 00:42:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	146	97¢	$142	0xeb51f4…
05-09 06:32:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	155	96¢	$149	0x78e095…
05-09 03:27:22	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x25791a…
05-09 03:25:56	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x188a5c…
05-07 09:06:54	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xdb441b…
05-07 01:52:19	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	105	98¢	$104	0x426ccc…
05-06 09:39:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	154	84¢	$129	0x056b34…
05-06 01:02:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x094057…
05-06 00:48:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2d2ee2…
05-06 00:32:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$145	0xbc10d0…
05-06 00:10:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x050585…
05-06 00:10:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x196a4b…
05-04 02:16:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	229	98¢	$223	0xb64b67…
05-04 02:11:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xc2dc78…
05-04 01:59:48	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	SELL	267	87¢	$231	0x821423…
05-04 01:56:16	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	246	98¢	$243	0x079314…
05-04 01:56:12	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe1f016…
05-04 01:28:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xf4185f…
05-04 01:16:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x4dd156…
05-03 00:00:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	154	97¢	$150	0x87e4ff…
05-02 00:03:16	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x253d76…
05-02 00:03:14	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	160	98¢	$156	0xfb70b7…
05-02 00:01:08	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe5ec9b…
05-01 00:01:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x6b7889…
04-30 21:33:44	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x92b592…
04-30 00:00:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x1c1658…
04-30 00:00:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xb7cf8d…
04-29 22:21:46	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$76	0xf03460…
04-29 20:35:12	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	69	96¢	$67	0xf249a6…
04-29 19:03:18	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0x493a94…
04-28 10:56:22	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xe0febe…
04-28 10:47:58	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa25037…
04-28 09:07:36	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x632b4a…
04-28 09:05:04	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xddb06f…
04-28 09:02:20	Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0d3aca…
04-28 08:07:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$79	0x98022a…
04-28 07:56:16	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0x3c5854…
04-28 07:45:48	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$72	0x41dade…
04-28 07:21:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x1ab0b4…
04-28 07:18:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0x3d8373…
04-28 07:17:58	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x568bb8…
04-28 07:17:52	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7aee34…
04-28 07:09:34	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x94499b…
04-28 07:00:44	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x468f6e…
04-28 06:38:42	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x19d28e…
04-28 06:23:18	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x8b1ef0…
04-28 05:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x9409bd…
04-28 05:42:24	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa8e22b…
04-28 05:40:18	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x799509…
04-28 05:28:02	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x3971f5…
04-28 05:27:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 28?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x99225b…
04-28 05:10:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x3f0025…
04-28 05:03:58	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x5b2406…
04-28 04:47:40	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x7073a6…
04-28 04:36:52	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x31e33b…
04-28 04:32:42	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xaf35f1…
04-28 04:15:58	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6e5d72…
04-28 04:05:22	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xe7a822…
04-28 04:04:16	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x5b965d…
04-28 03:54:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xd5f872…
04-28 03:53:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdaec55…
04-28 03:48:32	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	97	97¢	$93	0x693863…
04-28 03:36:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x30502b…
04-28 03:35:14	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	136	99¢	$134	0x796161…
04-28 03:31:40	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0xf145a7…
04-28 03:19:40	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x386616…
04-28 03:04:46	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x13c252…
04-28 02:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x65cf9d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	516	$1.38M	28,470	05-15 21:50
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	506	$568	1,350	05-15 06:33
(anonymous) 0x21c6…927b	416	$16.3K	6,883	04-26 21:55
(anonymous) 0x2f69…acb6	412	$20.4K	8,540	04-26 20:38
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	399	$22.5K	2,941	05-15 23:06
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	381	$17.5K	383	05-12 03:37
(anonymous) 0xcdb9…9e76	368	$2.45K	405	05-05 22:37
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	362	$2.15M	27,831	05-13 03:08