Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$187
$31 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$948
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 02:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $36 | $36 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $23 | $111 | $87 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $87 | $87 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | — | $37 | $37 |
| Median | 5 | $2 | $14 | $12 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $9 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +171 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 00:04 |
| Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | +100 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 05-12 02:03 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 05-12 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c67…e770 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 14:21 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 01:33 |
| Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 01:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x7654…721c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 15:03 |
| Harmful-Credit 0xbbd9…fd91 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:28 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 02:03:11 | Imaginary-Rush 0x0729…5f54 | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x96efd6… |
| 05-12 01:33:35 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x81580c… |
| 05-12 01:13:31 | Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x037258… |
| 05-12 01:13:20 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb2e45c… |
| 05-12 01:13:20 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xed11dc… |
| 05-12 01:13:20 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x41df10… |
| 05-12 01:13:20 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe45783… |
| 05-12 01:13:20 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x92ebea… |
| 05-12 01:13:20 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xffd179… |
| 05-12 01:13:20 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0b4cba… |
| 05-12 01:13:20 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xdbc660… |
| 05-12 01:13:17 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xe516db… |
| 05-12 01:13:15 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x20b288… |
| 05-12 00:28:11 | Harmful-Credit 0xbbd9…fd91 | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x126704… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x567353… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0ec1a9… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd4c268… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x40c1af… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x09c01f… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfd2695… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf68c3d… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa4e4ab… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x703dda… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8f854b… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9a052c… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfcbdb4… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd39178… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2112e9… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb8665d… |
| 05-12 00:04:08 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc9d46c… |
| 05-12 00:04:06 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 171 | 12¢ | $20 | 0x658a9f… |
| 05-11 20:23:04 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xb7914b… |
| 05-11 16:00:36 | (anonymous) 0x3e14…9187 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x99f7c8… |
| 05-11 15:03:30 | (anonymous) 0x7654…721c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1c0e18… |
| 05-11 14:21:42 | (anonymous) 0x9c67…e770 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xc1cc42… |
| 05-11 14:21:38 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xbb836f… |
| 05-11 12:44:29 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xa564b5… |
| 05-11 09:57:27 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xc8e965… |