Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 15?
open
Total volume
$8,302
$4,332 in 24h
Trades
48
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$13,400
Latest YES mid
54¢
Latest NO mid
46¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-14 20:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $4.5K | $2.3K | +$2.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $47 | $47 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $130 | $750 | $620 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $11 | $602 | $591 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $74 | — | +$74 |
| Median | 7 | $21 | $64 | $43 |
| Below median | 9 | $13 | $29 | $16 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $102 | $102 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $4.5K | $2.3K | +$2.1K |
| unranked | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +8,926 | $2,335 | $2,335 | 5 | 05-14 19:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | +5,068 | $4,459 | $4,459 | 2 | 05-14 19:23 |
| Greedy-Afterthought 0x80cd…0273 | No | +5,000 | $600 | $600 | 1 | 05-14 19:23 |
| Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | +181 | $102 | $102 | 4 | 05-14 19:23 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +79 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 05-14 19:58 |
| Greedy-Afterthought 0x80cd…0273 | Yes | +70 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-14 14:38 |
| Embarrassed-Socialist 0x9a86…84ec | Yes | +62 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 05-14 19:23 |
| Insecure-Cheer 0xcf8c…5830 | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 19:43 |
| Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | Yes | +21 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-14 19:23 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 19:23 |
| Artistic-Classmate 0x5565…4b3b | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-14 14:38 |
| Artistic-Classmate 0x5565…4b3b | Yes | +19 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-14 19:23 |
| Gripping-Transfer 0x678f…db4b | Yes | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0130…d0f8 | Yes | +13 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 20:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a2b…493a | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 19:31 |
| Elderly-Dimension 0x5caf…3738 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6fe…4193 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:22 |
| Pleasing-Infant 0xb64c…fc8e | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 20:32 |
| Good-Natured-Info 0xc289…04f1 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 18:34 |
| Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:32 |
| Good-Natured-Info 0xc289…04f1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:26 |
| Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 20:33:50 | Funny-Apology-Baker 0x78d7…291d | No | SELL | 76 | 36¢ | $28 | 0x097096… |
| 05-14 20:32:40 | Pleasing-Infant 0xb64c…fc8e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x5b6d59… |
| 05-14 20:28:56 | Gripping-Transfer 0x678f…db4b | Yes | BUY | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0xff1885… |
| 05-14 20:22:11 | (anonymous) 0x0130…d0f8 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 59¢ | $8 | 0x31cbbc… |
| 05-14 20:09:04 | Fresh-Dark 0xc350…0b64 | No | SELL | 13 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xf1f804… |
| 05-14 19:58:20 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 37 | 33¢ | $12 | 0x75a037… |
| 05-14 19:48:32 | Fresh-Dark 0xc350…0b64 | No | BUY | 13 | 33¢ | $4 | 0x62d344… |
| 05-14 19:37:43 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xac3349… |
| 05-14 19:37:43 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x05d5ca… |
| 05-14 19:32:59 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xbf1ea1… |
| 05-14 19:31:40 | (anonymous) 0x7a2b…493a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x638d93… |
| 05-14 19:31:40 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x3f3b80… |
| 05-14 19:23:30 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x526932… |
| 05-14 19:23:20 | Artistic-Classmate 0x5565…4b3b | Yes | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x36cab9… |
| 05-14 19:23:18 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x244319… |
| 05-14 19:23:16 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 67 | 12¢ | $8 | 0xc134b6… |
| 05-14 19:23:16 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x59f7e0… |
| 05-14 19:23:15 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x7fc792… |
| 05-14 19:23:13 | Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x9cc35c… |
| 05-14 19:23:11 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | BUY | 4,926 | 88¢ | $4,335 | 0x50fae1… |
| 05-14 19:23:09 | Embarrassed-Socialist 0x9a86…84ec | Yes | BUY | 62 | 88¢ | $55 | 0xe3b5d0… |
| 05-14 19:23:09 | Powerless-Product 0xf961…34dd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0xfa58d8… |
| 05-14 19:23:08 | Greedy-Afterthought 0x80cd…0273 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 12¢ | $600 | 0x944893… |
| 05-14 19:22:38 | (anonymous) 0xe6fe…4193 | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xcc2c58… |
| 05-14 19:22:36 | Mixed-Saviour 0xb4ab…571d | No | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x3ee44b… |
| 05-14 19:22:36 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | Yes | BUY | 142 | 87¢ | $124 | 0xe90d52… |
| 05-14 19:22:36 | Sardonic-Tie 0x8a0e…1b10 | No | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xce6e4d… |
| 05-14 19:22:36 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | SELL | 262 | 13¢ | $34 | 0x85174c… |
| 05-14 18:57:12 | Round-Bacterium 0x33da…2c3e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0x3f3f4d… |
| 05-14 18:34:36 | Good-Natured-Info 0xc289…04f1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x3f1e95… |
| 05-14 18:27:13 | Mixed-Saviour 0xb4ab…571d | No | SELL | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xff3c3b… |
| 05-14 18:27:11 | Sardonic-Tie 0x8a0e…1b10 | No | SELL | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x0f8367… |
| 05-14 18:27:11 | Mixed-Saviour 0xb4ab…571d | No | SELL | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x3d13d0… |
| 05-14 18:27:11 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 3,882 | 26¢ | $1,009 | 0x0dc304… |
| 05-14 18:27:11 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 26¢ | $1,300 | 0xce9ac5… |
| 05-14 18:11:59 | Mixed-Saviour 0xb4ab…571d | No | SELL | 0 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x1bd83c… |
| 05-14 18:11:59 | Sardonic-Tie 0x8a0e…1b10 | No | SELL | 0 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x170670… |
| 05-14 18:11:59 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | SELL | 1,005 | 49¢ | $492 | 0x887eec… |
| 05-14 16:16:38 | Elderly-Dimension 0x5caf…3738 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x492af3… |
| 05-14 14:38:07 | Artistic-Classmate 0x5565…4b3b | No | BUY | 19 | 85¢ | $16 | 0xae5301… |
| 05-14 14:38:05 | Greedy-Afterthought 0x80cd…0273 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x7d3f8b… |
| 05-14 14:26:06 | Good-Natured-Info 0xc289…04f1 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x85b827… |
| 05-14 13:36:04 | Grotesque-Unibody 0x1606…de00 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x5a760e… |
| 05-14 13:36:03 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0x7727e2… |
| 05-14 06:28:49 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x902bfd… |
| 05-14 06:28:49 | Squiggly-Signal 0x6364…8316 | No | BUY | 96 | 94¢ | $90 | 0x8a11f8… |
| 05-13 19:43:09 | Insecure-Cheer 0xcf8c…5830 | No | BUY | 27 | 92¢ | $25 | 0x2f3c8f… |
| 05-10 17:05:50 | Greedy-Afterthought 0x80cd…0273 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xdc709d… |