Tepid-Bug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.20K

Unrealized P&L

+$767

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

1,040

Trades

3,067

lifetime

Volume

$125.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$1.05K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 209 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 76% +$8,032

Other

15% 72% -$1,990

Sports

8% 59% -$841

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+1,020	$182	98¢	$1.0K	+$820	10-08 23:48
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	+100	$95	40¢	$40	-$55	06-07 22:14
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	+8	$7	100¢	$8	+$1	10-05 14:16
will bitcoin reach 95k in october 2026	No	+3	$2	99¢	$3	+$1	10-05 14:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xrp reach 1pt4 in june 2026	12	$1.3K	1,600	0	+1,600	No	+$306	06-08 19:20
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	10	$1.0K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$155	03-05 11:10
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?	8	$951	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	-$951	05-17 19:51
Will Solana dip to $100 October 12-18?	21	$828	900	675	+225	No	-$342	10-16 19:12
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	4	$788	980	0	+980	Yes	+$192	06-10 20:28
Will Solana reach $110 in August?	2	$728	900	0	+900	Yes	-$728	08-24 07:04
will xrp reach 1pt5 february 23 march 1	5	$712	420	420	+0	No	+$102	02-28 07:37
will bitcoin reach 76k february 9 15	12	$675	400	400	+0	No	+$91	02-12 05:13
will xrp reach 1pt4 in august 2026	5	$659	800	0	+800	Yes	-$659	08-20 17:31
will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	2	$632	700	0	+700	No	+$68	07-10 21:31
Will Solana reach $120 in August?	2	$620	680	0	+680	No	+$60	08-24 11:37
will solana reach 90 february 23 march 1	4	$603	700	0	+700	Yes	-$603	02-25 07:12
will solana reach 100 february 23 march 1	2	$581	600	0	+600	No	+$19	02-25 14:06
will solana reach 110 in march 2026	3	$564	800	0	+800	No	+$236	03-05 09:35
will ethereum reach 3200 january 26 1	9	$532	652	0	+652	No	+$120	01-28 17:53
will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on february 1	3	$519	300	300	+0	No	+$39	02-01 12:25
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	4	$509	600	0	+600	No	+$91	06-16 06:02
will bitcoin reach 94k january 26 1	10	$499	610	0	+610	No	+$111	01-28 16:52
will solana reach 160 january 5 11	1	$484	550	0	+550	No	+$66	01-06 14:21
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	10	$482	600	0	+600	No	+$118	04-27 01:00
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$465	500	0	+500	No	+$35	10-05 07:45
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	5	$462	600	0	+600	No	+$138	05-05 13:10
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	5	$461	570	0	+570	No	+$109	04-27 01:47
Will Solana reach $110 in May?	7	$459	520	0	+520	No	+$61	05-14 06:12
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	7	$459	600	0	+600	No	+$141	03-11 17:27
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	6	$456	500	0	+500	No	+$44	05-04 05:16
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	3	$449	500	0	+500	No	+$51	06-08 22:00
solana above 90 on march 3	6	$444	500	0	+500	No	+$56	02-28 20:46
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	3	$439	500	0	+500	No	+$61	03-16 17:47
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	15	$430	533	0	+533	Patriots	+$103	01-18 22:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:41:47	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	90	81¢	$73	0x3b5427…
10-27 20:41:14	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $102.50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0xd2aa8f…
10-27 20:40:59	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $102.50 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xa204f4…
10-27 20:40:03	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd593ff…
10-27 01:39:03	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf4ca5c…
10-27 01:39:02	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x0ddc19…
10-27 01:38:51	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x6d9126…
10-27 01:38:51	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x4c7e8b…
10-27 01:38:50	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x4c6a42…
10-27 01:36:56	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	49	76¢	$37	0x67cc03…
10-26 19:30:50	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x96d309…
10-26 17:16:48	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x3678a3…
10-25 18:50:47	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x35d8be…
10-25 16:10:29	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	190	80¢	$152	0x84a327…
10-25 14:56:44	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0x64689b…
10-25 01:53:32	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	83	70¢	$58	0xfa8e00…
10-25 00:43:03	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xca354e…
10-25 00:11:09	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x65a31b…
10-25 00:11:06	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd74f66…
10-25 00:11:06	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xcf52d2…
10-25 00:11:06	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x725888…
10-25 00:11:06	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3065a3…
10-24 20:30:57	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0xb9f298…
10-24 19:19:06	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (HIGH) $156 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x81399d…
10-24 19:17:15	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x58863b…
10-23 06:22:11	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xd89f50…
10-23 06:17:30	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	78	88¢	$69	0xa0f1b7…
10-23 05:38:03	will mu reach 900 by october 19 2026 from october 22	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xa67f13…
10-23 05:33:09	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $930 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x76e630…
10-22 05:20:57	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	95	83¢	$79	0x4321bf…
10-22 05:02:23	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xc6d4c0…
10-22 04:56:59	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	No	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0x19868d…
10-22 04:56:33	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4a0356…
10-22 04:46:05	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x2a6742…
10-22 04:34:24	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	80	76¢	$61	0xc401e4…
10-21 14:25:30	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xb01070…
10-21 00:23:41	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xd89b64…
10-18 19:15:05	Spread: Bills (-2.5)	Bills	BUY	130	63¢	$82	0x36f7e3…
10-16 19:12:40	Will Solana dip to $100 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	225	43¢	$97	0x3e73cb…
10-16 18:43:31	Will Solana dip to $100 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	225	35¢	$79	0x8659e2…
10-16 18:04:32	Will Solana dip to $100 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	225	30¢	$68	0xbd5087…
10-16 00:25:30	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	720	11¢	$79	0x830280…
10-16 00:23:25	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x3f5772…
10-15 14:10:20	Will Solana dip to $100 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xa6cc68…
10-15 13:48:01	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x8381a8…
10-15 07:56:41	will bitcoin reach 84k october 12 18 2026 from october 14	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x1fa43c…
10-15 07:55:49	will bitcoin reach 84k october 12 18 2026 from october 14	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xff4390…
10-15 06:05:25	will ethereum dip to 2200 october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xed73c2…
10-15 06:05:23	will ethereum dip to 2200 october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x82a071…
10-15 04:24:19	will bitcoin reach 84k october 12 18 2026 from october 14	No	BUY	240	73¢	$175	0xfe0f08…
10-15 04:24:11	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0xe085c5…
10-15 04:23:56	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xde102d…
10-15 04:23:56	will bitcoin reach 84k october 12 18 2026 from october 14	No	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0xa0b5c5…
10-15 04:23:56	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x5b320d…
10-15 04:23:55	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	55	69¢	$38	0xd8df2a…
10-15 04:05:49	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xaffb26…
10-15 04:05:20	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xb3c7ee…
10-15 04:05:20	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x1c92c9…
10-15 04:05:16	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xb1a858…
10-15 04:05:16	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x6700d7…
10-15 04:05:16	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x33384e…
10-15 04:05:16	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x3136c5…
10-15 03:57:20	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x2b819a…
10-15 03:56:55	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x13b908…
10-15 03:56:32	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb5bcf4…
10-15 03:56:28	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x2ab895…
10-15 03:56:25	will solana dip to 100 october 12 18 2026	Yes	BUY	90	76¢	$68	0xf33810…
10-15 03:54:25	will bitcoin reach 84k october 12 18 2026 from october 14	No	BUY	120	74¢	$89	0x9ea7d7…
10-14 12:06:33	will xrp dip to 1pt2 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0xfd4184…
10-14 08:06:53	Will Solana dip to $100 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xb7084d…
10-14 08:05:53	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in october 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xdb8264…
10-14 08:03:41	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in october 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x4c8479…
10-14 08:03:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x7daad0…
10-14 04:16:55	Will Solana reach $120 October 12-18?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xe8e865…
10-14 03:33:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 12-18?	No	BUY	380	87¢	$331	0x0c7ef2…
10-14 02:57:56	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x10dc31…
10-14 01:30:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xbaab12…
10-14 01:30:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x52069d…
10-14 01:30:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0xee5c4c…
10-14 01:30:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0xdaf3a5…
10-14 01:30:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x608108…
10-14 01:30:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x4cafaa…
10-14 01:30:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0xda5c08…
10-14 01:16:27	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x188f03…
10-14 01:15:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x63b838…
10-14 01:13:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x058386…
10-14 01:10:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0xd0869f…
10-14 01:10:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0xb923b4…
10-14 01:10:34	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x90391c…
10-14 01:10:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18?	No	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x047775…
10-12 22:19:44	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x815e36…
10-12 20:44:08	Yoshinobu Yamamoto: Strikeouts O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	37	45¢	$17	0xb91a74…
10-12 20:20:30	Christian Yelich: Home Runs O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	150	93¢	$140	0x473572…
10-12 20:09:33	Christian Yelich: Home Runs O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0xce7d47…
10-12 19:07:45	Christian Yelich: Home Runs O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x0c1fa2…
10-12 18:50:33	Yoshinobu Yamamoto: Strikeouts O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	92	73¢	$67	0xe656c2…
10-12 18:50:33	Yoshinobu Yamamoto: Strikeouts O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x587f54…
10-10 23:11:33	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	190	57¢	$108	0x33add2…
10-09 01:20:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x10a62d…
10-08 23:52:30	Will UnitedHealth (UNH) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0xe6acca…