Yellowish-Soil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

471

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-04 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

61% 87% +$31

Crypto

27% 85% $-53

Politics

8% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	5	$246	130	130	+0	open	—	04-19 22:59
amzn close above 245 on april 20 2026	2	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	04-20 20:31
nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	3	$157	80	80	+0	open	—	04-16 20:28
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	5	$150	157	0	+157	open	—	04-28 00:07
nvda close above 195 on april 15 2026	3	$136	70	70	+0	open	—	04-16 01:46
mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt26	3	$134	71	70	+0	open	—	04-21 10:46
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	3	$133	100	50	+50	Yes	$-2	05-12 17:10
xrp above 1pt4 on april 23	3	$131	70	70	+0	open	—	04-23 15:17
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 on April 24?	3	$130	70	70	+0	open	—	04-24 21:52
spy closes above 700 on april 21 2026	2	$130	66	66	+0	open	—	04-21 21:59
will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the best ai model on april 24 2026	3	$128	70	70	+0	open	—	04-24 16:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	3	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-29 17:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4?	3	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	05-04 18:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	2	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	04-26 13:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	05-04 17:05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 25?	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	04-25 19:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	04-27 16:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 24?	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 21:51
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 20 above $365?	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 22:30
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	04-27 21:17
pg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 24 2026 1pt56	2	$115	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 11:14
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 24	2	$115	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 15:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	2	$115	60	60	+0	open	—	04-30 19:49
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 20 above $650?	2	$115	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 21:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 3?	2	$115	60	60	+0	open	—	05-03 16:55
ethereum above 2300 on april 24	2	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 15:58
bitcoin above 76k on april 24	2	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 14:42
bitcoin above 72k on april 20	2	$112	60	60	+0	open	—	04-20 10:41
will mrbeasts video get 85 million or more views on day 6	2	$112	60	60	+0	open	—	04-24 10:07
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	2	$112	60	60	+0	open	—	04-22 01:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 01:30:30	will xrp dip to 1pt15 on june 3	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x10d650…
06-03 22:37:25	will ethereum dip to 1750 on june 3	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x8f9d82…
06-02 01:14:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xe93903…
06-02 01:12:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x1f83d5…
05-27 23:28:44	Will Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Air Force Academy Address?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x825f32…
05-22 13:55:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x36c1dc…
05-22 13:55:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x81beb7…
05-21 15:08:04	Will Deckers Q4 HOKA revenue be above $680M?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xb39240…
05-20 23:26:08	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xcdcd37…
05-20 19:41:20	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x0313ec…
05-20 17:16:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x888175…
05-18 20:58:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xdccbf6…
05-18 20:57:54	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x7162b6…
05-18 17:19:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x743e79…
05-18 17:17:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xb79d1d…
05-18 06:52:39	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x5dc19a…
05-17 12:53:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0x2214b2…
05-16 22:43:01	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x81020b…
05-16 22:39:08	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	52¢	$20	0x724b77…
05-16 09:47:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x2abdbb…
05-15 23:43:20	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	86¢	$33	0x49ff6e…
05-15 20:02:08	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 11 above $395?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xbf565d…
05-15 19:44:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xf555e4…
05-15 19:43:16	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 11 above $420?	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xcb461f…
05-15 19:42:17	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 11 above $395?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x1a6a5e…
05-15 11:04:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 15?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xf335f4…
05-15 11:04:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xd87647…
05-15 11:03:50	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 15?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xf7d693…
05-14 12:19:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xf55cb1…
05-14 06:51:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2890ad…
05-14 06:51:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xf37f70…
05-14 00:02:23	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x4ebf43…
05-13 23:59:52	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.7B in Q2?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xb5f496…
05-13 23:59:35	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$0	0x0b6960…
05-13 16:00:07	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 13?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb14373…
05-13 12:32:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x10dff9…
05-13 12:29:58	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x69e5a2…
05-13 08:20:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x8a2778…
05-12 23:46:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 12?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf8813c…
05-12 23:24:53	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x27e659…
05-12 23:05:14	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xce30df…
05-12 22:39:18	Will XRP dip to $1.40 on May 12?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x53e2d1…
05-12 22:38:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 12?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6357c2…
05-12 21:32:36	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.5B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x20683e…
05-12 21:32:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 12?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x3af5d7…
05-12 19:57:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 12?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x554455…
05-12 19:51:49	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 12?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x1c5042…
05-12 17:10:20	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x2f72e3…
05-12 17:09:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1b062a…
05-12 16:27:20	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x1bb7b1…
05-12 16:25:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 12?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x319cc9…
05-12 16:20:15	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xe23347…
05-12 16:13:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 12?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xb8793d…
05-12 09:41:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xb69184…
05-12 08:00:27	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.0B in Q3?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xe57fa8…
05-12 07:42:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xca9804…
05-12 00:22:23	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x90f553…
05-12 00:22:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x1771aa…
05-11 19:38:06	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0xd638af…
05-11 19:35:42	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x1f9b45…
05-11 19:32:30	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xea62fb…
05-11 06:52:51	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0d866a…
05-11 06:52:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xb1e5a6…
05-11 00:22:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x50f06b…
05-10 15:58:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x116029…
05-10 06:51:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xd52fd1…
05-10 01:24:27	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0xddd93b…
05-08 17:05:20	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xc2ec13…
05-08 17:04:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xe13781…
05-08 17:04:29	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xae0c10…
05-08 17:04:20	Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x64ee48…
05-07 19:08:02	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x12b735…
05-07 19:07:48	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x91ef3a…
05-07 03:37:09	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x31d4b4…
05-06 23:18:56	Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x1d1463…
05-06 22:47:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0x830389…
05-06 22:46:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0xe7c460…
05-06 18:45:05	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xfcdc81…
05-06 18:40:08	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1154c6…
05-06 18:39:59	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1e20a9…
05-06 18:39:22	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x72ef26…
05-06 18:36:22	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8cc04b…
05-06 18:35:51	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7cbff8…
05-06 18:35:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xd193b5…
05-06 18:10:30	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x1e1c7f…
05-06 17:51:27	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x67536c…
05-06 17:51:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x25dab6…
05-06 13:53:44	Will Meta (META) close above $590 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xcf6f59…
05-06 13:53:12	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x600424…
05-06 08:06:46	Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xc940aa…
05-06 07:13:56	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x76760e…
05-06 06:56:28	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x737ec9…
05-06 06:56:16	Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x606de8…
05-06 06:55:26	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x5fbcd5…
05-06 06:55:10	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	40	92¢	$36	0x07776f…
05-05 23:16:12	Will Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0c1294…
05-05 19:18:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xef392b…
05-05 19:10:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0xd70415…
05-05 19:10:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x259c66…
05-05 19:10:08	Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x1602ce…