Steel-Morbid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

6,584

Trades

11,460

lifetime

Volume

$1.32M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 09-30 13:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 99% +$3,597

Other

5% 99% +$576

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 436 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	15	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Down	+$30	05-29 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	9	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Down	-$3,000	05-30 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	16	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Down	+$30	05-29 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	42	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Up	+$30	05-28 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Up	+$30	05-29 19:30
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Down	+$30	05-28 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	12	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Up	+$30	05-28 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Down	+$30	05-29 03:25
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Down	+$30	05-27 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Up	+$30	05-29 07:21
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Down	+$30	05-27 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Up	+$30	05-27 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Down	+$30	05-28 04:40
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	5	$3.0K	3,030	+3,030	Up	+$30	05-28 10:15
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$2.5K	2,525	+2,525	Up	+$25	05-27 11:20
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$2.5K	2,525	+2,525	Down	+$25	05-26 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$2.5K	2,525	+2,525	Down	+$25	05-27 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	5	$2.5K	2,525	+2,525	Down	+$36	05-27 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	29	$2.2K	2,237	+2,237	Up	+$22	05-27 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	13	$2.0K	2,020	+2,020	Down	+$20	05-25 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	62	$2.0K	2,020	+2,020	Down	+$20	05-25 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	17	$2.0K	2,020	+2,020	Up	+$20	05-30 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$2.0K	2,020	+2,020	Up	+$20	05-31 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$2.0K	2,002	+2,002	Down	+$2	05-26 15:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$2.0K	2,020	+2,020	Down	+$20	05-25 07:00
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$2.0K	2,020	+2,020	Up	+$20	05-25 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$2.0K	2,020	+2,020	Down	+$20	05-31 19:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$2.0K	2,020	+2,020	Down	+$20	05-25 06:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$2.0K	2,020	+2,020	Up	+$20	05-30 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	1	$2.0K	2,020	+2,020	Down	+$20	05-31 05:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 13:14:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9b59ea…
09-29 17:29:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	90¢	$15	0x53d10c…
09-29 16:59:33	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xd84e96…
09-29 11:14:18	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$15	0x0b6ce8…
09-29 01:44:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa3e241…
09-29 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x3bc174…
09-28 15:14:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x0cb40f…
09-28 15:14:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x04f7ac…
09-28 14:59:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0xddf145…
09-26 06:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xb7bf3b…
09-26 03:59:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc99f13…
09-25 23:59:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xa3802c…
09-25 14:29:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x00f683…
09-25 14:14:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xfc2a58…
09-25 12:44:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x046ae2…
09-24 17:29:17	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0xeca5a1…
09-24 16:44:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x5f2a59…
09-24 14:14:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xad96cb…
09-24 11:59:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0x026322…
09-24 10:29:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd8e4e8…
09-24 10:14:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6f6cfe…
09-23 20:44:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1db9ee…
09-23 12:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0af1a0…
09-23 11:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x33e50f…
09-23 02:14:17	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x90e3dc…
09-22 15:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x43ace4…
09-22 14:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x447eba…
09-22 14:14:01	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xf690f6…
09-22 14:14:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x859e54…
09-22 09:29:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4cf0ed…
09-22 09:14:42	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xed30e6…
09-22 04:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xca08c6…
09-22 01:29:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9a9024…
09-22 01:29:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2318cb…
09-21 19:44:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x636e00…
09-21 17:29:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x09681c…
09-21 14:59:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x5d24aa…
09-21 10:14:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x29cb92…
09-21 03:44:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x8dba24…
09-21 03:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xd16b70…
09-21 00:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdd45a6…
09-20 23:29:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x30d955…
09-20 22:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6687fb…
09-20 21:44:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd820d0…
09-20 04:59:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xd41175…
09-19 23:59:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xd97a87…
09-19 10:59:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	79¢	$14	0xc332d5…
09-18 23:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x9feb03…
09-18 17:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x6aefee…
09-18 14:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x254fee…
09-18 06:29:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xcc8b56…
09-18 05:29:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x3e568c…
09-17 02:29:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x4556f7…
09-17 01:44:43	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x304269…
09-17 01:44:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb9d0e0…
09-16 19:14:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xf8410c…
09-16 19:14:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x73ae0a…
09-16 17:29:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xa02422…
09-16 09:44:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xba46b6…
09-15 19:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xfdd153…
09-15 19:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa62fda…
09-15 19:14:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf50f02…
09-15 19:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xb20e36…
09-15 14:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xf48e80…
09-15 14:59:19	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbc5fe5…
09-15 08:14:43	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x93de4b…
09-15 00:29:18	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xebe036…
09-14 19:59:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x0e993f…
09-14 19:14:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x30d3d2…
09-14 17:29:33	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xc99cdc…
09-14 15:29:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x375d51…
09-14 08:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x8921e6…
09-14 01:44:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbeb393…
09-14 01:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x6398ee…
09-13 23:14:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xf1dcf3…
09-13 23:14:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa33484…
09-13 15:59:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x13a5c8…
09-13 06:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xd22e75…
09-12 21:44:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xc5369c…
09-12 12:14:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x31a91c…
09-12 10:59:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x4d99b4…
09-12 10:44:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x3b3b44…
09-12 09:59:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xcf00c0…
09-12 09:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xaff220…
09-12 09:44:42	BNB Up or Down - September 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf1690a…
09-12 08:29:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x7ce963…
09-12 05:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x24f110…
09-11 23:44:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x93fa18…
09-11 14:29:18	BNB Up or Down - September 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xb9904c…
09-11 13:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x6d6cb8…
09-11 11:59:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x675a76…
09-11 03:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x283af2…
09-11 01:44:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x27d185…
09-11 00:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x4e865a…
09-10 22:14:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xaf9540…
09-10 16:44:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xc1c58b…
09-10 13:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xfe2eee…
09-10 13:14:18	Solana Up or Down - September 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	95¢	$14	0x4bc771…
09-10 13:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x814afd…
09-10 11:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x2beae6…