Realized P&L
-$451
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
198
Trades
9,648
lifetime
Volume
$235.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$91
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-20 00:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Crypto
76% 52% $-162
Other
15% 40% $-62
Sports
6% 28% $-219
Politics
3% 0% $-8
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 378 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -27 $-25 93¢ $-25 $-1 06-12 13:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No +21 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 06-19 15:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $10 28¢ $9 $-1 06-17 19:18
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +50 $10 16¢ $8 $-2 06-02 01:04
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +48 $5 14¢ $6 +$1 06-04 21:32
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -6 $-5 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-17 02:30
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +90 $20 $5 $-14 06-14 18:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 80¢ $3 +$1 06-13 06:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +4 $2 54¢ $2 +$0 06-13 06:04
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-17 10:10
Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $-0 05-28 02:04
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $2 $1 $-1 06-18 05:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +133 $2 $0 $-2 06-12 14:27
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $4 $0 $-4 06-18 05:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 $-1 90¢ $0 +$1 06-12 13:39
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes -186 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 14:39
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 $0 $-0 06-09 00:22
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +0 $-1 98¢ $0 +$1 06-16 09:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $-0 86¢ $0 +$0 06-14 10:35