Realized P&L
-$451
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
198
Trades
13,260
lifetime
Volume
$321.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$67
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-05 09:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Crypto
80% 52% $-162
Other
14% 40% $-62
Sports
5% 28% $-219
Politics
2% 0% $-8
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 892 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No -27 $-25 94¢ $-26 $-1 06-12 13:33
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +17 $5 66¢ $11 +$6 06-20 17:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $10 24¢ $8 $-2 06-17 19:18
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +21 $5 38¢ $8 +$3 06-20 17:40
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +21 $5 30¢ $6 +$1 06-20 17:40
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -6 $-5 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-17 02:30
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $2 $1 $-1 06-18 05:26
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 06-20 22:11
Pro Football: Undefeated Regular Season Yes -4 $-0 11¢ $-0 $-0 06-20 22:11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 $-1 90¢ $0 +$1 06-12 13:39
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $4 $0 $-4 06-18 05:26
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 $0 $-0 06-09 00:22
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +1 $0 13¢ $0 $-0 06-25 20:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-22 03:39
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +0 $-1 95¢ $0 +$1 06-16 09:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-1 86¢ $0 +$1 06-22 03:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $-0 84¢ $0 +$0 06-14 10:35