Realized P&L
-$38.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$504
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved
8,506
Trades
19,323
lifetime
Volume
$550.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$1.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 08-09 20:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Crypto
49% 47% -$22,234
Other
43% 46% -$11,369
Sports
5% 44% -$3,512
Politics
2% 28% -$1,557
Tech
0% 50% -$77
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +980 $500 84¢ $828 +$328 05-22 07:00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +123 $100 96¢ $118 +$18 06-21 02:29
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +23 -$191 96¢ $23 +$214 07-17 15:36
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 06-11 18:29
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -6 -$5 94¢ $-5 +$0 06-17 02:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 -$2 82¢ $5 +$7 07-17 15:37
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +355 $5 1¢ $3 -$2 06-15 14:36
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -3 -$2 99¢ $-3 -$1 04-28 13:33
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 07-10 14:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-13 06:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-13 06:08
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $0 05-20 22:40
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +26 $2 6¢ $2 $0 06-12 14:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9 $2 17¢ $1 -$1 06-12 14:25
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -39 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 05-19 00:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 6¢ $-1 +$0 07-10 20:45
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +36 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 06-26 15:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2 $0 19¢ $0 $0 06-18 11:19
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $2 2¢ $0 -$1 06-18 05:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +93 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 06-15 14:36
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 -$1 94¢ $0 +$1 06-12 13:39
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +44 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 06-15 14:37
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +17 $43 2¢ $0 -$43 07-17 15:37
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +29 $8 1¢ $0 -$8 06-13 17:58
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $0 06-16 00:40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$1 38¢ $0 +$2 08-09 20:20
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 06-12 13:33
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 06-16 09:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $5 3¢ $0 -$5 07-28 11:45
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $0 1¢ $0 $0 06-09 00:22