Realized P&L (7d)
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$564
Hit rate
81.9%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
0
19,323 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$550.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$1.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 08-09 20:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 211 days
Categories
Crypto
49% 47% -$22,234
Other
43% 46% -$11,371
Sports
5% 44% -$3,512
Politics
2% 29% -$1,555
Tech
0% 50% -$77
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-09).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +980 $500 90¢ $887 +$387 05-22 07:00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +123 $100 97¢ $119 +$20 06-21 02:29
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +23 -$191 97¢ $23 +$214 07-17 15:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 -$2 88¢ $6 +$7 07-17 15:37
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -6 -$5 90¢ $-5 +$0 06-17 02:30
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -3 -$2 100¢ $-3 -$1 04-28 13:33
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +355 $5 1¢ $2 -$3 06-15 14:36
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? No -2 -$2 95¢ $-2 $0 04-28 13:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-13 06:08
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 07-10 14:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-13 06:09
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $0 05-20 22:40
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +26 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 06-12 14:25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9 $2 13¢ $1 -$1 06-12 14:25
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +29 $8 2¢ $1 -$7 06-13 17:58
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -39 -$3 1¢ $-0 +$2 05-19 00:43
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +36 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 06-26 15:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2 $0 18¢ $0 $0 06-18 11:19
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $2 2¢ $0 -$1 06-18 05:26
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +93 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 06-15 14:36
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +0 -$1 97¢ $0 +$1 06-12 13:39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 07-10 20:45
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +44 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 06-15 14:37
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $1 100¢ $0 $0 06-16 00:40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +0 -$1 38¢ $0 +$2 08-09 20:20
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes — +4 $4 4¢ $0 -$4 06-18 05:26
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +17 $43 1¢ $0 -$43 07-17 15:37
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 06-12 13:33
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 06-16 09:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$1 94¢ $0 +$1 06-22 03:39