Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 16?
open
Total volume
$200,541
$1,743 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$19,255
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-16 11:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $199.3K | $199.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $15 | $0 | +$15 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $11 | $974 | $963 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $198.5K | $198.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $105 | $104 |
| Below median | 2 | $4 | $11 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $15 | $818 | $803 |
| unranked | 8 | $3 | $858 | $856 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unwelcome-Wrap 0xff7b…9179 | No | +198,718 | $198,519 | $198,519 | 1 | 05-16 11:55 |
| Unacceptable-Shock 0xc0a6…2d6c | Yes | +4,282 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 11:55 |
| Defiant-Marathon 0x9bb4…8d70 | No | +1,000 | $820 | $820 | 1 | 05-13 09:14 |
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +860 | $818 | $818 | 7 | 05-14 23:57 |
| Next-Refuge 0x33c5…6d4d | Yes | +197 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 17:32 |
| Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | Yes | +189 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 05-14 14:48 |
| Discrete-Mussel 0x3d8d…a7e9 | Yes | +184 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 11:14 |
| Proud-Recession 0x6a26…eb9a | Yes | +163 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 17:57 |
| Shy-Disruption 0xf328…5353 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-15 21:28 |
| Treasured-Exwife 0x0b69…d945 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-15 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xaed4…09af | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 13:06 |
| Shocked-Definition 0xd62d…c295 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 01:05 |
| Severe-Liquor 0xd3b5…9cdf | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-15 16:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d8f…717f | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:08 |
| Remote-Shred 0x37df…58eb | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 23:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f94…1dba | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6975…4f97 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:32 |
| Jam-Packed-Windshield 0xb349…64d4 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 08:41 |
| Fat-Tick 0xa4bd…34cc | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 08:41 |
| Impeccable-Setting 0xc138…9baa | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 01:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 11:55:45 | Unwelcome-Wrap 0xff7b…9179 | No | BUY | 198,718 | 100¢ | $198,519 | 0x278da3… |
| 05-16 11:55:36 | Unacceptable-Shock 0xc0a6…2d6c | Yes | BUY | 4,282 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x9e72fe… |
| 05-16 04:49:23 | Bony-Flag 0x8eeb…a4d1 | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x74d5ff… |
| 05-16 01:05:53 | Shocked-Definition 0xd62d…c295 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x3856c1… |
| 05-15 21:28:27 | Shy-Disruption 0xf328…5353 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x05e812… |
| 05-15 21:18:39 | Treasured-Exwife 0x0b69…d945 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd24473… |
| 05-15 17:57:22 | Proud-Recession 0x6a26…eb9a | Yes | BUY | 163 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd34c3c… |
| 05-15 17:32:12 | Next-Refuge 0x33c5…6d4d | Yes | BUY | 197 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x80dfa2… |
| 05-15 16:52:16 | Striking-Anagram 0xed33…ad20 | No | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x7b6858… |
| 05-15 16:29:48 | Severe-Liquor 0xd3b5…9cdf | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xd25431… |
| 05-15 16:26:17 | Striking-Anagram 0xed33…ad20 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x93cb0e… |
| 05-15 16:24:25 | Striking-Anagram 0xed33…ad20 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x5af2bc… |
| 05-15 13:06:41 | (anonymous) 0xaed4…09af | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x54027b… |
| 05-15 11:14:34 | Discrete-Mussel 0x3d8d…a7e9 | Yes | BUY | 184 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd6f1ae… |
| 05-15 08:41:39 | Fat-Tick 0xa4bd…34cc | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xfebc08… |
| 05-15 08:41:39 | Jam-Packed-Windshield 0xb349…64d4 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x4a8dfe… |
| 05-14 23:57:30 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 564 | 95¢ | $535 | 0x552401… |
| 05-14 23:57:30 | Chilly-Dibble 0x0a6f…962a | No | SELL | 186 | 97¢ | $180 | 0x89389f… |
| 05-14 23:57:30 | (anonymous) 0x2f94…1dba | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x218b87… |
| 05-14 23:17:38 | Remote-Shred 0x37df…58eb | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xed71d6… |
| 05-14 14:48:23 | Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | Yes | BUY | 148 | 4¢ | $7 | 0xf0898a… |
| 05-14 12:17:47 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 80 | 96¢ | $77 | 0x37a419… |
| 05-14 10:44:29 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xa0ba81… |
| 05-14 10:40:24 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xa32711… |
| 05-14 10:40:24 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xfa0ba3… |
| 05-14 10:40:22 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 60 | 96¢ | $57 | 0x2d79fb… |
| 05-14 02:37:21 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0x0e4654… |
| 05-14 00:08:04 | (anonymous) 0x4d8f…717f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x52a720… |
| 05-14 00:08:02 | Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xade34a… |
| 05-13 09:14:35 | Defiant-Marathon 0x9bb4…8d70 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 82¢ | $820 | 0xcad58c… |
| 05-11 14:32:26 | (anonymous) 0x6975…4f97 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8f777d… |
| 05-11 14:32:24 | Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x83967e… |
| 05-10 15:04:12 | Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 30¢ | $5 | 0xdc1d7c… |
| 05-10 01:41:24 | Impeccable-Setting 0xc138…9baa | No | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0xa253e7… |