Lively-Typhoon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$3.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 08-12 05:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Crypto

42% 67% $-0

Politics

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will thomas coxe advance from the ca 19 primary election 984	4	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	06-04 03:13
will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	07-19 23:49
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	07-29 14:21
bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	2	$65	32	32	+0	open	—	07-22 00:42
ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	07-25 11:09
will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	2	$61	30	30	+0	open	—	07-30 17:23
kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-30 05:27
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	07-29 17:53
will wti reach 115 by july 20 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	07-24 15:25
sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	5	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	08-01 04:22
bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	2	$53	54	0	+54	open	—	08-09 13:42
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	07-25 03:35
ethereum above 1800 on july 23 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	07-23 15:24
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	02-05 18:06
ethereum above 1600 on july 21 2026	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	07-20 14:45
will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 17	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	07-18 00:15
2026 corales puntacana championship top20 taylor montgomery	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	07-17 14:45
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 29?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 21:03
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 28c	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-21 20:15
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be greater than 40m	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-19 23:04
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 17c	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 11:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 21:40
Will Solana reach $100 on May 6?	2	$39	19	19	+0	No	$-0	05-07 03:36
highest temperature in ankara on april 19 2026 7c	4	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-19 00:44
highest temperature in cape town on april 24 2026 33corhigher	3	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 03:13
Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$37	18	18	+0	open	—	05-14 21:26
highest temperature in madrid on april 17 2026 21c	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-17 07:47
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 22 2026 26c	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-21 13:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	05-29 00:35
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 18 2026 23c	4	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-18 11:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 05:08:04	ethereum above 2000 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x375868…
08-11 12:34:45	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xc88b1c…
08-10 22:35:49	bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2dc96b…
08-09 13:42:55	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x7ecd5e…
08-09 10:19:36	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x55beda…
08-06 01:12:47	bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5d20f0…
08-05 13:09:53	bitcoin above 58k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc3958c…
08-01 04:22:56	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3b4cab…
07-30 21:01:48	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x863d9b…
07-30 18:25:08	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6827d6…
07-30 17:52:48	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9738bd…
07-30 17:23:35	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x112f9d…
07-30 16:33:15	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd6ba32…
07-30 11:14:44	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x57c094…
07-30 08:32:21	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25c996…
07-30 05:27:29	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x257dbb…
07-29 22:48:23	kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x07535f…
07-29 20:01:51	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf77f00…
07-29 17:53:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x5ff188…
07-29 16:50:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7f8521…
07-29 14:21:56	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x577494…
07-29 12:30:45	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4274fe…
07-26 11:09:27	bitcoin above 62k on july 26 2026	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7892c3…
07-26 04:43:30	bitcoin above 62k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7e8927…
07-25 14:15:19	ethereum above 1900 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfc18d9…
07-25 11:09:55	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x8204a7…
07-25 10:53:40	bitcoin above 66k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x1bc10d…
07-25 08:32:40	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x96ddf0…
07-25 03:35:48	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x7c59b6…
07-24 19:51:34	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf684a1…
07-24 15:25:09	will wti reach 115 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x1b91b2…
07-24 13:58:12	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbbe0c2…
07-24 12:00:49	will wti reach 115 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3982b1…
07-23 21:54:46	will xauusd dip to 3800 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x960516…
07-23 15:24:01	ethereum above 1800 on july 23 2026	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x75aa9f…
07-23 15:13:07	ethereum above 1800 on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4457ab…
07-22 04:58:16	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xedba78…
07-22 00:42:25	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x00465b…
07-21 16:50:07	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x48dbba…
07-21 16:06:54	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x18a8ca…
07-21 00:01:01	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa80d95…
07-20 22:10:46	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0f8625…
07-20 14:45:40	ethereum above 1600 on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x052eee…
07-20 13:38:42	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb68180…
07-20 08:49:22	ethereum above 1600 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa3e0bb…
07-19 23:49:31	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xbbc421…
07-19 23:03:37	will the odyssey score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3ae7d6…
07-19 20:25:39	will the odyssey score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3f49d3…
07-19 18:35:30	will the odyssey score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8bdee1…
07-19 16:30:51	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8e4fe2…
07-19 14:50:22	will the odyssey score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x160a9d…
07-19 06:47:30	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xad7223…
07-19 03:05:30	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc3c821…
07-19 02:39:34	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xde75bf…
07-19 01:49:13	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 21 20260714155939803	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7a4d93…
07-18 00:15:07	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 17	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x883079…
07-17 21:20:34	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 17	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf56389…
07-17 14:45:34	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 taylor montgomery	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xf6ebce…
07-17 11:39:16	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 taylor montgomery	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x917e25…
07-04 17:12:20	will xrp dip to 1 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x19592f…
07-01 17:00:01	xrp above 1pt2 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcedf80…
06-04 03:13:30	will thomas coxe advance from the ca 19 primary election 984	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4832e3…
06-03 03:17:48	Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 2?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd8ee02…
06-02 17:19:26	Will XRP reach $1.40 on June 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x15fc55…
06-02 04:06:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x4fc67d…
06-01 18:10:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x061fff…
06-01 13:03:52	Will Thomas Coxe advance from the CA-19 primary election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9bb3d4…
06-01 11:01:55	Will Thomas Coxe advance from the CA-19 primary election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x993f66…
06-01 10:31:51	Will Thomas Coxe advance from the CA-19 primary election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4da401…
05-31 06:16:50	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x231beb…
05-30 23:02:39	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa75c31…
05-30 13:35:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xaae9e6…
05-29 00:35:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x185b33…
05-28 21:03:51	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 29?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x84e7e5…
05-28 20:00:41	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3975e7…
05-28 15:32:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc1e08e…
05-28 06:47:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x861bf8…
05-27 21:10:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2905b0…
05-25 20:51:32	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0ff686…
05-25 20:21:26	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xec6f75…
05-25 08:41:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfbe386…
05-25 06:32:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe9a577…
05-24 20:32:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xec3bfc…
05-24 19:55:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8465d5…
05-22 14:06:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x864cf3…
05-22 02:28:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6e05cd…
05-21 08:45:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5ee8b2…
05-19 19:52:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x267820…
05-19 12:41:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9dda6e…
05-19 03:31:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfeec6b…
05-18 21:41:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5ddf63…
05-16 16:59:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x2dbd60…
05-16 04:21:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x2e1af5…
05-14 21:40:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x530f92…
05-14 21:26:58	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xff7bdc…
05-14 20:28:49	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2c3d0f…
05-14 17:11:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8b2974…
05-11 06:54:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd55616…
05-10 14:09:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x96e613…
05-09 07:46:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd51728…